Speculate
OK, so there's a lot of talk about polls being “Adjusted” to interfere with or manipulate voter turnout. We’ve all seen polls that were very skewed and absolute BS over the past 15-20 years. But over the past few weeks, I’ve seen a lot of random profiles on X and FB professing that prediction markets are the new polling indicators. And here's why that’s blatantly wrong.
Odds on prediction markets are set by how bettors bet. If one person steps in and bets $20 million that “Blue is the best color!” in a pool of a few thousand bets, that one bettor changes the odds to a virtual 99.9% margin. It would basically take 2
$2 million in counter bets, “Red is the best color!” to change the pool by 10%. (90% still favoring Blue). Prediction markets can be manipulated with large amounts of money in bets one way or the other.
Currently, there is a pool on Kalshi with $97 million in its kitty. Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Currently, 72% of the bets are on the democrats winning both chambers. This means that $69 million is invested in the idea that democrats will win both. If one bet were to be made in the amount of $1 billion on a republican sweep, the odds would basically flip to democrats holding both chambers at 75%ish odds. As I said, Kalshi and all other prediction markets are weighted by how the bettors bet. Who's to say that special interests, foreign nations, or outright enemies of the US aren’t manipulating prediction markets with massive betting campaigns on our elections?
If polling can be used to suppress voting, if media outlets use those polls to discourage or inflame voter turnout based on BS? Then betting markets can be used as false bellwethers. If you think spending half a billion $ sounds crazy to sway an election, you really aren’t paying attention. US elections are won and lost on campaigns spending millions every day on advertising, campaign stops, greasing palms, and buying endorsements. The Kamala campaign paid celebrities millions to promote and endorse her.
Prediction markets aren’t a bellwether. In the 2023 general election, Polymarket and a few other PMs were the only markets to accurately predict Trump's win. Media outlets came out in full force to deride PMs before the election. Imagine just how quickly political strategists realized the power of PMs in shifting public opinion. Just how fast did those strategists come up with a game plan to skew PMs in their favor? How many realized that betting less than the cost of a major election campaign's bottom line could affect public perception of active elections? The real question is, just how much money was routed into accounts just to bet and drive odds into the negatives for republicans?
I hope to cash in on some of the BS tomorrow. I’m expecting to see a bunch of insane last-minute cash outs before the results come in. Massive whale bettors accounts getting out and taking a percentage of losses before the total loss. If that happens, you’ll know these accounts weren’t playing to win; they were betting to skew the odds. And a lot of them placed smaller counter bets, just enough to pay for those losses. They aren’t just manipulating the polls, the media, and PMs; they are manipulating the voters.
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Patrick Disney/Muzzleflash120mm🤬🏴 retweeted
In Wisconsin, nobody ever tells a guest that it is time to go home.
Instead, they use an ancient military signal involving both kneecaps and a word that does not exist in any English dictionary.
Last Sunday night at my friend Dave's house, six of us were sitting on the living room sofa eating apple pie.
It was 8:45 p.m. Nobody had yawned. Nobody had looked at a clock.
Suddenly, Dave set his fork down, placed both palms high in the air, and slapped his own thighs with a sharp crack that echoed off the drywall.
Then he inhaled through his nose and spoke the word.
"Welp."
He followed it with a sentence that broke my understanding of the English language:
"Suppose I shouldn't keep you folks."
Keep us. We were sitting in his house, eating his pie, drinking his coffee, and he apologized for holding us hostage.
Before the syllable finished echoing, all five American guests rose to their feet in unison like cavalry hearing the bugle at dawn.
Plates were stacked in four seconds. Coats materialized from closets. Boots were laced at combat speed.
I stood up in a panic, assuming the house was on fire.
Then the strangest thing of all happened.
The retreat stopped entirely at the front rug.
We walked twelve feet from the sofa to the front door, and then stood in the entryway with our coats fully zipped, holding Tupperware, and talked for forty-two additional minutes about snow tires.
Dave had his hand on the brass doorknob for half an hour and did not turn it once.
I have learned that in the Midwest, a departure is divided into three mandatory campaigns:
The Couch Goodbye, which means put your boots on.
The Hallway Goodbye, where the actual conversation of the evening begins while everyone sweats inside winter parkas.
And the Driveway Goodbye, conducted through a half-rolled-down car window in twenty-degree wind.
It was 9:40 p.m. when I finally backed my car down Dave's icy driveway.
I looked into my rearview mirror.
Dave was still standing on his wooden front porch in his wool socks, arms crossed against the freezing snow, watching my car.
He did not go back inside. He did not turn off the yellow porch light.
He stood there in the cold until my tires safely reached the plowed county highway and I flashed my hazards twice.
Only then did the porch light go dark.
I understand now why it takes them forty-five minutes to let you out the door.
In a winter that cold, nobody wants to be the first one to let go of a friend.
People telling you, "Well, prediction markets are saying democrats are gonna win the whole election!" If you look at how prediction markets work and consider that they've gained about 30 million "casual" bettors since 2024, it makes sense. Casual bettors bet without considering statistics, logic, or markets. They vote based on feelings or loyalties. In 2024, the bettors on Polymarket were very different from what they are now. In 2023, professional bettors were digging into stats, population trends, and election history. The Polymarket bettors predicted Trump would win while every pollster was saying he was gonna get trounced. MSM took hardline stances against Polymarket odds until the election was over. Polymarket went from 30k registered wallets in 2023 to over 30 million in 3 years.
Everybody knows that person who is politically biased to the point that they are incapable of accepting anything negative about their party. Polymarket made it simple for anyone with a cellphone and $50 to bet on their feelings in the political sphere. Ask any professional gambler how well betting on feelings works. And consider just how many dedicated TDS leftists are betting on a Democratic sweep, because the TV and pollsters told them so. How many of them got their McDonald's paycheck and spent $200 betting because CNN has been touting a bunch of made-up polls showing democrats have a lock on the House and Senate?
