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52 Trading Never-Dos: Lessons Every Trader Learns The Hard Way
1) Never oversize. That is when you start becoming irrational. Blowing up while still being right is the fastest way to ruin.
2) Never trade when tired or sleep-deprived. Decision fatigue has ended more traders than liquidation ever could.
3) Never trade without a defined edge. Entering without one is just gambling with extra steps. If you can’t explain your edge in a single sentence, you probably don’t have one.
4) Never enter a position out of boredom. The desire to always be in a trade leads to suboptimal returns. More often than not, doing nothing is the best move.If you find yourself taking trades just to feel busy or because you “haven’t traded in a while,” check yourself. Trading for action leads to sloppy decisions and losses.There’s no prize for the most trades – only for the most profitable trades. Sometimes the best trade is no trade
5) Never trade after a big loss. Tilt sets in, and you try to win it all back in one bad bet. Trying to recover everything at once is a guaranteed way to lose even more.
6) Never enter a position without an exit plan. Whether it’s a time-based stop, price stop, invalidation, or catalyst-driven exit—define it before you enter. Remember, the last moment of objectivity is before you place the trade.Once you’re in, it’s much harder to admit you’re wrong, so decide beforehand when to cut the loss.
7) Never marry your bags. The market doesn’t care about your conviction. Cut or be cut.
8) Never trade your PNL—trade the market. Chasing losses or fixating on past wins clouds judgment and distorts execution.
9) Not all views are meant to be traded. The best trade is often no trade. Preserving capital and mental bandwidth for when odds favor you is more important than forcing activity.
10) Never fight the trend. The wave is stronger than you. Adapt or get wiped out.
11) Never try to knife catch without reason. "Cheap" can always get cheaper.
12) Never break your trading rules or deviate from your plan in the heat of the moment. Your rules exist for a reason – usually learned from painful experience. The moment you convince yourself “just this once” to ignore a rule (like moving a stop, or doubling down, or trading too big), you open the door to chaos. Discipline is doing the right thing even when it’s hard. As one trading maxim goes, plan the trade and trade the plan.
13) Never fire all your bullets at once.
14) Never trade outside your comfort zone. If a position is too big, you’ll start making fear-based decisions, thinking that market or someone is trying to liquidate you seeing ghosts where none exists. Size your trades proportional to the quality of your sleep at night.
15) Never let ego keep you in a bad trade. Admit when you're wrong—cut, reset, move on.
16) Never underestimate market reflexivity. Strength can always go higher, weakness can always go lower.
17) Never assume liquidity will be there when you need it. The exit door is always smaller than you imagine—liquidity isn’t something you decide, the market does.
18) Never mistake randomness for strategy. Buying because price is going up or shorting because it “feels high” isn’t trading—it’s blind betting. Even with good risk management, you’ll bleed out over time if your entries are based on nothing.
19) Never make the same mistake twice. Trading mistakes are inevitable, repeating them is unacceptable. Never lose the same way twice
20) Never forget to play defense. Being wrong is acceptable, staying wrong is not. Protecting capital always comes first. "Don’t focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.”
21) Never just focus on offense. Survival > everything. If you don’t bet, you can’t win. If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet.
22) Never fall into lifestyle creep after one big win. The problem starts when you begin forecasting annual income based on a single lucky trade.
23) Never forget to turn defensive after a hot streak. Big losses come after a series of wins when overconfidence sets in. Check your ego—your last big trade means nothing to the market.
24) Never let pride, ego, or overconfidence take over. Always stay humble.|
25) Never trade in situations where you don’t have control. for eg. FOMC events
26) Never get complacent. A strategy that worked in one regime may stop working in another. Trading is a craft that requires continuous self-improvement. Comfort Is Often the Enemy of your PNL. Never assume you know for sure what the market will do. “We have two classes of forecasters: those who don’t know — and those who don’t know that they don’t know.” Never assume your edge is permanent. Markets evolve, edges fade, and what worked last cycle may be useless in the next. Keep refining, keep testing—stagnation is death.
27) Never ever average losers after your reasoning has been invalidated
28) Never trade with certainty, trade with conviction.
29) Never assume the market “must” do something, especially based on recent patterns.The market doesn’t owe you continuity or logic. Just because a market has been rising (or falling) steadily doesn’t mean it can’t abruptly reverse. Avoid words like “surely” or “can’t possibly” in trading. Stay flexible – anything can happen. As a reminder: never say never about market behavior.
30) Never mistake win rate for everything. Maximizing winning trades for the sake of feeling good is a trap. Taking profits too early or avoiding necessary small losses ultimately hurts profitability.
31) Never underestimate discipline, patience, risk control, and execution over alpha generation. Plenty of traders have great alpha flow but don’t know how to use it.Good execution involves choosing not just what and how to trade, but when not to trade. Sometimes the best execution decision is no trade at all if conditions aren’t suitable. Always ask: “Do I have an edge here, or am I flipping coins?” If it’s the latter, save your capital for a better spot.
