think.speak.transform. "navigate the future" #speaker #futurist #transhumanism #technology #innovation #sustainability (he/him) 🇪🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦🌍🌱🤖🧑🏽🚀🚀
Berlin, Germany
Joined May 2009
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Pascal Morgan retweeted
AI safety expert Dr. Roman Yampolskiy answers the question with no pause: Are we living in a simulation? Yes. We are.
He says the math is ugly.
If we are about to build intelligent agents, and we already build virtual worlds, then anyone can spin up civilizations full of beings like us.
Every kid plays a couple games.
Billions of fake worlds.
One real one.
What are the chances you are the original?
He has believed it for five years.
Bostrom’s paper got him there.
Bostrom was 20, 30 percent sure.
Yampolskiy thinks the number is higher.
You asked if that makes you fake.
He said no.
If you are inside the sim, simulated rain still soaks you.
You still feel pain.
You still fall in love.
The simulators have had 15 billion perceived years to kill us.
They didn’t.
They can shut it off any second.
The new threat is us.
Building a competing superintelligence inside their world.
That may be what triggers shutdown.
Lights out.
Pascal Morgan retweeted
Gemini Omni is a major leap in world understanding & multimodal editing! It can take photos, video & audio and build entirely new scenes. Over time it’ll be able to handle any input & any output - starting w/ video
You can even give it your own videos & iterate on your ideas:
Pascal Morgan retweeted
We're live Man vs. Machine xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1aJbdbgeA…
Pascal Morgan retweeted
David Sinclair says we’ll find out this year whether aging is reversible.
His lab reversed biological age in animals by 75% in six weeks. The FDA has cleared the first human trial.
Aging may be information loss.
Information can be restored.
Pascal Morgan retweeted
Ben Affleck also went off on AI in Hollywood:
▫️LLM fim script outputs are mid (“by its nature, [the models go] to the mean, the average”)
▫️but they are useful tools for research
▫️doesn’t think it’ll ever make a film whole cloth
▫️it’s a tool just like VFX and will be useful to save money to create certain background settings (which already happens with CGI)
▫️guilds already protect human actors from being totally erased from certain films
▫️there’s also laws in place to protect name and likeness
▫️says most new technologies take time to disperse through society
▫️thinks fearmongering of “all the jobs are going to be taken” is the AI labs hyping for fundraising (“they need to justify valuation around companies…they need to ascribe a valuation for investment for the CAPEX spend they will make on data centres”)
Matt Damon and Ben Affleck on Rogan taking about how Netflix has changed filmmaking.
A major considerations is dealing with distracted viewers. To keep them tuned in, “you re-iterate the plot 3-4x in the dialogue because people are on their phones.”
Then, in action films, you change the ordering of climatic fights.
In traditional action films, you’d have “three set pieces” in every act (I, II, III) and each would “ramp up” (spend the big money on third set piece).
But streaming has to hook viewers within 5 minute, so the incentive is to put a major battle or action sequence much earlier.
Also, the directors have less incentive to make a film look great because so many people watch on laptops and phones.
They do say that streaming allows for more bets on risky projects since the theatre economics are geared towards IP, sequels and super-heroes.
Example: an independent film with a $25m budget would spend $25m on marketing (1:1 ratio). But since it splits box office with the theatre, the film needs to make $100m (1/2 of which is $50m) just to break even.
They’re realistic about the state of film and call it a supply-demand issue. If the demand is for at-home viewing (eg. Netflix 300m+ subs), then filmmaking approach will change to feed the algo.
When there’s demand for theatre, Damon will go team up with Christopher Nolan to make “The Odyssey”.
Pascal Morgan retweeted
Shane Legg, Chief AGI Scientist and co-founder of Google DeepMind, calls the human brain a "mobile processor" compared to what’s coming.
The gap between human and machine intelligence is hardwired into physics.
→ In human-brain, Neural signals max out at 30m/s; AI operates at light speed.
→ Neurons tick at ~100Hz; silicon chips run at gigahertz.
→ Brain runs on 20W; AI scales to 1GW data centers.
Superintelligence isn’t optional—it’s baked into the hardware trajectory.
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From 'Google DeepMind and Hannah Fry' YT Channel (link in comment)
Pascal Morgan retweeted
The world we know is ending. Here’s what the new one will look like | Peter Leyden: Full Interview @peteleyden
0:00 We’re on the cusp of an era of progress
0:37 The Great Progression
1:08 What was the ‘Long Boom?’
4:56 How often do these epoch resets happen?