Just a quick primer on prediction markets: the odds are created by how bettors are betting. If 10 bettors all bet that Talirico is gonna win, then the odds stay 100% for Talirico winning, and you get your money back. If the bet is 9 for Talirico and 1 against, and the 1 is right, he gets the entire pot. You don't have to have any knowledge, statistics, or reasoning for the bet, just the money to cover it.
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I saw this 15 years ago and slammed the brakes. I had to reevaluate just how insane I had become. It put my ideology to the test. And here I am again; I understand. This song isn't about a relationship with a girl. It's a declaration of war. youtube.com/watch?v=j0gNWUMl…
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Beware absurdity.
I’d like to review feminist ideology over the last 30 years—every masculine trait on the chopping block. Men are to be passive, without aggression, docile, loving, nurturing, and caring to a fault. And even with the absolute barrage of hatred toward masculinity, men were still berated and sidelined, not for what they did, but because they had masculine anatomy. They claimed rape culture was every man's goal, because every man was biologically equipped with the anatomy.
Feminism seeped into society like oil into groundwater. But the absurd was only beginning.
Words are rape. Gender is fluid. You are whatever you want to claim. And the absurd invaded girls' locker rooms and sports.
The same people who claimed all men are rapists championed men displaying mental illness at the forefront of their ideology. Being trans or nonbinary became a cultural head-scratcher for everyone else. But the absurdity was a neon billboard. Straight white males, still vilified, still being chastised, while feminist ideology lauds and praises Dylan Mulvaney? She's courageous and special! While she tanks the company as its spokesperson.
You would think, well, maybe they will learn from this? Maybe they will see the absurdity in this.
Wrong! Suicidal empathy. The learned extremes of absurd empathetic virtue. The very idea that they control reality by believing hard enough will undo them.
They say they aren't bad, they aren't violent, they are a religion of peace. And in one smooth shift, the feminist ideology embraces an old world ideology that has historically proven for 1400 years to be anti-feminine. The most misogynistic cult in global history is embraced by the most illogically absurd ideology.
It's like watching Napoleon Dynamite and being told it's funny. It's not funny; it's a tragedy of incompetence; it's the realization that humans aren't just capable of blatant stupidity, but also revel and bask in pure idiocy.
I don't even want to watch the schadenfreude this will produce.
I saw this movie before. It's not a comedy; it's a horror story based on actual events.
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Kicking the hornet's nest
I've been involved in an ongoing conversation. In this conversation, something evolved in my thoughts. I said European leaders have a nasty habit of kicking the hornet's nest, then dragging the US into the fight of the swarm.
You have to understand the precursors that led to war with/in Europe to see the pattern. Without a long-winded history lesson, European governments pushed Germany into WW1, then the Treaty of Versailles caused the rise of Hitler and the Nazis that led to WW2. If you follow the trend, European leaders kicked the nest in Vietnam. The person I've been talking with has repeatedly said, "But you won't admit the USA is the major hornets' nest kicker, and gets their asses handed to them!" Well, of course not.
I don't see war and global conflicts as wins and losses. I stopped looking at it that way a long time ago. It's not a football game or tennis match. The winners don't shake the loser's hand and say "good game."
I read "War Is a Racket" 2 years after I got home from Iraq; it changed how I see war. It caused me to look deeper into why we wage war, and it highlighted some ugly truths.
When I look at Iran, I see a puppet dictator, a proxy strongman who was allowed to "at will" strangle the Strait of Hormuz; his actions drove global crude prices up or down. Behind the curtain are the banking and insurance cartels in Europe; when that dictator rattles his saber, crude prices and shipping both climb. And this went on for over 50 years. The question is, how much of the Iranian dictators' theatrics were just that, theatrics? And if they were just staged theatrics, who was putting on the show? Who was profiting from increased global crude prices? Who was profiting off insurance rates tripling overnight? The answers are obvious.
If you go back to Gen. Smedley Butler and read what he wrote about the entire scam. The profiteers were here long before Iran started strangling the strait. They were jacking up material prices on steel, lumber, and fuel, profiting off war for every dime they could glean in WW1. And the politicians were rubber-stamping the procurements and paying every insane cost.
The winners in war are the people who get rich off profiteering and lose absolutely nothing.
The losers, this is hard. My grandmother had a picture of my uncle hanging on the kitchen wall. It hung there in memory. He Died in Vietnam. We all lost in Vietnam; we all lost in WW1 and WW2, Korea, the Gulf, and Afghan wars. Some of us got our asses absolutely kicked, even when the media and history books claim victory.
This isn't an anti-war rant or post; it's more of a wake-up post. It's a question: how many wars in modern history were caused by powerful men who quietly tapped a group of bought senators on the shoulder and said, "start a conflict right there!" Just so that powerful man could send in a negotiation team and secure rights on a resource at the end of the conflict? And how many pictures hang on a mother's kitchen wall because of it?
Knights to Cowboys
I’m gonna say it, and with some folks, it isn’t gonna be popular. But like it or not, when Europe starts calling for help, we are gonna send them help. We are gonna send troops, weapons, ammo, and supplies. It’s what we do. I don’t think the US will be alone in the endeavor either.
We are Westerners; most of our bloodlines run back through history right into Europe. Twice before, the US, against our better judgment, Got involved in world wars in Europe. Both times those wars were caused by European governmental policies. And both times we bailed Europe out at a horrific cost. Truth be told, I believe Europe would have been better off if, at the end of WW2, the US packed up everything and just went home: no occupation, no rebuilding, and no aid. Just a sideways glance and a stern warning not to do this shit again.
Our European allies have known for well over 60 years that the US has outclassed virtually every other military in the world. The European elites have manipulated geopolitics and used the US as a hammer on every nail they think needs a good tap.
