Brian Wang | NextBigFuture: Deep Tech Insights on AI, Drones, Space, Energy & Investments | Proven prediction track record (Metaculus rank 8)

California, USA
Joined May 2008
$TSLA has 970 unsupervised robotaxi registered in Texas and the crowdsource count for Florida is at least 38. 1008 unsupervised Tesla robotaxi. Miles and unsupervised vehicles are increasing by 20% per week. Hundreds of cybercabs will be added Dallas and Houston in November.
8
20
215
5,174
Israel has voted out Netanyahu and replaced with former IDF chief Gadi Eizenkot
Palestinians are about to realize that Netanyahu was the moderate.
3
2
38
3,993
Lula will not be recognized as president of Brazil
🇧🇷 BREAKING: South American countries and USA will not recognize Lula as president.
7
11
124
2,987
Brazil election court ministers were against the extension of voting hours. But Lula former personal lawyer did it anyway.
Brazilian journalist Malu Gaspar says all Superior Electoral Court ministers were against the idea of extending the voting in Brazil by 2 hours. Zanin, Lula’s former personal lawyer, appointed by Lula to Supreme Court Justice made that decision anyway
3
6
48
2,097
Possible annulling of the Brazil election
BREAKING: Brazil's election could be annulled, according to the New York Times. Electoral lawyers say Brazil's current situation is "extremely serious" and a "critical situation." The NYT reports that confusion over a last-minute voting extension by Justice Cristiano Zanin, who was appointed by Lula, could lead to the election being annulled. "This is an extremely serious, critical situation," said electoral lawyer Priscilla Sodré Pereira to the New York Times. When Zanin made the last-minute decision to extend voting hours, some polling stations had already closed and shut down their voting machines. They could not reopen. "Fernando Neisser, an electoral law professor at Fundação Getulio Vargas, a Brazilian research institute, said the election could be annulled if the margin is very narrow and it is shown that polling stations stayed open longer in areas that strongly favor one candidate," the NYT reported. Wow.
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3
1
25
2,235
Brazil rigged election
🚨 JUST IN: Right-wing Brazilian businessman and Flávio Bolsonaro ally Pablo Marçal ERUPTS outside Bolsonaro's election-night headquarters after Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin — Lula's former personal lawyer — extended voting hours AFTER polls had already closed "The decision arrives at 5:04 p.m. without notification to the Electoral Court or any state court — the voting machines were already closed, and there is NO WAY to open a machine back up again!" "Who left their voting machines open past the deadline? The machines had to be closed and sealed at 5:00 p.m. sharp! I want to know which voting machines are still open — we have to put a MAGNIFYING GLASS on those machines!" "Only 17 cities were requested on one side [for storms] and Lula's party requested two — 17 plus 2 is 19. Now to leave all 5,569 cities in Brazil waiting is ABSURD!" "Whenever they are losing, they always act like this!" He nailed the biggest question of the night: why were ANY precincts still unsealed past 5PM when everyone who followed the law was already locked out? THIS IS A STRAIGHT UP COUP. RIGGING THE ELECTION. If Bolsonaro wins tonight it will be a comeback of the ages!
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8
47
3,221
Can the annulment of the 2nd round of election in Brazil happen. It was corrupt and a rigging but will the legal system fix this?
A decisão do Min. Zanin provavelmente acarrete a anulação do segundo turno eleitoral no Brasil. A liminar foi comunicada quando algumas urnas já haviam sido lacradas e simplesmente não há como as reabrir. Em paralelo, é ilegal haver início da apuração com a votação ainda em curso, e isso está acontecendo. Para os que prediziam algum tipo de "golpe", ele foi dado. Agora é esperar as consequências.
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4
22
2,350
Brazilian Electoral Code Article 220 provides that voting is null when held at a different day, hour, or place than designated, or closed before 17:00. The late, nationwide order after counting had begun and the involvement of a justice with a direct prior relationship to one candidate strengthen the procedural-irregularity argument. It will be very hard to get the result overturned.
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9
84
3,606
A single Supreme Court justice (who used to be Lula’s personal attorney) extended voting for 2 hours. But the design of the voting machines means they can’t be switched on after they’ve completed voting, meaning only the areas that never stopped voting (had forewarning of this change) continued to vote. Effectively giving Lula areas an extra 2 hours of voting. 50.15% Lula vs 49.85% Flavio Brazil election
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36
6
219
9,644
59% counted. 50.48% Lula vs 49.52% Flavio brazil Election. Polls kept open 2 hours longer in Lula strongholds.
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1
11
1,304
Lula retakes the lead 50.03% Lula vs 49.97% Flavio 49% of vote counted
1
1
6
1,517
50.1% Flavio, 49.89 Lula Brazil election 44% counted. Projections are Lula winning by 2.8%. 79% odds for Lula
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4
1,632
50.23% Flavio vs 49.77% Lula with 40% counted Brazil election
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9
1,759
50.33% Flavio vs 49.67% Lula with 36% of the vote counted. Brazil election.
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1,822
49.88% Flavio vs 50.12% Lula with 13.17% of vote for Brazil election. 39K vote gap with 108 million votes to count
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5
2,499
50.44% Flavio vs 49.56% Lula. with 32% counted
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5
747
50.46% Flavio vs 49.54% Lula Brazil eleciton 307K gap, 89.7 million to count, 27.3% counted
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2
19
2,142
50.51% Flavio vs 49.49 Lula with 25% counted brazil election
4
1,642
50.5% Falvio vs 49.5% Lula 21.1% counted Brazil election
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2
12
2,247
50.44% Flavio vs 49.56% Lula 20.3% counted. 223k gap. brazil election
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1,621
Brazil election 50.27% Flavio vs 49.73% Lula with 17.5% counted
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8
2,514
50.04% Flavio vs 49.96% Lula with 15% of vote counted
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1
32
1,900