ngoni retweeted
Despite the four state meeting in Tehran between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Iran and Pakistan which is being all hyped up by the media, based on my analysis, and my 49 indicators that I use to monitor war; this meeting structurally does NOT change the trajectory of the war.
The war continues immediately after the midterm American elections, and after the results of the Israeli elections are announced… and specifically on the Nov 6 weekend: see full analyst below. 👇
This war structurally CANNOT end because the American objectives have NOT been achieved.
Iran has more power than it ever did...
I would argue that Iran is more powerful today than it has ever been throughout its history because it controls the Eurasian landmass and the Straits of Hormuz, Bab Al Mandeeb (and Gulf of Aden shortly as the Houthis continue their advance).
Therefore, the war status cannot change based on American calculations for the Middle East and for American interests in the Middle East, including American naval supremacy status and the US dollar reserve currency status.
Iran keeping control of the strait of Hormuz plus at least six other strategic objectives of the United States is why America will not allow any deal. Never mind Israeli interests, because this has become existential for American hegemony and superpower status now.
See full analysis below why Nov 6 is the likely resumption of the war.
SIGNAL, not noise!
ngoni retweeted
This Iran, America and Izzy war was NEVER about the "nuclear" issue, and it was never about politics or personalities, it runs underneath all of that, down to three things my critics fail to understand so I will say it here plainly:
This war cannot end because it is about three things:
1. the US dollar holding its place as the world's reserve currency.
2. It is about the American navy holding the sea lanes that enforce it, and about China and Russia using the Eurasian landmass, with Iran at the centre of it, to move their trade and their energy overland and slip out from under that America naval power altogether.
3. Iran is essentially making the American Naval Supremacy redundant if America leaves things as is. This is the true challenge to the American narrative of "global superpower".
Iran is the hinge of that corridor, which is why Washington cannot allow it to stand as a fully sovereign power, and why the nuclear file was always the cover story for a far bigger fight, the one over whether the American century continues or whether the Eurasian powers finally build their way around it, straight through Iran.
This is a STRUCTURAL war, which is exactly why it does not end the day someone offers Iran a better deal, and if that framing bothers you, you have not been reading me closely, because it is the same thing I have been saying since the first day I went online.
𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟, 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘!!
The JCPOA was a nuclear control mechanism "against" Iran...
That deal WAS Iran already compromising on its nuclear "ambitions", accepting caps and inspections in exchange for sanctions relief, and the United States under Trump walked out of it and tore it up anyway in 2018.
So ask the question honestly. If Iran signed THAT deal, held to it, and then saw America abandon it and tear it up regardless, what kind of NEW nuclear deal is Iran supposed to believe in now?
There is ZERO agreement Iran can put on the table that would satisfy what the American Institutions are after, because what America wants goes well past ANY possible deal, all the way to the FULL surrender of the nuclear position, and behind that, of Iran's sovereignty itself.
And Iran will NEVER hand that over, not without fighting to the very end, because it saw what happened to the men who did.
1. In Iraq, Saddam Hussein gave up weapons he did not even have and was hanged.
2. Muammar Gaddafi dismantled his program, shook hands with the West, and was sodomized then killed in a ditch eight years later.
The lesson every sovereign state pulled out of Iraq and Libya's experience is that disarming yourself is the thing that gets you invaded.
Iran has tied its nuclear program to its sovereignty, to its identity, to its research and development, and to its standing as a state that bends to NO ONE, and it treats it as a national treasure.
Asking Iran to "give it up" is the equivalent of Russia demanding the United States shut down NASA.
No serious power does that, under any pressure, at any price.
I get challenged on this constantly, because I do not "fit neatly inside anyone's camp" or world view, and my reading will agree with you one day and inflame you the next.
I read this the way a realist reads it, by power and incentive and revealed preference, and not by the side I am "supposed" to be cheering for.
I am not taking Iran's side here. I am describing what ANY state does when it is ordered to disarm by the same power that just tore up the last disarmament it agreed to.
𝗦𝗜𝗚𝗡𝗔𝗟, 𝗡𝗢𝗧 𝗡𝗢𝗜𝗦𝗘!!
ngoni retweeted
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Iran war is choking off the world’s sulfur, and without it America can’t mine copper, make fertilizer or build a single tire
Mike Adams, who runs a food science lab and has taught preparedness for 25 years, says everyone tracks Hormuz in barrels while ignoring the byproduct that keeps industry alive.