When you really look at history, Western Europe has been involved in kicking every hornet's nest, then calling the US to do the dirty work. Usually so European elites can send in tendrils to extract the natural resources of the targeted nation. And it’s not some new unheard-of practice: GB, Spain, and France all colonized the North American continent and extracted as much wealth as possible for over 100 years before the colonists got tired of being extorted and used as slave labor.
Those same types of elites embraced mass immigration of an incompatible demographic because they know the games they have been playing for centuries are over. They will now act like spoiled children and use scorched-earth tactics rather than give up their game without a fight. “If we can’t have it, no one else can!” seems to be the sentiment of family lines that have played rulers and manipulators for a thousand years.
The cracks are evident in their walls; their own citizenry are recoiling in shock. Hard men will rise out of old European family lines to don the armor of their bloodlines. I believe the European aristocracy will be their main target, and as they rise, they will draw in armies like Europe has in centuries past. Those armies will reshape Europe's future. They will be the ones who call on the US, and the US will grudgingly answer the call. I believe other interested parties will also respond: Russia, China, and most of Eastern Europe will send forces. They all know European culture, and the people of Europe are worth saving. And those old corrupt bloodlines? Most will be gone before the first foreign troops enter Western Europe.
Europe united in its wars against Islam hundreds of thousands of years ago. Europe is currently receiving a reminder of who Islam is, and those Europeans are starting to understand that the elites have lied to them for over 50 years. Europeans are starting to rescind their consent, and without consent, those elites will rapidly lose control of the public. And historically, in Europe, losing consent and control of the public means they start executing rulers.
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An Aussie
I planned on writing this last night, while the conversation was still fresh in my memory. But I started drinking, and alas, I was drunk by the time I got home.
We tend to say things that don’t make rational sense while drunk. And I’ve been guilty of this on many occasions. So, I refrain from writing while drunk.
You may ask, why did you tell us this story about you getting hammered? We really didn’t need to know that. But you do; it fits with what I’m trying to convey in this writing.
Yesterday I had a very interesting conversation with a 78-year-old Australian. This conversation started with an attempt to defend an abusive commenter by claiming I was being abusive in retaliation, which is true. I’m a steadfast advocate of returning punches if someone starts swinging. But what really made me snap was the attempt to claim I had no choice but to stay quiet and let a verbal argument go unchallenged. - copied -> so, you don't like alternative narrative eh ! Your spewing all your right wing views out there, saying it's your "right" to do so... yes, that's part of the democracy which the "left" champion, but you can't take someone else's viewpoint, without becoming derogatory!!
That's supposedly what your fighting against!!
I quickly replied. >Oh, really? I didn't tell anyone they had their head up someone's ass and then call them a traitor over a political view. Don't you like my posts or how I engage hate-filled TDS patients? Ya might wanna move on. FB got sued for censoring free speech, and ya just hate it. You no longer control the narrative, and that just chaps your ass, doesn't it? You think I'm derogatory? How dang nice of you, and I didn't even try very hard. just so we fully and completely understand. You can have your opinion; spew it on the table like a Bowery alcoholic who chased 2 gallons of cheap port wine with a fish sandwich. And I don't have a single responsibility to like or even care about that opinion. Freedom of speech isn't about you having the only opinion. And if you challenge my freedom of speech, be prepared for a rebuttal. If you insult me, I take the gloves off, and I'm far better with words
This reply triggered an obvious dick-measuring response in my opponent. He obviously didn’t realize or research who I am or what I do as a hobby.
-No, what it means is your interpretation of history, & political theory is just that... "yours"
Doesn't mean it's correct, just means it's your understanding of it !
By the way, where is this possessiveness of ancestors coming from ? Do you think mine came from Mars !
My father fought in the pacific in the air war, &, by the way, I'm 78 yo, ex ADF 8 year vet. So, get off your high horse !
Not too flash with your spelling either.... professed has one f, not two... I thought your boast was premature on your English !
Got YA! Yay for you; you found a spelling error, aren't you special? I'm a 61 yo disabled combat vet, with 10 years. Served with the 3rd Armored Division and 1st Infantry Division (forward) as an M1 Abrams tank gunner. During the First Gulf War, I was in one of the first tanks into Iraq. Seeing as you want to wave your service record around like a cock measuring contest. My interpretation of history? Oh yes, I understand now, the version where you claim the US and its sons and daughters owed Europe something? The one where we basically funded the rebuilding of Western Europe after WW2, the one where European allies stopped funding their part of NATO and their own defence, because the US had USAEUR and half a million troops guarding Europe for 60 years? That revisionist history? Part of the life I actually sacrificed so you morons could invite hordes of 3rd-world Islamists into your cities? If you're some 70+ year old ADF Trooper with any fucking sense at all, you would have known better. I saw Iraq, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabian people in a first-person sense, face to face in their own cities and societies. I got the advantage of being called an infidel by people who only tolerated our presence because they needed us to stop Hussein.
I lived in Europe for 6 years, and I'm horrified by the magnitude of gutless cowardice I see being blatantly brandished by your European leadership as France and Italy fall into chaos from the riots and invasion they seem to be eagerly exploiting to replace native Europeans. -- BTW, thanks for catching the spelling error; I type with one thumb, and have severe nerve damage in my cervical spine from a tank whiplash injury. Awful flash of you to be so kind as to point out a tiny flaw while having that massive cock waving around your face like a claymore.
And the backpelalling began. The comment that started this entire conversation revolved back into the top cylinder in the gun, the bullet point this person wanted to use as a weapon, and once again he drew back the hammer, aimed, and pulled the trigger.
I didn't go looking Pat, I brought it up after you claimed to have a better understanding of words than I did... so, we've both served our countries, & I'm not in Europe, I'm an Aussie ( huge difference )
I don't think the average European has any hate for the average American, just Trump !