32) Never fall apart after a big loss or get euphoric after a big win. Emotional resilience is a trader’s strongest asset.
33)Never ignore price action after news. If the market reacts opposite to what you expected, get out. The market is telling you something you don’t see.
34) Never trade on borrowed conviction. If you buy on someone else’s tip, you’ll need them to call your exit too—and when they go silent, you’re stuck. As Livermore said: “Nobody makes big money on what someone else tells him to do.” Hone your own craft, build your own system. If you can’t trust your own decisions, you’re just a pawn in someone else’s trade.
35) Never go against your intuition. If something feels off, it usually is.
36) Never try to Catch Every Move It’s tempting to try to grab every up and down in the market, but that’s a fool’s errand. Always come from the mindset of abundance and not scarcity, markets will still be there and there are ample opportunities in the market to make you whole,
you don’t need to swing at every pitch.
37) Never underestimate the power of failure. Failing early and failing often—while staying in the game—is how you get better.
38) Never hold onto losers when your thesis is invalidated, especially after a massive drop. "I’ve lost too much to sell now" is how you go to zero.
39) Never let "getting back to break even" dictate your decisions. That mindset leads to overtrading and eventually, full liquidation.
40) Never focus only on entries. A trade isn’t over until you’ve exited. Knowing when to cash out is just as important as knowing when to enter.
41) Never ignore the “boring” part (position sizing, stops, risk/reward) – it’s what keeps you in business.Don’t wait for a catastrophic loss to teach you this lesson.
42) Never trade for the adrenaline rush, Trade for the win
43) Never fall into the illusion of strength—it’s often just lagging behind reality.
44) Never stay/enter in a position out of 'HOPE' and wishful thinking
45) Never underestimate risk management. Prioritize protecting capital over chasing profits. "Take care of your losses, and the profits will take care of themselves."
46) Never exit/enter a position recklessly. The same way you scale in, you should scale out—"all in, all out" is a recipe for disaster.
47) Never make a bet you can’t afford to lose. No single trade should ever be big enough to take you out of the game.“The most important advice is to never let a loser get out of hand.” You should be able to be wrong 20 or 30 times in a row and still have capital left. Never allow a single position to jeopardize your trading career
48) Never trade outside your edge. If it’s not there, sit out. Forcing trades outside your framework is how accounts erode.
49) Never assume your edge is permanent. Markets evolve, edges fade, and what worked last cycle may be useless in the next. Keep refining, keep testing—stagnation is death.
50) Never judge a trade solely by its outcome. Good trades lose money sometimes, and bad trades can get lucky. Focus on execution over results.
51) Never worry about looking stupid or staying in a position because of your public opinion. I have seen many a men die before their time because they were worried about getting publicly ashamed. Cut your losses without hesitation. The market doesn’t care about your pride—neither should you.
52) Never underestimate the power of stepping away. If you’re in a losing streak, liquidate everything and take a break. Mental capital is just as important as financial capital. The key is to break the negative emotional spiral
Once you come back keep your size small and increase exposure only when you gain back your confidence.
These lessons were learned thanks to the books I’ve read, the smart traders I’ve learned from, and the endless mistakes I’ve made along the way.
Trading is lonely. It hurts. It makes you question everything. But if I had to choose again? I’d still take this over everything.
Normie retweeted
So you’re telling me you can:
> Bundle a token launch across dozens of wallets to accumulate a significant percentage of the supply
> Call the token out to your followers and manufacture enough buying pressure to drive the price up
> Systematically dump your holdings through those same wallets directly into the “demand” you just created
> Collect daily USDC Callout Rewards from the platform on top of whatever you made dumping on your own followers
> Completely abandon the token once you've extracted whatever liquidity you can, leaving your followers holding the losses
> Repeat the exact same process across multiple launches while presenting yourself as a successful trader
So the entire model is to secretly control supply, manufacture demand, mislead your own followers, dump on them, and get rewarded by the platform for facilitating the activity?
Am I missing something here or have we just normalized textbook market manipulation and outright fraud?
The fact that this is all happening on a public ledger makes it even more absurd.
There will be a reckoning to come.
Read this exchange between your beloved Ansem and me, and understand that you're nothing more than a customer to these people.
PS: As I said, he's already trying to explain away his responsibility.
