• AM: Horse Racing Catalyst • PM: Sports Data Analyst aka Studebaker | Stuesday Profile 📷 by @mrwillw • views my own
The Nearest Racecourse
Joined March 2009
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Hey @ShotTakingTime:
For tonight's Oreilly race, do you favor team J (J. Alligator, JLo) or team C (Corey, Carson, Creed)?
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Hey @EJXD2, I know that you are up late watching Ohio v. Akron football.
Do you think that the Zips have a 4th quarter rally in them?
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I ❤️ when @horseracing leans into innovation.
I am looking forward to Boxing Day to see how "NY or CAN Bred MAIDEN" races are embraced at Belmont.
Kudos to @WoodbineTB and @TheNYRA
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On this day in 2004, Janet Van Bebber became the only trainer to win a quarterhorse stakes race at a Breeders' Cup host track on the same weekend as the BC itself.
Silent Overdrive won the Gr 1 Refrigerator Handicap
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Stuart Slagle retweeted
PLAYOFF FLASH SALE ALERT 🔔🚨
200 seats. $8.59 each. Supporters section only. Once they're gone, they're gone! ⚠️
LEX get loud 859 fam!! 🔊
🎟️ $8.59 Tickets 👉 shorturl.at/6CWzn
Eight months later, my Olympic wish comes true.
It's racing on an oval. How can I not watch?
@peacock is streaming the ISU #shorttrackworldtour
isu-skating.com/en/short-tra…
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Stuart Slagle retweeted
3 examples for why calibration ≠ accuracy.
Accuracy is closeness to the truth.
Calibration is interpretation as a valid probability.
Neither implies the other.
1. Assign 10% to every horse in a 10 horse race. Perfectly calibrated (exactly 1 horse wins every race), but useless, not accurate.
2. "Yes" happens 90% of the time. Forecast is Uniform 51-100% on Yes, Uniform 0-50% on No. Badly miscalibrated, but useful for prediction (accurate). Beats perfectly calibrated 50/50 forecast.
3. Coin toss that is biased as follows. The side facing up before the toss occurs 60% of time. The side facing up is randomized 50/50. Forecast Method #1 gives 50/50 every toss. Method #2 uses the information and gives 60% on the side facing up. Both are calibrated, Method #2 is more accurate.
Breakfast Sammies and Breakfast Potatoes at @keenelandracing Track Kitchen.
This is the last picture. It was impossible to find a parking spot this morning
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Door to Door in 9 minutes.
I thought that I gave up being at the track before 6AM when I quit agenting a couple of decades ago
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