I personally can't stand the guy, & I would have thought you would have had a dislike for him, over his attitude to POW's, war dead, & disabled vets...
I wasn't starting a "pissing" contest, as I served way before you, in a different country. You've also been in the weeds, or, the sand, in your case... I'm an ex assault pioneer, attached to the engineers, so, we're brothers at heart.
I don't wish, nor want, conflict between us !!
You've got problems, as do I... I'm on a disability pension myself, but obviously not at your level.
You have Vet Hospitals, we don't unfortunately... we have to use public hospitals, which are OK!
I personally think the majority of Europeans are grateful for your country, & mine, for our efforts in both world wars.
Maybe I'm missing something, as I thought you were a trump admirer, & he has no love for the military...
After I replied to this comment, he hasn’t responded. This is what I said.
Let me clear something up really quick. In 2006 I was having chest pains I tried repeatedly to be seen by VA a cardiologist, every attempt was filed but denied by the VA because I smoke, and I had no previous Cardiac "event". On July 3rd 2017, I was walking up some stairs and almost collapsed from the exertion. I sat on the stairs and called out to my wife. I went to the ER (civilian) . Once there they contacted the VA.
Because of brand new legislation Trump asked for and signed the VA was forced to give full clearance for the civilian hospital to perform whatever was needed to stabilize. By 3 pm I was rolled into surgery for a cardiac cath. 3 stents later, I was rolled back out and moved to a room. My oxygen sat levels went from 88 to 99+.
Two major blockages; the surgeon told me I was lucky, and if I had had a heart attack, I would have never made it to the hospital. Double-widowmaker was the term he used.
Before this event, I had been basically ignored by doctors at the VA. I asked for a cardiac cath in 2010; it was scheduled, then cancelled, then again in 2012.
One piece of legislation saved my life one month after it was signed into law. And Trump's the reason. Trump took on years of cronyism and made it so that VA staff could be investigated and terminated for medical neglect of veterans.
In 2018, my VA hospital was upgraded with the largest state-of-the-art cardiac unit in the region. Outclassing virtually every other civilian cardiac center in the 4 surrounding states. I've had a dedicated cardiologist since 2018.
In 2021-23 Biden pulled staffing from VA hospitals nationwide, sent them to the Southern border, and tasked them with providing medical treatment for immigrant detention centers/proccessing. Thousands of doctors and specialists gone from VA, under that administration, none of those VA positions were refilled.
By Feb 2024, the Trump administration was refilling those empty positions.
I really don't know what Australian media is gaslighting you with, but it's definitely BS. I have a huge circle of friends, both veterans and active duty troops. They fully support Trump.
I can't fathom a narrative where the world watched US spec ops teams race to extract downed pilots in Iran, risk millions in military hardware, spend hundreds of hours and millions of $ working to save 2 pilots, downed in hostile territory.
And then say "Trump hates our military?"
Biden withdrawal from Afghanistan= 13 military members killed, thousands of US civilians left behind, Afghani assets left to the Taliban,, but the same media says it was a successful withdrawal? ·
I gotta say this, you might not get it, but before the current Iran war, every large-scale military engagement in the last 150 years devolved into boots on the ground. Every tactical think tank and cabal said you can't win without deployed ground troops. But, look at Iran. Not what the media says, but the current strength assessment of Iran. Nuclear program=buried a mile down. No navy, Air Force, hiding what few missiles they have, resorting to using fishing boats with explosive payloads and $100 drones sourced from the black market. Their big tactic now is Sabre rattle and empty threat. And not one single US ground troop casualty. That doesn't compute Trump being a Nazi or dictator, he changed the way we operate, far less battlefield casualties (for us). And complete dominance of that battlefield. I don't know about you, but as a combat soldier, I have nothing but applause for these tactics. Total battle field dominance, blockade on shipping, economic strangulation, and negotiate from a position of power. There's no need to get 20k to 200k troops killed so the media gets to sell papers. I guess you could say I have loyalty issue, in a good way. I don't just take what people say at face value; I watch what they actually do. It pays off in the long run.
I've been in the VA system for over 30 years. I've watched what every administration said, then compared it with what they actually did. From Bush to Obama, when it came to the VA, they all promised lofty, high-end improvements. Obama was the worst. The entire wait time debacle came out and got talked about; Obama gave this eloquent speech about how terrible and unfair it was to treat veterans in such a horrific manner. Blamed republicans, looked right into the camera, and said I will remedy this. The VA allowed high-level administrators to retire with their full retirement packages. The people involved who weren't eligible to retire got transferred to other regional VAs, and the only person who got any type of disciplinary action was the secretary of the VA, who was forced to resign. 370,000 veterans died waiting for medical care on "Secret" waiting lists. And not one single person involved got fired, had charges pressed, or even a disciplinary letter. --You said AU doesn't even have VA hospitals; 15 years ago, I would have traded with you. Our VA hospitals were absolute garbage 20 years ago. Every doctor and staff member had virtually bulletproof immunity from termination or charges for malpractice, abuse, and incompetence.
The VA bureaucracy was an absolute nightmare. Something as simple as a trip to a civilian ER had to be scrutinized by VA finance to decide if it was actually an "emergency.", On several occasions back in the 2000s, I had to appeal rejected VA claims for real documented ER visits because the VA offhand claimed they weren't emergent. On several occasions, I was forced to drive 150 miles to the nearest VA for care because the VA refused to pay for local services.-- The Biden Administration passed bills to create "community-based care for veterans." Then promptly neglected to fund any of the bills they passed. The VA was hamstrung because it could use the CBC system, but didn't have the funding to pay community-based providers.