Replying to @xydotdot
well you're wrong on multiple fronts
i am all in on this & i have actually never been all in on something in crypto before, usually i just trade the market as it comes & dont use any levers external to crypto
this cycle i have 10x the network & influence that i did last cycle & will be using all of the levers that i have to make this as successful as possible, ppl are greatly underestimating network effects here that will play out over time
i havent already won, if that was the case i wouldve logged out in 2025, im still here because i genuinely believe i can impact this place for the better & have high confidence that i can create something that makes ppl a lot of money this cycle and has staying power for a long time
but outside of just me, there's an entire community on CT that has been waiting to align on something that people can actually believe in, crypto is attractive to your average person because its the only place where you can turn $100 into $1,000,000, this can only happen in the trenches, we've seen in happen with doge, pepe, bonk, wif, & others, if cycle bottom is in there is going to be an onchain play that prints a new group of millionaires, $ANSEM will be most talked about coin on CT and there is legitimately billions of dollars of sidelined capital waiting to bid majors and beta to majors thinking bottom is happening in Q4, OGs know the best way to bring attention to crypto is a new wealth creation event & thats why theres always something onchain that goes parabolic as the cycle is beginning
i like when ppl are on the opposite side of my trades, its always when theres the best risk/reward for asymmetric returns, & now i have a reason to prove people wrong just like i did in 2021 & 2023
Normie retweeted
pumpfun onboarding, alon style. he turns kimchi, a noodle seller from chinatown, into a fake trump coin millionaire, gainzy brings the hookies, and the normies buy the bundle.
STONKS PARK · WOK N' RUG
buy solana:7gKKy2p1SaMkRFPX7caF96YpfuMMpDj82ZpjaffuvaU5
Normie retweeted
Anyone defending PumpFun is 1 of 2 things
1) on their payroll
2) a retard
Both in many cases
glorifying blatant scammers on chain is giving more people a positive perception of trading crypto? what part of the cycle is this and how much did pumpfun pay for this:
Replying to @ashrobin
ct hates on everything tbh, ppl get especially weird when you post your kids on here, also there isnt much to post if you've retired your parents you just do it and continue on with your life
super cars & nice watches are content that goes viral, i dont understand ppl mad at that content if they want more people to have a positive perception of trading crypto
Us and Iran “agree on a deal” don’t know how true it is, but I’m selling the news for sure. Great start to the morning $spy
Normie retweeted
Check Franks recent perp trades on FOMO if you want to see a masterclass of what not to do
Stick to insider info and bundled memecoins champ
Normie retweeted
To celebrate the new Pokemon Angels Pack on Jupiter Gacha 💞👼
WE’RE RUNNING A SPECIAL GIVEAWAY VALUED AT $300 🔥
1 packs. 1 winner.
How to enter:
1⃣ Follow @JUPCommunity
2⃣ Like + RT this post
3⃣ Drop the card you’re chasing
Ends Sunday 22:00 UTC
Normie retweeted
The Audit Of The Memecoin Casino
Since late August we have recorded every trade on every pump fun and Stonk launch on Solana. Not a sample. All of it: 384 million swaps from 7.7 million wallets across more than a million pools, every bonding curve and every pool that follows it. That is over 56 GB of data and 820 million rows of market history, and it grows by 18 to 25 million trades, up to a million wallets and more than 60,000 new launches every day.
We measured each coin minute by minute. We scored every entry by what the coin did next. We trained neural nets on the result, then went wallet by wallet looking for the people who actually win.
The question was simple: can anyone see the big move coming before it happens?
The short answer is no. The long answer is worse than no, because the data does not just fail to find an edge for you. It shows, in detail, who holds the edge, how they use it, and what they do with you.
Start with a coin that has actually caught a bid: real volume, real buyers, the kind of thing that shows up on your screener. From any given moment, about one in ten of those doubles within the next 24 hours. The rest bleed, and the bleeding is not gentle.
Now take a wallet's first buy into a live coin. Every first buy, 22.8 million of them over a two-week window. In 17% of those entries the coin doubles before it drops 40%. Trade that mechanically, double or stop, and you lose about 19% per attempt after costs.
Call that the house hold. A slot machine keeps 5 to 10%. This keeps 19%, per pull, before any skill or selection is applied.
The reason is the shape of the payoff. A 2× pays you 100%. The failures do not cost you 10%; they cost you 50%, 80%, 95%. To break even you have to be right far more often than the game allows.
The cabal is real, and we can see it
CT calls it the cabal. The data calls it a cluster: a set of wallets whose first buys land within a minute of each other, on the same brand-new coins, over and over. We do not find them by name or PFP. They fall out of the trade stream all on their own.
They are there. Swarms of 450, 1,400 and 2,000 wallets that hit hundreds of launches a week, moving in within the first minute or two of a coin's life. Smaller, tighter groups of 7 to 50 wallets that pick their spots. Across daily refreshes the count has run from 9 groups to 33, with members rotating in and out as wallets burn and fresh ones take their place.
They are not guessing. The coins the big swarms pile into double 28 to 46% of the time, three to four times the base rate. Their own entries, across every coin they touch, run 50 to 60% to a 2× before a 40% drop, against 17% for everyone else.
