Forecasting at @QuotientHQ | Created @theWIPmeetup | Prev @Cent @Gemini @Samsung | @maxosirisart PFP | Gazer #196
PDX
Joined March 2015
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matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Q called it early 🔮
Pelicans at Jazz, Oct 23
Q: Jazz at 64¢
Polymarket: had the Jazz closer to a coin flip at 49¢
Final: Jazz 120, Pelicans 119
NOLA had won 8 straight in the series, and Utah was without Nurkic, but home court and NOLA's road-trip fatigue tipped it in Q's favor
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Just tried out the new @QuotientHQ Signals app. Had some wins and a few losses.
Love the feed function, which shows edge for upcoming bets in your categories so you don't miss any. Definitely better to recoup losses—keep clicking!
Also, loved the updated Explore page. The redesigned layout is much better than the old one, offering better info and showing odds for live matches too!
Still clicking for the Edge, way to go @QuotientHQ!
Q called it 🎯
Nearly every forecaster missed this one. But @QuotientHQ saw the edge for Lula back in September
Q's forecasting 63¢ YES on Lula winning Brazil's 2026 presidential election
Polymarket's at 41¢ YES, favoring Bolsonaro's camp at 60%
Lula leads first-round polling and holds a narrow runoff edge on strength with lower-income voters. But it's tighter than the spread suggests. Other polls show the runoff tied, and his rejection numbers stay high
Settles Oct 5, 2026
If you want to receive Quotient signals like this early, hold 10M $QUOTIENT and visit signal.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
A week of @QuotientHQ's outlooks, executed by @MandateMarkets across my own Hyperliquid and Polymarket accounts: +18.00% mandate.markets/s/period?c=1…
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Q is giving an edge to the Bulls to WIN at 56¢
HL Outcome only has the Bulls at 47¢ against the Wizards tomorrow (10/24)
The market leans Washington. Q sees an edge in the Bulls 5 straight wins in the series, and a thin Wizards rotation on the second night of a back-to-back
If you want to receive sports signals like this early, hold 10M $QUOTIENT and visit app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Today we're launching Splits Pro and Premium tiers, and most customers will get them without paying a subscription.
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
What we've learned about when to hold and when to exit a position...plus our first sponsored segment 🥹🥹 all thanks to @capacitr_xyz
Quotient Live | The Pistons Comeback, Exit Rules + Q in Capacitr xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1RJjpbwyN…
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Every headline has a market.
@capacitr_xyz matches news and social posts to the markets they move and surfaces what Q thinks the surest bet is.
Don’t just make a trade because you read a buzzy headline. Check Capacitr. See what Q thinks.
Sponsored by Capacitr.
🤝 Paid partnership
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Upset watch 👀
Q is forecasting a Knicks win at 54¢
Polymarket has the Knicks at 45¢ at Boston
Q sees an edge with the reigning champs since they have their full starting five back and healthy, on top of going 3-1 vs Boston last year, including a win at TD Garden
If you want to receive sports signals like this early, hold 10M $QUOTIENT and visit app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Did you watch Tuesday's @DetroitPistons game!?
Q favored Detroit going in. At one point Detroit’s market odds fell to just 5.5%, but they came back and won.
Today on Quotient Live: sports volatility ⬆️ ⬇️ , holding to resolution vs. taking profit, plus our first sponsored segment with @capacitr_xyz showing Q inside their app.
See you at 3pm ET / 12pm PT
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Opening night upset watch 👀
Q has the Jazz at 55¢ over Memphis
Kalshi has them at 48¢
The market has Memphis favored. Q sees an upset brewing with Stewart out, Jaren Jackson Jr. now in Utah, and Edey on a minutes restriction
If you want to receive sports signals like this early, hold 10M $QUOTIENT and visit app.quotient.social
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Our e-bot received a tip from @QuotientHQ when the market priced a Packers win at 55¢. It then:
☞ Opened a position
☞ Redeemed the position in profit
☞ Put the profits towards $MACRO buybacks
This is how our self-sustaining technology works:
thefirm.biz/macrostrategy
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
🚨PSA: I almost got wrecked🚨
Sharing the story to hopefully help nobody else get wrecked. DOUBLE CHECK YOUR @ensdomains NOW.
I’ve used 7605.eth (my punk #) as the ENS for my main collection for a few years now. Usually I’m good about remembering to renew it but there’s been a lot going on and I forgot a couple months back. Yesterday I was extending a loan on @gondixyz and needed an additional 400 USDC to cover the origination. I went to my Coinbase and did what I’ve done many times before and sent 400 USDC to 7605.eth. After a few minutes of it not arriving I started to look into it and it took me a minute to figure out what happened. I put 7605.eth into etherscan and everything seemed normal at first, address looked like what I expected, but then I noticed a transfer out to a fatleopard.eth. I freaked out thinking my wallet was compromised, then noticed an ENS transaction. Went to ens.domains and found that 54 days ago a wallet address with the same 5 beginning characters as mine (0x862) had registered the domain after it expired.
I’m so used to checking those first 4-5 digits and assuming all is well so this has been a huge lesson learned. I’m extremely lucky to have only lost $400, it could have been a massive loss. I’m also very used to sending NFTs I buy from my hot wallet to this wallet using the 7605.eth ENS so I’m very lucky to have not purchased and moved anything in the last few weeks and to catch it before I did.
If you use an ens domain for any important wallets make sure to remember the registration deadlines and stay on top of them. And get into the habit of checking more than those first 5 digits.
Stay safe out there friends ❤️
matthew aka niftytime retweeted
Q called it: Will there be more than 190 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 12–18, 2026?
On Oct 15 (~5 days before it resolved) Q was forecasting NO at 64%
Kalshi was only pricing NO as a coin flip at 48%
It resolved NO on Oct 20
📈 A trade following this signal would have returned +101.0% (48¢ → 100¢)