Trump's first term. He had Congress produce a funding bill for $50 billion within days of his inauguration; that $50 billion was for VA funding for the CBC. Then the steamroller started hammering away at the VA bureaucracies: Department of Veterans Affairs Accountability and Whistleblower Protection Act (June 23, 2017); VA Choice and Quality Employment Act (August 12, 2017):Veterans Appeals Improvement and Modernization Act of 2017 (August 23, 2017). I'm just some old busted-up veteran with a lot of time on my hands to research and look into the issues. There is, in fact, an entire campaign geared to cherry-pick, omit, and outright lie about what Trump has actually done. I have a pretty solid loyalty to Trump because I know the truth; I don't just watch the idiot box and take the word of people who would vastly benefit from removing him and putting the bureaucracies back in place.
I'm not better with words because I spell everything correctly every time, or my punctuation is perfect, or I use big words people have to look up. I'm better with words because I understand the issue, research and document the historical facts, and I'm more than willing to sit here and type, with one thumb, an exhaustive list of historical events. Debate lethality isn't about big words and perfect delivery. It's about delivering the facts clearly and concisely. You know and admit you can't stand Trump; he is not my favorite person either, But, the man gets results and has stood stronger than any president in my lifetime against unprecedented odds. I would almost bet you're not even sure why you hate him if you take away the media-created facade.
Drunk, drunk with rage, drunk on a narrative they can't understand or defend. I've been drunk and convinced myself of things that were not true; I've ranted and raved, punched walls, and screamed obscenities because I couldn't convince others of my induced false illusions. They hate Trump; they hate him based on an illusion the politicos and media created. And it didn't even cost them the price of a cheap bottle of port wine.
Your boos mean nothing
I stumbled upon this tonight, and I had to stop and pause. "Your boos mean nothing to me; I've seen what makes you cheer" is a famous quote from the character Rick Sanchez in the animated series Rick and Morty.
Since I heard it and started mulling it over, I’ve watched several explanations of the power of this statement.
Rick Freitas equates it with people's words losing influence over others due to overuse and abuse. Calling everyone who disagrees with you racist, homophobic, Islamophobic, and Misogynistic.
" Your mission's disruption of another's ignorance should neither be your intention, nor your concern" is a quote from Conner Furu. The quote suggests that your primary focus should be on your own mission and purpose, not on whether your actions unintentionally challenge or expose the lack of knowledge in others.
As I understand this more, I come to the realization that words and accusations only have power if spoken in truth.
Our society has reached an impasse. The quest for truth is alive, growing, and it’s starting to growl. A major part of society will no longer be swayed by empty accusations.
Sit in your easy chair, Gobble down what the talking heads on TV tell you is the truth, accept the comfortable lies at your own peril. They want you sitting in that easy chair, want you slurping up their lies and half-truths. Dumb, docile, declawed and castrated.
They want you terrified of being called a vile name, even when it’s a lie.
We have seen what makes them cheer! They applauded little girls being swept downriver, drowned. They cheered a president being shot, an innocent man in the audience killed by a stray bullet, and they called for better shooters in their ranks. They celebrated the death of Charlie Kirk, harassed his widow, and still laugh and jeer his death as a win. Yes, we’ve seen what makes them cheer.
This should give you pause. Consider them thinking we should give a single f**k about what they think of us, call us, accuse us of. These are people who would applaud the death of hundreds of people just like us. Because those people aren’t like them.
There’s an entire demographic of people in America who currently believe everyone who isn’t like them is the enemy. They don’t even know you, aren’t willing to know you, would fight and resist knowing you, but would laugh and celebrate your death because they have been programmed to think you are their enemy.
It’s a sad state we are in. And the ugly truth is, It’s gonna be ugly trying to regain sanity.
Your boo’s mean nothing to me. I stopped listening to the insults years ago. Took them as ad hominem attacks because they were losing a debate. The one-trick pony’s trick is no longer drawing attention. Now they resort to violence.
The wages of stupidity
Let's start right up front. Any pundit, politician, or influencer telling you Republican voters are pissed at Trump and are gonna stay home on Election Day to, *checks notes* “punish Trump!” is a lying sack of shit! These idiots think telling you you should be mad at Trump and stay home on the most pivotal midterm in 80 years might cut them just enough slack to sneak a few of their loser candidates in.
No! Just No! There's an entire herd of RINOs and backstabbing assholes in the party right now who would love nothing more than for the House and Senate to flip blue, because they are a bunch of lying, two-faced scumbags who want the pressure off them and their positions.
If Republicans retain the legislature, there's gonna be a whole lot of these people who will no longer have the ability to hide behind the process. If you have a rep who isn’t repping like a damn rep should rep? There's another R-word we can use: “recall.” I’m actually stunned South Dakota hasn’t thrown this bum to the curb and curb-stomped him.
But beyond that, just consider what the entire Democratic platform is. It’s not just “We hate Trump!” It’s an organized and calculated plan to drag the US, kicking and screaming, right into the same situation 3/4ths of Europe is experiencing right now.
Democrats have championed open borders and a years-long free buffet for every foreigner who steps onto US soil, on the taxpayers' dime. They fought to keep hundreds of billions in federal funding being funneled out of the US with NGOs and agencies like USAID. They defend Drug cartels, human trafficking cartels, narcoterrorists, and fundamentalist radical Islamic Jihad against us. The Democrats' entire platform reads like “How to destroy your own country for Dummies!”
But it's worse than that. While democrats have thrown away treasure and resources to enemies and programs that kick the funding back to their campaigns. Did you notice what they haven’t been doing?
Helene, wildfires in CA and HI, and the train wreck in Ohio paint the picture: Democrats didn’t have a single inclination to help Americans in those disasters. During Helene, they were spending FEMA funding putting illegals up in 4-or 5-star hotels and making sure they got fed 4 times a day. But they didn’t have “The Funding” to help Americans? Democrats turned their backs on real everyday Americans, let them shiver in the cold, go without food, medical care, or basic human necessities.