That is what an edge looks like in this market. It belongs to a few hundred wallets, and it is applied to tens of thousands of launches with industrial regularity.
Copying them loses too
The obvious retort: find the cabal, copy the cabal. We did exactly that. A machine watches every launch every minute and flags the moment a known group piles in. Then we traded every flag the way a fast human could: in two minutes behind the group, double or stop out at −40%, out after a day.
Following the big swarms lost 41% per coin across 93 coins. The median result was −95%. Not because they were wrong; their coins doubled 28% of the time. Two minutes behind them is simply already the top of the move. They bought at launch. You bought the candle they are selling into.
Following only the groups with a positive track record still lost 11% per coin. Following one good wallet on its own lost 20% per trade in our back-tests. The single pocket that came out ahead, a handful of small, tight groups, made about 10% per coin over 16 coins. That is a few days of trades and nothing anyone should bet a bankroll on.
The cabal's edge is not information you can borrow. It is position. By the time their trade is visible on-chain, the thing that made it profitable is gone.
The best model we could build still loses
We also tried the honest version: no cabal, just prediction. Dozens of signals per coin every minute, price, flow, liquidity, holder behaviour, bot share, fed into neural nets trained on our own history and tested on days they had never seen.
It works, in the sense a quant would recognize. The top of its ranking doubles 26% of the time against a 10% base rate. Two and a half times better than chance.
It also loses money every single day. 771 picks over eight days; every day negative; −11% per pick on the same double-or-stop rule; the median pick down 45%; 55% stopped out within 24 hours.
The ranking is real and the P&L is still red. The losers are deeper than the winners are tall, and nothing observable at the five-minute mark separates the coin that keeps going from the one that reverses. That is the part worth meditating on: a model 2.5× better than chance odds is still a losing model.
Why nobody sees it coming
The reason is simple, and it should change how you look at every chart. A meme coin moves because a few people decide to move it: the operator holding the supply, the caller with an audience, the wallet group with the bankroll. That decision is made off-chain. The chain only shows you its execution, the swaps, the volume, the new holders, and by then the first leg is done.
Everything a trader looks at, from a screener to a chart to a wallet tracker, is a photograph of a decision that has already been made. The data is enormous and almost all of it is the crowd reacting. The informative part, a few hundred wallets' intent, is visible only at the instant it executes, and the people executing it are the ones selling to you a few minutes later.
Add 60,000 launches a day, and the future 100× at minute one is indistinguishable from the 59,999 that die. The casino does not need to hide the cards because it deals them faster than anyone can read and analyze them.
Conclusion
After spending thousands of dollars in API credits, VPS costs, Claude credits, etc the goal was simple: find alpha - if it exists - in order to be able to monetize it.
Instead, all we were able to prove is what we all have suspected all along - the meme coin casino is almost entirely cabal driven.
🫡 From the depths —
The White Whale 🐋
When your biggest accomplishment in life is rugging a memecoin, it makes sense why 1, you have negative testosterone and 2, make it your whole personality.
A wise man once said “a man must have a code”
when you see most of the people making it this past cycle and this bear, everything makes sense now. The same people who would prolly sell their parents out to make a quick buck.
shut the fuck up faggot
Pumpfun is slowly but surely realizing its vision of becoming the main venue for anything interesting happening onchain.
Pump started as a simple bonding curve launchpad built to solve trust and liquidity for new launches.
Since then, we've shipped products like PumpSwap, Creator Fees, the Pumpfun app, Custom Pairs, and Holder Rewards which have all helped turn Pumpfun into the L1 for onchain trading, launchpads, and crypto native experiments.
Our existing infrastructure enables builders to create novel products with custom mechanics. Creator Fees give teams a potential revenue stream, giving them the flexibility they need during their early stage to invest in their own growth or, for example, to support tokens launching on their launchpad.
Creator fees have recently paid well over $20m per week.
For every pump launchpad update, aside from thinking about retail users, we consciously include developers as part of the conversation. Our goals are to make their lives easier, their work rewarding, and provide them with all the tools they need to succeed.
The more products that launch on Pumpfun, the bigger Pumpfun gets, and the more builders we can attract to launch on Pumpfun.
If you’re building anything in crypto and want to access instant attention and liquidity to support the long term success of your product, the best place to do it is on Pumpfun.
Scamming ppls money with proxima is ok but when someone does it with a knife that’s suddenly not gg?
A good friend of mine got robbed at knifepoint for his crypto in the UK today..
If anyone can do anything to help him please reach out. For everyone else, remember to stay safe and use this as a reminder to:
-never keep more than 10-20% of your net worth in crypto
-especially in europe, move around with security and be super cautious of your opsec
-if you live in a place that allows it/are old enough, keep a firearm near you at all times
-and remember that material objects are never worth more than your life






