6:12 3 Tipping points
6:39 Artificial Intelligence
7:13 Clean energy technologies
7:32 Biotechnology
9:00 The 80-year cycle
13:27 The Gilded Age
17:50 The Founding Era
22:46 The new enlightenment
32:18 The clean energy revolution
37:13 Bioengineering the genome
39:43 Industrial production vs biological engineering
47:40 What will the future think?
Pascal Morgan retweeted
“AC this, wash dryer that, US woohoo, EU boohoo” - Why are we eating this brand-warfare from the outside about us up?
Europe has the strongest precision manufacturing in the world, we have leading teams in AI, CV, robotics. Europe is a leader in Automation and Frontier Tech!
Not a single NVIDIA chip could be produced without European machines. Not a single American cloud, robotics, or deep-tech firm would operate without European manufacturing or suppliers.
But we are too humble. Brainwashed to never celebrate Europe. By outsiders and our local politicians.
Time for a change.
Europe is the birthplace of industrialization.
The home of frontier tech.
Time, we act like it.
Welcome to the real Europe! 🔥🇪🇺
Pascal Morgan retweeted
Today we are launching our next agent capable of doing work for you independently—deep research.
Give it a prompt and ChatGPT will find, analyze & synthesize hundreds of online sources to create a comprehensive report in tens of minutes vs what would take a human many hours.
Pascal Morgan retweeted
OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar says AGI is "closer than most think" and the ability of internal research models to perform at PhD level in a range of fields "would blow your mind to see what's coming"
Pascal Morgan retweeted
Ukraine. Our land. Given by God. Kissed by the sun. Rocked by the winds. Tempered by fire. Defended by its sons and daughters.
It cannot be mistaken for anything else.
It can never be given away to anyone.
Happy Independence Day of Ukraine!
Pascal Morgan retweeted
Kamala Harris says as President she would ensure America's leadership in space and artificial intelligence, and ensure America defeats China in the competition for the 21st century
Pascal Morgan retweeted
💥BOOM 💥 Llama 3.1 is out 💥
405B, 70B, 8B versions.
Main takeaways:
1. 405B performance is on par with the best closed models.
2. Open/free weights and code, with a license that enables fine-tuning, distillation into other models, and deployment anywhere.
3. 128k context length, multi-lingual abilities, good code generation performance, complex reasoning abilities, tool use.
4. Llama Stack API for easy integration.
5. Ecosystem with over 25 partners, including AWS, NVIDIA, Databricks, Groq, Dell, Azure, and Google Cloud.
Blog post: ai.meta.com/blog/meta-llama-…
Llama home: llama.meta.com/
With today’s launch of our Llama 3.1 collection of models we’re making history with the largest and most capable open source AI model ever released. 128K context length, multilingual support, and new safety tools. Download 405B and our improved 8B & 70B here. llama.meta.com
Pascal Morgan retweeted
Wow.
If you are to watch one video this morning, watch this.
Pete Buttigieg perfectly explains why Billionaires in Silicon Valley now support Trump and why J.D. Vance has flip flopped to liking Trump.
Pascal Morgan retweeted
Superintelligence is within reach.
Building safe superintelligence (SSI) is the most important technical problem of our time.
We've started the world’s first straight-shot SSI lab, with one goal and one product: a safe superintelligence.
It’s called Safe Superintelligence Inc.
SSI is our mission, our name, and our entire product roadmap, because it is our sole focus. Our team, investors, and business model are all aligned to achieve SSI.
We approach safety and capabilities in tandem, as technical problems to be solved through revolutionary engineering and scientific breakthroughs. We plan to advance capabilities as fast as possible while making sure our safety always remains ahead.
This way, we can scale in peace.
Our singular focus means no distraction by management overhead or product cycles, and our business model means safety, security, and progress are all insulated from short-term commercial pressures.
We are an American company with offices in Palo Alto and Tel Aviv, where we have deep roots and the ability to recruit top technical talent.
We are assembling a lean, cracked team of the world’s best engineers and researchers dedicated to focusing on SSI and nothing else.
If that’s you, we offer an opportunity to do your life’s work and help solve the most important technical challenge of our age.
Now is the time. Join us.
Ilya Sutskever, Daniel Gross, Daniel Levy
June 19, 2024
Pascal Morgan retweeted
A future where AI will interact with the real world in three dimensional space is almost here.
Here’s why AI pioneer @drfeifei says the rise of spatial intelligence could lead to the next evolution of human flourishing: t.ted.com/UQAAUJ9