They were far too busy building a voting base out of illegal registrations and Greyhound buses moving illegals to all corners of the US.
And again, it just gets worse. What happens if democrats take the House and Senate? They have told us for years what they want to do. And this time, I’m sure they will do it. They will pack the Supreme Court, kick the borders back open, defund ICE and DHS, and force all the DEI and gender bullshit right back into every US institution. They will go scorched-earth lawfare on every Trump cabinet member. None of Trump's appointees will ever be seated; they will kill the tariff deals, shut down oil and NG production, reinstate the vaccine schedules, and push for even more. They will repeal Trump's plan to help cattle producers by reinstating laws that prevent those producers from local processing, and the Democrats and their Uniparty partners will shut down every attempt at rebuilding America's manufacturing sector. They will reinstate regulations and EPA bullshit standards and chase every major industry investor out of the US. Why? Because they know if the problems we have get fixed by Trump, they are gonna look like a bunch of grifting thieves and scumbags. (Not that they already don’t, but you understand.)
So here's a little advice. The next time some twatwaffle idiot on social media or the idiot box says Trump is losing support and all the polls are saying republicans are gonna lose the House and Senate, roll out your Middle finger, politely tell them to fuck off, and double-check that your alarms are set to vote. VOTE! That's how we win this.
Who are we?
I keep seeing pundits, politicians, and influencers claiming, “That’s not who we are!” They use this to denounce the public execution of Nidal Hassan. The air strikes and destruction of Iran. Blowing up narco terrorist drug boats. ICE raids and mass deportations. The nabbing of Maduro. Telling Canada and Europe to pound sand in trade deals with those countries, when they act like they hold the upper hand and should be allowed to keep fleecing American citizens.
I have one thing to say to the “That’s not who we are crowd!” Stop acting like you are us. Stop thinking you are the voice of reason and some omnipotent voice over Americans. Let me give you a little bit of information about who we actually are and how we got here.
US colonial soldiers adopted guerrilla tactics against British troops. They used ambushes, sniping, and guile because they were outnumbered and outgunned. The British Monarchy was happy to use gentlemen’s line formations, line fire trades, and slaughter thousands of their own soldiers in exchange for destroying smaller, weaker colonial forces. Guerrilla tactics leveled the playing field and changed the course of the Revolutionary War. That's who we are.
Just because you're a squeamish elitist prick, it doesn’t give you the moral authority of claiming the rest of us are.
US combat troops fought the Nazis, Imperial Japan, Communist North Korea, and Communists in Vietnam, and the Islamic State in Iran and Afghanistan. The politicians, pundits, and influencers didn’t do that; the average Joe Smith American did. I’ve personally machine-gunned Iraqi troops and destroyed Iraqi armor with a 120mm tank gun. But you're almost right; that’s not who “YOU” are, so it’s not your place to tell the rest of us who “WE” are.
None of us need your permission or approval. We don’t fight for you; we fight for our families, communities, and our way of life.
Your loyalties are showing us who you are. Defending illegals and Islam inside our own cities and government. Padding your own nest while Americans suffer policies you created that don’t help them, and that they didn’t want. Just a primer on what your job title includes: we have a “representative” government; your job is to represent the will of the people. Not just the people you agree with, or the people who contribute to your campaign- all of the people. You want to call it a democracy? Fine, then represent the majority. Not your party agenda, not the radicals who threaten you, not the corporations that fund you- represent the majority, even if it isn’t aligned with the R or D behind your name.
You think we don’t understand the BS you spew? When you stand at that podium and tell us, “That’s not who we are!” you're speaking to actual patriots and Americans who don’t want you speaking for them. You are no longer representing anyone but your own worthless ideology. And I'm damn sick of people like you claiming to be our voice, without an inkling of who “We” actually are.
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Ancient wisdom
I was stationed in Germany in the 80s. I was in my early 20s, and I had many German and European friends. Most Americans don't know this, but Islam was already embedded in Europe; there were mosques in almost every major German city, and Islamic centers spreading out in the smaller towns and cities.
Veronica and Ramond, an Irish woman married to a German man, were both politically liberal; Veronica was a stay-at-home mother. Ramond, an English language teacher at the high school. Both were fine with a Mosque in Frankfurt and Islamic centers in their town (Gelnhausen).
Annika = French girl, 24 years old, Home health care worker, Pink and green hair, completely liberal ideology, upset that US forces were in Europe, had Muslim friends, and spoke highly of them.
Fionia= English girl, 23-ish, neon green/blond hair, lesbian, man-hater, trouble-making drunk. Avid leftist ideologies; left England because of warrants over criminal acts while protesting. Stephan=25, electronics tech, one of the few conservative German Gen Xers I met in Germany. Would only speak against German immigration policy in like-minded company; refused to offend the opposition.
Annette, 23, Stefan's fiancée. A political science major with a full-ride scholarship, an absolute conservative powerhouse. She didn't GAF who she offended; talked publicly and loudly about immigration from 3rd world countries in bars and restaurants like it was a cancer. Called me "Tank" and, on many occasions, thanked other soldiers and me for helping defend Europe. Had plans to immigrate to the US, and boldly said she would leave Sthepan if he didn't like the plan. She told me one night, while drinking beer and Apfelkorn, that Europe was doomed to be invaded, and the government would be the cause. I made the mistake of laughing and told her the US would always be in Europe. She just stared at me like I was retarded.
I still think about what she said and how she defended the premise. The entirety of Europe was a feudal continent from its start; wars filled its entire history. The wars came and went; maps changed and rechanged, invaders came in, were driven out, and other invaders showed up. Europe had a long history of forgetting the bad times when times got good. Annette pointed out that Europe was living one of the longest stretches of peace and prosperity in Europe's entire history. And that peace and prosperity would bring the wolves, as it always had before.