Sulfur comes out of sour oil and gas, and miners use the acid made from it to pull copper out of rock:
“If you don’t have sulfuric acid, you don’t have copper and you don’t have a power grid, right?”
Mike says not a single fertilizer ship left the Gulf last month, which leaves Canada’s old waste piles in Alberta as the world’s backup supply.
Which means even if the oil keeps moving, this war sends its real bill later, through grid repairs, food prices and tires, and no tanker escort fixes that.
@HealthRanger @wethebrandon
ngoni retweeted
Ghalibaf isn't just a parliament speaker, he's a former IRGC commander. When he picks the language of economics over the language of missiles, he's speaking straight to American voters before the election.
Tehran is moving the fight from the battlefield to the American wallet. The message is clear: every escalation against Iran will be paid for at US gas pumps before any front line.
ngoni retweeted
If either Netanyahu or Trump strikes, Iran will retaliate against both. Its response will not be limited; it will be overwhelming and decisive.
ngoni retweeted
What did Zimbabweans do to deserve these two? They're in competition to provoke the battered citizenry. It's one thing after the other. Will they also issue abatement orders for dilapidated government buildings, hospitals & police stations & roads & other public infrastructure?
ngoni retweeted
The appointment of Kuda Tagwireyi after deliberately flouting of Zanu PF elevation protocols and catapulting into the Central Committee shows a deliberate arrogant attitude by the government akin to displaying a middle finger.
This is a man who bought state mines and parastatals using state funds extracted from inflated tender processes which he got awarded without due process.
The man built Trabablas Interchange at USD120 million instead of original USD60 million after elbowling out his partners Tensor and Masimba Construction mafia style!
This is the man who inflated Dema Diesel Plant for electricity generation from USD60 million to USD280 million and did not deliver electricity to the nation.
This is the man who “purchased” government owned mines during indigenisation drive and bundled them into Kuvimba Mining before selling them back to the government at USD1,6billion a move which drove up national debt by USD3 billion in 2019.
This is the man who was awarded Command Agriculture USD1,3 billion tender and delivered zero inputs but instead used the money to pay of the military for their mines, Dema Diesel Plant Contractors and dumped the rest of Treasury Bills on the open market with favourable rates from RBZ. A move which wiped half the value of the Bond Currency!
@wicknellchivayo is a kids play when it comes to money laundering and stealing compared to this guy!!
This one arguably the biggest thief in Africa.
Follow links below for investigative reports:
thesentry.org/wp-content/upl…
thesentry.org/reports/zimbab…
thesentry.org/wp-content/upl…
thesentry.org/wp-content/upl…
thesentry.org/wp-content/upl…
@Alxyore @Alex_Oloyede2 @ntsikimazwai @ndues_boy @nelsonchamisa @advocatemahere @zimbabweyauya @CrimeWatchZW @Chofamba @cozwva @CucsmanE @misscailah @MacBelts @innocentmaruza7 @jahman_adamski @drjaytee87 @Savheya_Happie @EvansZininga @ZimDaily @zimlive @citezw @ibbosnr @SAPESTrust10 @namataik_ @LynneStactia
ngoni retweeted
Only an idiot would get into a helicopter with all the weather warnings Zimbabwe has been getting since Friday last week.
Thunderstorms and winds were forecast & it was cloudy throughout this week.
If you've ever tried to drive at speed along a rutted & potholed dirt road, you'll understand why you should never, ever hop onto a helicopter when it's cloudy & windy (even if it's not raining).
The feeling of lack of control of the steering you feel when driving over severely uneven surfaces, as you bounce around trying desperately to control the steering even at fair speed, is almost similar to how one loses control of a helicopter in storm winds that precede a thunderstorm, as winds buffet the 'copter from left/right/up/down randomly.
In pre-thunderstorm weather like that in Zimbabwe this week, wind shears change directions instantly.
When a sudden gust tilts the helicopter violently, the pilot might instinctively over-correct.
Because a helicopter has a slight delay in reaction time, the pilot's frantic inputs can start fighting the wind, multiplying the chaos until the aircraft tears itself apart or crashes.
A pilot might push the cyclic control forward to nose down, but a massive updraft suddenly hits the helicopter, violently tossing it upward instead.
The controls stop giving predictable results in such weather.
There is nothing in the world that could ever be important enough to risk hopping onto a helicopter in weather such as that in Zimbabwe this week.
