September 24, 2026: Noam Dworman sits down with "the world's leading famine expert" and reads him his old predictions and declarations about famine in Gaza. Alex de Waal wrote the standard textbook on famine, runs the World Peace Foundation, and helped write starvation crimes into international law. When the media says "famine experts warn," this is who they mean. In January 2024, he told Owen Jones famine would probably arrive by early February. February came and went. In March 2024, he told CBS it was expected between then and May. Days later, he told Democracy Now that children were dying "likely in thousands already." In April 2024, at Harvard, he called it the most intense famine since records began. In October 2025, Democracy Now brought him back. Nobody ever asked him about any of prior predictions and declarations. On September 24, 2026, Noam Dworman did. 0:00 Alex de Waal admits to overstating catastrophes to get headlines 0:30 March 25, 2024. De Waal: The Famine Review Committee is "the ultimate arbiter, the High Court" 0:47 September 24, 2026. De Waal admits his own "high court" found no famine 1:11 March 2024: "It's too late to avert" thousands to tens of thousands of deaths 1:22 De Waal recasts it as conditional: "I said, yes, if this trajectory continues" 1:47 Dworman reads him the published wording, which was not conditional. De Waal: "We actually don't know how many have died" 2:14 Dworman to De Waal: You let Feroze Sidhwa tell my audience that 62,000 Gazans died of starvation 3:10 De Waal: We don't know the numbers. Dworman: The Gaza Ministry of Health doesn't claim anything close to your numbers 3:43 Dworman calls out the moving goalposts: "So I never said they were dying." De Waal accuses him of arguing semantics 4:21 Alex de Waal claims that the famine call "made no comment on the mortality" — What actually happened: The IPC's own Famine Review Committee, June 2024: the famine claims were "not plausible," and "the available evidence does not indicate that Famine is currently occurring." reliefweb.int/report/occupie… After the October 2025 ceasefire, a UNICEF-led survey found 0.5 percent acute child malnutrition in Gaza, one of the lowest rates in the region. thefp.com/p/unicef-data-unde… Full interview: xitter.cf/noam_dworman/status/21… -- In 2024, Alex de Waal was certain enough to tell the world it was already too late. In 2026, Alex de Waal just isn't certain enough to say how many people died. Alex de Waal once wrote that you need to overstate catastrophes in order to get attention. He was not joking.