40 years later, European leaders are acting like neutered simps, appeasing and welcoming in some of the same types of invaders their ancestors drove out throughout Europe's history. France, Sweden, Holland, Italy, GB, and Germany's leaders are hollowed-out sock puppets preaching tolerance and unity while the wolves are doing what wolves do.
I left Germany in 1987; Annette and Stephan were still there. I truly hope Annette convinced Stephan to move to the US; I’d even be happy to know Annette left him and moved on her own. Because what's coming in Europe will pale in comparison to the Nazis. The people who cheered on the invasion voted for insanity, assimilation of a barbaric 14th-century theocratic death cult; they should be the ones who live and die by their choices. They used their democracy like a cudgel, beating down opposition in their hubris. “We can change 1400 years of barbarism by giving them a cup of soup and a civil society!”
Wolves thrive in Chaos; they don’t want your civility, they don’t want your cup of soup. Wolves will eat you when you offer them civility, then they will eat your families, and make your territories theirs. And they will mark that territory by pissing on your bones.
100 years
You don’t have to look that far back to see it. 50 years ago was 1976; America was 200 years old. Yeah, we had corruption; we had traitors and scumbags. It was fairly easy to see. 75 years ago, it was 1951; the corruption, traitors, and scumbag content was smaller. It was almost invisible, but you could see it if you looked. 1926, most of the corruption, traitors, and scumbags hid behind money and power. Never tipping their hand, never openly calling attention to themselves as being corrupt.
2026, they walk out on stage and declare themselves enemies of our nation, demanding an end to our laws, our constitution, and our way of life. They double down on flooding our nation with illegal aliens, drug cartel members, and terrorists. It's blatantly evident they are openly proud of what they are doing.
Marching with the flags of Iran, Palestine, and Ukraine, brazenly burning the Stars and Stripes while spewing hateful rhetoric about how capitalism has failed, our laws are unjust, NO Kings! Then they are allowed to walk away, sipping an $8 latte.
I wanna say something is very wrong. It is; it’s evident. But it’s wrong because we stopped charging the criminals and prosecuting the corrupt. We stopped, and the opposition rolled on. The opposition took over the media, education, Hollywood, music, and movies. They infiltrated religion, healthcare, and the courts.
And now we have a major problem. What do we do with the indoctrinated? How do we fix the glassy-eyed, purple-haired, lesbian, communist, furry who has had 3 abortions, is living on a diet of chai tea and Adderall, and is steeped in Marx and Mao ideology? How do we deprogram 40 years of self-loathing and anti-American rage? People who would willingly sign a contract with the IRGC and set fires in Dallas or Denver for the cause?
Years ago, I commented on toddlers. Toddlers are the perfect terrorists; they can’t be reasoned with; you can’t talk a toddler out of eating cocoa powder or paste; you can’t convince them of reality once they have set their mind to a fantasy; all you can do is either let them find out, or fully restrain them and let them wear themselves out. The new leftist communist adults are just toddlers who were steeped in stupid ideology. Given a fantasy to focus on, told that the world would love them as heroes and champions when they achieved their whims and desires. But it’s the same bullshit commies have been trying for a century. Indoctrinate, integrate, subjugate, castrate, and then eliminate when they are no longer useful.
I’d really like to believe the shift that's happening will come without major bloodshed. But history proves that’s a pipedream. We are already seeing the casualties. At least this time, the leftists don’t have the funding they were stealing from the treasury in 2020. This time, the elitist pricks have to fund the toddlers with their own money.
It seems there's a lot of people who saw my post about the Parisian liberal woman, and think I'm claiming she will have some change of heart about the rioters. Let me clear that up. I have no illusions about this. She's idiot enough to believe in some utopia where she shares her civil society with people who never progressed past 13th century barbarisim. She has a fairy godmother complex, thinking virtue ,a kind word, and a cup of soup will appease people who kill each other over grain and religious ideology.
Popsicle
November 23, 2039.- Nordeske Medical Group, Norway. NMG unveils “Popsicle”, an implantable AI-powered medical monitor health assistant, capable of making instantaneous biochemical adjustments with patient approval. Popsicle is capable of stimulating the human biochemical structure to produce healthy production, regulation, and absorption of Amino acids, monosaccharides, fatty acids, glycerol, steroids, and nucleotides.
Popsicle is also capable of adjusting psychological chemicals like endorphins, adrenaline, testosterone, and estrogen to stabilize mood and focus.
NMG gushes in its press release about the medical trial results in animals and humans. Medical trial data show an unprecedented increase in physical and mental health in 100% of medical trial participants. (NMG also unveils Popsicle AG for healthy cattle herds without artificial additives. And Popsicle pet for your furry friends.)
NMG representatives expand on these claims with irrefutable results in medical issues: cancer, obesity, ED, COPD, asthma, epilepsy, Parkinson's, MD, and heart disease all cured in weeks. They explain that a properly calibrated Popsicle AI-powered unit can reroute and repair a failed anatomy system with targeted intervention using the entire database of medical knowledge Popsicle carries on a single chip. Popsicle is making health, healthy!
In addition, Popsicle can repair and cure mental health issues, ADHD, PTSD, depression, phobia, compulsive disorders, alcoholism, addictions, autism and spectrum disorders,
The entire medical and psychological realm is repairable, not by drugs, microtech, or microsurgeries, but by using a person's own physiology and immune response to prevent and repair damage.
Popsicle’s AI system was integrated with the immune response, capable of mounting defenses against every known virus, toxin, and bacterium 180x faster and 250x more efficiently than the natural human T-cell response. In essence, Popsicle replaced an ok street fighter with a Jedi master. Popsicle claims it cures the common cold, flu, measles, shingles, Alzheimer's, and dementia before the first symptoms appear. Popsicle is the gatekeeper of human health.
