Fragility, conflict & security @ international organizations. #Cartoons at https://teapawt.net/t.co/SOeGqINFaO. Co-host at @fworldpodcast. 🇷🇴🇺🇸 Views=my own
Washington, DC
Joined January 2015
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From fragile states to NATO states, the question is often asked: How to build #defense 🪖 & #security 👮♀️institutions that are affordable, well-governed, & effective? Our book focused on budgets & following the💰to link security with economic development 👇
This book offers a framework for analyzing public financial management, financial transparency, and oversight, as well as expenditure policy issues that determine how to most appropriately manage security and justice services.
👉Download: wrld.bg/sFt050KYrh7
#DisarmamentWeek
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
CHART OF THE DAY: Global electricity generation in absolute terms, by source. A senior @IEA official, who shared the chart on LinkedIn, said coal was, for the time being, "the undisputed leading source of power generation." Perhaps we should spend more time talking about that?
Capital with a compass: How to unlock investments in the hardest places
As global development shifts from aid to private capital mobilization, fragile states are the ultimate frontier — political, social, security, and economic forces combine to produce the opacity and noise that deters investment even where opportunity exists.
My new piece for @BrookingsGlobal argues that MDBs and DFIs need a dual strategy:
➡️ Governance is the foundation. It determines whether infrastructure gets built and works, whether capital flows, and whether investment strengthens stability or entrenches predatory power.
➡️ Strategic intelligence is the means. Fragility is, in part, an information disorder. MDBs hold the underused intelligence to help private capital navigate risks and opportunities in fragile states.
These are exactly the kinds of challenges I enjoy helping institutions navigate. Grateful to @BrookingsInst and @Shanta_WB for hosting this piece, and to Junjie Ren for bringing it across the finish line.
brookings.edu/articles/unloc…
#fragilestates #frontiermarkets #developmentfinance #geopolitics
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
How to unlock investments in the hardest places by @pmbisca brookings.edu/articles/unloc…
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
Alongside their devastating human toll, conflicts impose large & lasting economic costs. Economic activity drops sharply in conflict‑affected economies, down by 3% at onset & reaching cumulative losses of nearly 7% within 5 years. This exceeds the costs of financial crises and severe natural disasters. imf.org/en/publications/weo/…
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
Fragility does not stop at the border. It impacts neighboring regions through cross-border insecurity, migration, refugee flows, and trade disruptions. Addressing fragility in any country supports broader global stability. More in our blog. imf.org/en/blogs/articles/20…
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
Fragility does not stop at the border. It impacts neighboring regions through cross-border insecurity, migration, refugee flows, and trade disruptions. Addressing fragility in any country supports broader global stability. More in our new blog. imf.org/en/blogs/articles/20…
When States Break, Economies Follow
Fragility is a lens through which some of the most consequential risks to global stability come into focus. About 38 economies home to 1 billion people are fragile and #conflict-affected, while other emerging markets and richer countries suffer from social stress, inequality, polarization, or violence driven by organized crime. These forces fundamentally distort how economies operate. In a time of greater #geopolitical fragmentation, understanding the fragility spectrum is central to assessing country #risks and opportunities for anyone tracking the global economy.
In our new paper, we show what happens to economic performance when the forces of #fragility intensify. When institutions are weak, fiscal weakness creates self-reinforcing vulnerabilities, and shocks hit harder. We also look at what policies leaders can implement to strengthen the state and make it an enabler of growth and resilience.
imf.org/en/publications/depa…
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
ICYMI, @IMFnews recently published a paper on macroeconomic developments in low-income countries (1/4) imf.org/en/Publications/Poli…
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
Alex van Breemen, a Dutch businessman living in Romania, has just offered a REWARD of Euro 100.000 for information leading to the recovery of the precious Dacian objects, stolen last Saturday in the Netherlands.
Please retweet
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
Breaking: Last night thieves entered the Drents Museum in Assen, The Netherlands, with the use of explosives. They got away with precious objects from the ehibition 'Dacia - Realm of Gold and Silver'. The display features treasures from the ancient kingdom of Dacia. What a horror
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
A new paper, just to provoke - on the political economy of economic policy advice - just out in Journal of African Economies. tinyurl.com/2sx7tda3
May we choose the right keys to 2025!
#newyear2025 @BureauCrazy_DC
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
It’s 35 years since the Romanian revolution and the fall of Ceausescu. Time to bring out a magazine I bought all those years ago...in Moscow.
A cartoon on ambition and realism 🙂
bureau-crazy.com/2024/12/19/…
#development #strategy #endpoverty
Paul M. Bisca retweeted
Rural development is hard, and gender challenges make it even harder.
Watch Dina Saleh @Dina1Saleh, Regional Director of the Near East, North Africa, and Europe Division @IFAD share her experience working in a remote community in #Sudan where women weren’t registered, had no identification, and were isolated from economic opportunities.
Watch the full episode on YouTube ⏩ youtu.be/sw_iATo7v0Q
Watch or Listen on Spotify 🎧 tinyurl.com/3hzh95wv
#FoodSystems #FoodSecurity #InvestInRuralPeople #ZeroHunger #RuralWomen #Fragility #EndPoverty