Remember that when you become Mbingas @mimmitwit @Mavhure @matigary
#RIP Dzambarafuta Wicknell, Lulu & crew.
ngoni retweeted
In my professional legal opinion, everyone who has received one of those cars has committed a criminal offence and may be liable to be imprisoned for up to 25 years in jail and to pay a fine of up to US$500,000. Read section 8(3)-(6) of the Money Laundering and Proceeds of Crime Act below and understand.
ngoni retweeted
ZIMRA inoswerotandanisa machembere edu kuti vaitirei maroja, asi Wicknell anopfachura million per month pachena vanongoramba vakati zii zvavo. Older folk, robbed of any savings they worked for now have to financially underpin a system that impoverished them. There is a peculiar form of sadistic cruelty that the Zimbabwean Government metes out against its most vulnerable citizens that is just soul crushing.
ngoni retweeted
Today I was in Headlands, where I had the privilege of interviewing 84-year-old liberation war veteran Bernard Tendayi Mberi, aka “Tendayi Shava.”
In January 1964, Mberi led the first group of 10 ZAPU youths sent to China for guerrilla and political training at the Nanking Academy.@Jamwanda2
ngoni retweeted
Diesel shortages lead to famine. Famine leads to food riots. Food riots lead to martial law. Martial law leads to capital controls. Capital controls lead to bank runs. Bank runs lead to bail-ins. Bail-ins lead to currency collapse. Currency collapse leads to sovereign default. Sovereign default leads to a global margin call. And a global margin call leads to the end of everything you thought was "money."
It all starts with one empty fuel tank.
ngoni retweeted
Zimbabwe averages at least 150 Statutory Instruments every year. This is a symptom of a number of things.
1. The Executive does not have any desire to have a broad based consensus and discussion around core issues to do with the country either in Parliament or anywhere. Their impulses driven by greed and avarice are what matters.
2. The Executive does not have real long term plans for the country, it operates on a State of Emergency, needing to make patchwork legislation rather than real legislative work with the country's development as the focus.
3. The SIs are often geared towards 2 core functions, retention of power and creation of opportunities for cronies to make money.
In summary, these SIs are a method to avoid accountability and serve as key pieces in consolidation of power and wealth.
ngoni retweeted
Borrowdale Brooke ... are guys ok?
Zimra, ZBC...who is next ?
Inga you are becoming popular
ngoni retweeted
Global icon and humanitarian, Dolly Parton, known to the world as a beloved singer, songwriter, philanthropist, actress, playwright, and author died peacefully today in Nashville, Tennessee. She was 80 years old.
Dolly is preceded in death by her beloved husband of 59 years Carl Thomas Dean (1942 – 2025), her mother Avie Lee Caroline Owens (1923 – 2003), and father, Robert Lee Parton, Sr. (1921 – 2000).
A rhinestone life that shone bright enough for the world to see, Dolly will forever stand as an inspiration not only through her timeless music and prolific songwriting, but also her wit, warmth, and kindness that made us all feel like family. Dolly Parton’s legacy is one of love, compassion, and resilience. With a seven-decade career, she inspired multiple generations of artists and fans with her music and an unwavering commitment to making the world a better place. Her songs will continue to resonate with people of all ages, and her philanthropic work will have a lasting impact.
At Dolly’s request, a small, private service will be held for immediate family. Dolly’s fans and friends from around the world are encouraged to pay tribute to Dolly on social media by tagging @DollyParton or by leaving a message at dollyparton.com
In lieu of flowers the family asks for donations to be made to Dolly Parton’s Imagination Library at imaginationlibrary.com
ngoni retweeted
The Perfect Equation & Entry Point
1. ED's regime starves & deprives Chamisa's party of funding it's entitled to under the relevant act.
2. Hopewell's offers his services to help raise funds on behalf of the party, including from private players.
3. This helps him to gain access to critical intelligence on party operations, such as who funds it, how much, Polling Agents, returns from constituencies, etc.
4. This also helps to gain him access to key players in the party at a much more intimate level. Incidentally, he was also deeply involved in the Sikhala fund raising efforts.
5. It's important to highlight that he obstinately hung around the CCC party fund raising & electoral machinery even as he publicly lampooned Chamisa under the guise of holding him to account.
6. Now, given his close but sophisticated & fluid relationship with the first family, how can he be trusted to safeguard sensitive party intel in that context?
7. More importantly, why would ED resist the urge to tap into that intel?
8. And how can a "Journalist" claiming to be viscerally opposed to ED's regime casually maintain a cosy relationship with it behind the scenes & credibly publicly still claim to be opposed to it? – at Shadwell, England