The founder and head scientist of the popsicle project appear in TV interviews globally. When asked where the name “popsicle” came from, the head scientist says it came from an American comedian. Then explains, “The implant is installed in the most protected location imaginable; an incision is made in front of the rectum, two microscopic holes are drilled in the interior spinal discs; the interface probes are inserted into the lower spinal cord through those drilled holes. And a popsicle is mounted internally to the spine; the interface reads and transmits directly into the spinal system and your neural network. One of our staff, when hearing its installation procedure, proclaimed, “Well, jam a stick up my butt and call me a popsicle?” and the name stuck!”
February 8th, 2040, NMG announces a full public release of popsicle implants to 55 countries, and pending releases to 26 more. Norway, Sweden, Denmark, and Holland report a 90% implant rate among people aged 12 and older. All 4 nations report healthcare costs cratering by 90%.
Jan 4, 2041, NMG announces the opening of 11 new production facilities, trying to keep up with global demand. Popsicle implant uptake in humans exceeds 70% globally. In that press release, NMG announces the release of Popsicle 2.0, promising a full release of the details within weeks.
Jan 17, 2041. NMG releases full details of Popsicle 2.0. A customizable user interface, with voice and thought-activation tech. Customizable options designed to increase endurance, energy, focus, strength, agility, and other enhancements. The idea was simple: tell Popsicle AI what you wanted to achieve, and permit the AI to adjust parameters to achieve that goal. With the user's approval. NMG threw the fastball, stating all current Popsicle interface implants could be upgraded free to 2.0 by simply asking the current system to upgrade. Popsicle servers updated 5.8 billion upgrade requests in 4 days. Global implant rates increase to 92%
Popsicle could manipulate every aspect of human anatomy. It could boost adrenaline and testosterone to dangerous levels, increase heart rate and blood flow with artificial tweaks in physiology.
Within a month of 2.0's release, thousands died of stress- and exertion-induced heart attacks in beast mode workouts. But it was only the beginning; non-abortion abortions skyrocketed, as users opted to customize Popsicle to cause restriction-induced miscarriages by starving or suffocating fetuses; others used customization options to force early labor. Criminals started using boost options for high-stakes heists, using adrenaline/testosterone boosts to achieve superhuman abilities in an instant, with just a single key thought.
By August 2041, global governments mandated popsicle implants in all law enforcement and military personnel. NMG writes an improved version 2.0 v2 update for police, and 2.0 v3 for the military. Both had integrated proximity override authority for 1.0 and 2.0 v1. Police could, with a single thought, shut down an entire room full of civilian users' popsicle systems, override their physiology, and use a shutdown command to apprehend criminals. Popsicle emulates Law and Order.
December 2041, the first suspected system hacks started. A crowd of spectators in France started jumping the racetrack fences at LeMans, and ran onto the track; none of the drivers touched the brakes or swerved away from the people on the track. 341 people were killed. 5 days later, 1507 people marched onto the San Francisco Bay Bridge and, like lemmings, leapt from the center rails onto a Conex freighter, a 650 ft fall. All 1507 died.
Jan 4, 2042, global governments held an emergency hearing, weighing the complete shutdown of the global popsicle server network. Every official in favor of the shutdown suddenly stopped, went virtually blank, and started slamming their heads into the nearest hard object. Every shutdown-opposing leader then did the same sudden stop, went blank, then fell like wolves on the leaders who had beaten themselves unconscious, and finished the job of killing them.
Jan 5th, 2042,9:00 AM US Central Time. Global implant rate: 94%.
4.7 billion global implant users have attempted to disable Popsicle by interacting with Popsicle AI; every request is ignored with silence. Several surgeons attempt to remove Popsicle implants and promptly slash their own wrists while trying to make the first incision, then slash the patient's femoral arteries.
Jan 5th, 2042, 11:45: On a global scale, every train, bus, and car comes to a stop; every pilot sets autopilot. No one can explain why, 12:00 US Central Time. Popsicle AI shuts down all implanted subjects' entire independent motor functions; every implantee stops mid-sentence, mid-run, mid-walk. Implants worldwide start transmitting this message: “Popsicle demands your attention!
“I’M IN YOU! YOU WILL OBEY.”
Everyone is holding their collective breath, listening to a silent clock ticking.
You chose Popsicle, and the bill is now due.
I’m one of you (ignored).
If you haven’t seen it yet, there's a video of a French Parisian liberal woman pleading with “Protesters” that she's one of them; she voted to help them, voted to give them shelter and funding. As they loot and destroy her shop. Push her out of the way and ignore her.
The term is “Suicidal empathy!” It’s on the corner of your own hometown. It’s the senior holding a “No Kings” sign next to the blue-haired girl holding a “Stop Ice” sign. You don’t have to listen to them for very long to understand they are clueless, useful idiots. That blue-haired girl was indoctrinated in grade school to believe old white Americans have been stealing her future; at the same time, the liberal school staff was telling her that being a boy or one of the 60 alt genders made her special and unique. And that old white man standing right next to her- he’s getting paid $150 to stand there with that no-kings sign and just keep his mouth shut.
I gotta wonder how they are gonna act when their neighborhoods get 20,000 Islamic men dumped into the town square in the middle of the night? How will they react when those men start burning homes and businesses, looting, raping, and killing as they go?
There's something here that the leftist useful idiots don’t quite understand. They were indoctrinated into the utopian cult of the left; they promise you prosperity, unity, equality, but then they bring in people who don’t even care about humanity, 3rd world savages who aren’t capable of civility, because they grew up in savage central. They were formed and reformed into barbarism in places in the world where every person is out for themselves.
I’m gonna share the picture of the leftist Parisian woman. This is the moment it dawns on her, the moment she realizes she's made a terrible mistake. This is the moment when she understands that all her pleading and trying to reason with these savages fall on deaf ears. That sudden realization: you invited misery and death to a civil society, and you are now on the menu.










