intermarket / cycles / trends all opinions are my own, not investment advice, etc.

Joined November 2023
How much of the euro's swing do the rates explain? EUR/USD (black) and Bund-Treasury spread (blue) fell together since summer (60-day correlation: 0.84). But the relationship broke down in 2025 and 2026: it accompanies, it does not guarantee.
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
If only someone had warned you... Oh wait, I DID!
The last time speculators bet this aggressively against the euro, it had one of its best 6-month periods ever. Foreign equities had one of their best starts to a year ever. Commodities surged. And much more. Today, I believe the stage is set for a very similar move.
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
2026 will be remembered as the year of the 60-40 Portfolio. 60% Tech with 40% Energy. Oil & Gas Explorers breaking out to all-time highs. $IEO
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Agricultural commodities are getting ready to join the party. Bonds left the party a long time ago. $DBA $TLT
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
These three small-cap sectors are set to post their highest monthly closes on record.
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This is NOT bearish. $KRE $XLF
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Yields: up or down?
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
Today's Chart of the Day was shared by @nullcharts Participation is expanding, as the median stock just pushed to its highest level since January 2022. Get the full breakdown in today's report plus more great charts. ⬇️ thechartreport.com/05-28-26
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
Priced in real money, energy commodities are breaking out of a massive base & trading at the highest level in 11 months.
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
After pulling back 15% over the past few weeks to retest the December low AVWAP, the $XLE has decisively reclaimed its all-time high AVWAP. In addition, the top 3 weightings in the sector are scheduled to report earnings later this week. Watch out for energy 👀
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
Watch out for the grains 👀
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
Today's Chart of the Day was shared by @nullcharts Rising yields may be the next phase of the commodity trade. Get the full details in today's report plus more great charts. ⬇️ thechartreport.com/04-27-26
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
The Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF has surged over +750% year-to-date. Link to the full article: numinaresearch.substack.com/… @nullcharts
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
Wouldn't this be a very funny place for memory stocks to top with the launch of the $DRAM etf? $MU $STX $SNXX $SNDK
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
Hmmmm (Thank you Fedwatch for the data)
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March loves to sound bearish. It’s also been a pretty good time to pinch your nose and buy.
It's not you. It's a March thing.
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
Watch out for the petrochemicals 👀
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Gold is the most extended from its 200-day moving average since 2006. The last few times it was 25% or more above, we saw some corrective action and a reversion to the mean. Take a look at this chart 👇
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Ricardo Sarraf retweeted
Last time Micro Caps Relative to Large Caps got overbought on a weekly basis was 2021... Outstanding performance from the microcaps/speculative growth today. I would assume the retail traders have something to do with this... $IWC $OEF
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It’s not just silver’s chart lining up — the Swiss franc (CHF/USD) is moving higher with it. For centuries, Switzerland was the safe haven of safe havens — the “central banker’s central bank.” That’s why Franc's & precious metals move together.
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