High risk low size long with 50x leverage
BTC grabbing ltf demand
SPX (or SPY) at demand
USDT.D at supply
It was literally all in the charts đ„±
$SPY
Scenario #1
This is the Dow Jones Equity All REIT Total Return Index. It tracks all US-listed REITs with dividends reinvested, so itâs basically a stock market chart of US real estate. Itâs near its all-time high, but a big part of the index today is data centres, cell towers and warehouses, so itâs also partly an AI infrastructure chart.
My take on where the chart is headed
Update:
War stocks rejecting from a massive order block but oil is dropping too.
So are we expecting peace news? Or the midterms win for the Democrats is the reason that is being used to justify price movement?
Either way, SPX also looks like it wants to head lower so I am guessing some non-war related bad news is coming.
War stocks down, oil down, SPX down, and BTC still looks heading down after a move up (today could have been the move up)
Verdict: đ©ł
This is going to be a nothing burger.
Nukes can't be used in the 21st century because they're far more powerful than the ones dropped on Japan during WW2, plus it will adversely impact global food/crops etc and US allies like the gulf states and Europe will suffer greatly from nuclear fallout. The negative impact will also be felt in south asia.
Anyone who uses a nuke today will face global isolation but also motivate non-nuclear weapon holding countries to make their own. The prime candidates would be Japan, Germany, Saudi Arabia,Turkey, South Korea etc.
2028 onwards we enter a period of international peace and anyone talking about the use of nukes has zero idea about how the weapon works.
solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 in the next 2 months would like to see this entry and then achieve this price in the first two quarters of 2027.
Then it is all over.
This is going to be a nothing burger.
Nukes can't be used in the 21st century because they're far more powerful than the ones dropped on Japan during WW2, plus it will adversely impact global food/crops etc and US allies like the gulf states and Europe will suffer greatly from nuclear fallout. The negative impact will also be felt in south asia.
Anyone who uses a nuke today will face global isolation but also motivate non-nuclear weapon holding countries to make their own. The prime candidates would be Japan, Germany, Saudi Arabia,Turkey, South Korea etc.
2028 onwards we enter a period of international peace and anyone talking about the use of nukes has zero idea about how the weapon works.
Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickax Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. âBibi calls Trump about it every day,â says an informed observer.
Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last weekâs election results, he canât form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war.
To that end, heâs applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper. Both oppose a negotiated settlement to the war theyâve so grievously mismanaged; both are pushing to restart major combat operations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahuâs lead, as are leaders of the Democratic Party. In a recent meeting on the subject, former president Barack Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha.
The rest of Americaâs longtime allies in the Middle East are terrified by the prospect of more war. On September 27th, Netanyahu flew secretly to Abu Dhabi to enlist the UAE in his lobbying effort for a final attack on Iran. The Emiratis refused. After eight months of conflict, Gulf economies are teetering. So are global energy and fertilizer markets. They wonât recover soon. Globally, there are a total of about 850 supertankers used to transport oil from producers to the rest of the world. In October alone, 11 of them were badly damaged in Hormuz. At this pace, a global depression is imminent. A nuclear strike would radically accelerate the destruction. Fallout from a ground explosion at Pickax Mountain would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning the water supply for 100 million people.
And those are just some of the immediate consequences for the region. The rest of the world is every bit as exposed. No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final.
Weâve been sleepwalking toward this moment for months. Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten Americaâs nuclear doctrine to make first use of so-called âbattlefield nukesâ easier and therefore more likely. No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this. Now weâre on the brink of it.
Close observers say Trump is likely to decide by next weekend whether or not to use nuclear weapons. That would be November 7, six days from now. To his credit, heâs hesitating. At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and to his envoy and friend Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made.
Theyâre right, though it wonât be simple. The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February. After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West. (There is a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the United States government controls Israel.) But overall, people who have spoken to decision-makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making.
One group that hasnât been consulted so far is the global population â the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children if Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week. Now would be the time for them to speak up.
TP1 â
- Take 30% off and hold this trade till the end of the month.
Currently prepping for swing shorts on BTC, DOGE and ETH. Sell off events in Nov-Dec 2026.
Long $BTC
Only holding it for 5-15 days tops
We will then short at the end of the month with size
We will go to 67-72K imo
BOOM
Long $BTC
Only holding it for 5-15 days tops
We will then short at the end of the month with size
We will go to 67-72K imo
The downfall has begun as I have been saying for so long.
HOWEVER, there's a fair chance for a very strong alt rally in the coming months. The last major exit liquidity rally.
Check pinned tweet for scenario #1
After a dump to 67-72K, we 'might' get our alt season as SPX makes it's first lower high and crypto will outperform on every move up.
I am positioning with small capital and high leverage for this move.
Chart below: (Total crypto mcap excluding stablecoins)/US500






























