Asymmetric trade ideas in the natural resource sector. Merging deep fundamental analysis with disciplined technical setups to find macro mispricings
Saskatchewan, Canada
Joined March 2021
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Mining Charts retweeted
This one is hard to read.
He took $500,000 of equity out of his home and bought silver near the top. Today it's worth $218,000. The dream was to double it and retire in Thailand.
I'm not sharing this to pile on. I'm sharing it because it could be any of us.
Learn from your mistakes, or learn from others' mistakes. The markets do NOT care what your personal situation is.
Silver can still run. The metal was never the problem. Borrowed money, all in at once, and no exit plan were.
Now he's weighing his last $200,000. If he were your friend, what would you tell him?
#Silver #Gold
Not financial advice.
Mining Charts retweeted
Not up for an Ackman-sized tweet, but this is what I'm seeing:
- Early voting is swinging massively towards Ds
- Ds are not friendly to AI and data centers
- Trump loses midterms, he is going to obliterate Iran
- Oil goes to $200, a genuine energy crisis
- Reserves depleted to get it down
- Credit spreads ripping higher
- The usual concerns about private credit/insurers
If stocks were ever to drop, it will probably happen in the next few weeks
Mining Charts retweeted
Regardless of how you feel about immigration, something isn't adding up.
Canada has massive true unemployment. Poverty is rising. Healthcare is dying. The people being brought in are disproportionately not doctors and engineers (I fully support importing qualified talent). Voters don't want this.
There's an underlying problem here no one is willing to talk about. Our country is built as a Ponzi scheme. The government must import new people to pay into the scam so that they can pay out the old investors so that the whole thing doesn't come crashing down.
The problem is that every Ponzi scheme crashes eventually. And the longer it goes on, the worse the crash is going to be.
Immigration levels in Canada are set to rise again.
@LenaMetlegeDiab signalled a forthcoming boost to new arrivals after population growth hit its lowest rate since WWII, CTV News reports. (1/4) 🧵👇
Mining Charts retweeted
BREAKING: The Canadian government is removing the requirement for employers to prove they can't find a Canadian for high wage jobs, per CTV
Mining Charts retweeted
JUST IN: Canadian PM Mark Carney reveals he’s considering “ramping up” immigration again amid concerns over Canada's slowing population growth.
Mining Charts retweeted
The China's 15th FYP - Battery Metals edition has gotten the lowest views on my Substack.
Surely there are some souls in Lithium and Vanadium?
Are people no longer interested to see where China wants to go next with energy storage development?
teosinamin.substack.com/p/ch…
Mining Charts retweeted
BREAKING: President Trump says higher US inflation will "pay off" US debt "very rapidly" in response to total US debt rising above $40 trillion.
"I know I'm the best in the world... you can pay off the debt through other means. But the one thing that you can do is pay it off through growth, and we've never had growth like this," Trump said.
US Treasury yields hit a new high of the day after the statement.
Mining Charts retweeted
The first evidence that the Liberals are starting to get cocky.
🚨🇨🇦 NEW: Mark Carney says that now Canada’s immigration system is back under control, the country may look to begin a “controlled increase” of its population
[@CTVNews]
Mining Charts retweeted
Buffalo Potash Corporation completed its final horizontal well at the Disley Project, finishing a five-well drilling program targeting Q1 2027 production. | $BUFF.V #potash
Read More:
mininghub.com/company/buffal…
Mining Charts retweeted
Miners with projects in Brazil better hope that Bolsonaro junior wins the elections or else I worry that trouble is on the horizon at least as long as MAGA is in power in the US.
Companies that rely on US government support & contracts are especially exposed. Largo $LGO & USA Rare Earth $USAR spring to mind immediately.
When aluminum stocks roll over, pay attention. As an industrial backbone, aluminum equities act as an early-stage barometer for global manufacturing PMIs, rate-sensitive demand, and CapEx cycles 6–9 months out. $CENX shown below.
Mining Charts retweeted
$BUFF.V or OTC $BLPTF Just beat the Regulators!
"This is a landmark regulatory achievement for Buffalo and reflects the environmental soundness of the sustainable development approach Buffalo is undertaking at Disley, highlighted by minimal surface disturbance, no salt tailings or brine ponds, and most importantly - minimal freshwater consumption."
We continue to speed to production faster than any miner I have seen publicly. The one thing I can tell you, is Management truly believes in the company and "Green mining technology!"
Buffalo Potash Achieves Permitting Milestone at Disley Project finance.yahoo.com/energy/art…
Mining Charts retweeted
Once you realize that many highly skilled trades don’t even make 1963 minimum wage today ($57.90/hr), you realize why we are short highly skilled trades 🤷♂️
Minimum wage in 1963 in the US was $1.25
That was 5 silver quarters.
Today the melt value of those 5 silver quarters is $57.90.
Instead, US Federal minimum wage is $7.25
That's the whole ruse...that's the whole game.
@wbmosler
Mining Charts retweeted
The Canadian government put together a pitch book on 167 companies and sent it to 250 of the world's biggest investors ($120T in AUM). Atlas $SALT.NE is one of the 167.
Let's not read too much into what that means for the odds of cheaper financing, but let's not read too little into it either.
No doubt you'll find some interesting names in the other 166.
