Charts over chatter, reaction over prediction. I don't follow opinions, I follow the price action. Trading the reality, not the bias. Team Paragon - @PARAGONDEN
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$BTC - H4 - 26.10.2026
Now that Scenario 2 is in action, let's dive a little deeper in to the price action. The current channel shows 82.5k as an open target with the confluence of the Black (Median) VWAP.
The orange and red VWAPs will super charge the move if triggered. The third attempt if channel break out occurs could run all the way to 85.5k.
The 4th wave is currently looking for a bottom, and when it does we should see a huge reaction from this area.
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/211418…
$BTC
Most of retail is now wiped out of the game... again. Scenario 2 is now in full effect.
- $CL after an impressive run is now sitting at a major supply zone.
- $BTC sitting in an untapped zone which has not been touched since 18th September and the liquidity pool there has been taken.
- I am no longer bearish here, but I am not blindly targeting 87-90k from here either - only liquidity and imbalances.
- Next local target is 82.5k.
⚠️ We have not seen any capitulation event / liquidation candle to mark a bottom yet, so caution is still advised.
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/210891…
$BTC
There's the short squeeze I mentioned on yesterday's stream.
- Hold 81k - we could see 82.5k - 83.1k next.
- Lose 81k - we go on another wild ride sub 80k.
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/211526…
$BTC
▶️ Live Stream - 27.10.2026
On yesterday's live stream I talked about how and why a short squeeze could be brewing.
Tune in every Tuesday at 13:30 (UTC) for more like this, only on @PARAGONDEN
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto
$ETH
Walked you through this $ETH game plan live on stream and talked about how liquidity works.
Range highs targeted to set the trap before taking out the equal lows and filling my bids.
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/211268…
$ETH
Laid out the ETH game plan on yesterday’s live stream and the levels I am watching and why.
Be sure to tune in every Tuesday for my market analysis and updates only on @PARAGONDEN
$BTC
Most of retail is now wiped out of the game... again. Scenario 2 is now in full effect.
- $CL after an impressive run is now sitting at a major supply zone.
- $BTC sitting in an untapped zone which has not been touched since 18th September and the liquidity pool there has been taken.
- I am no longer bearish here, but I am not blindly targeting 87-90k from here either - only liquidity and imbalances.
- Next local target is 82.5k.
⚠️ We have not seen any capitulation event / liquidation candle to mark a bottom yet, so caution is still advised.
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/210891…
$BTC
The Week Ahead - 10.10.2026
There are 2 scenarios I am interested in. This is my current plan for the coming week.
Scenario 1 - Current trajectory, with focus on taking profits 82.5k, 83.8k and 84.6k+
Scenario 2 - I would like to add to my long at the next demand zones at 79.4k and 78k if given.
🗒️ Note - Hard stop cut all longs at 76.3k.
$ETH
Laid out the ETH game plan on yesterday’s live stream and the levels I am watching and why.
Be sure to tune in every Tuesday for my market analysis and updates only on @PARAGONDEN
$BTC
Bulls and bears are currently fighting to close above / below the s/r flip zone at 82.2k - 82.6k.
Let the battle commence.
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/211188…
$BTC
The Week Ahead - 18.10.2026
There is a possibility we could move in to Scenario 2 in the coming week.
Scenario 2 - I would like to add to my long at the next demand zones at 79.4k and 78k if given.
- Last few daily closes have been below 82,263 which is concerning for longs.
- Another 2-3k flush is possible to take out the mid-range buyers.
- Notice we are slow bleeding mostly, a liquidation candle into sub 80k could reverse the downtrend.
- A touch on 77k range lows is possible, ‘just the tip’.
- 84.6k liquidity is still up for grabs but we are slowly losing sight of 87k liquidity the lower we go.
- A push in to 83.x is a short for the time being if we get it.
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/210891…
$ETH - D1 - 19.10.2026
ETH has lost the Blue VWAP that I introduced you guys to recently, and the thing to note is it has rejected today in a big way.
Other Notes:
- Blue VWAP lost = support lost (5)
- Watching for deviation in to supply zones (2)
- Target will be 2.5k - 2.6k (3)
- Black (median) VWAP is at 2k (4)
- Exit the long immediately if Blue VWAP rejects
Maybe it is a telling sign, or maybe it is nothing and gets reclaimed in the coming week.
I will be watching this very closely as I am looking to catch a long on it soon.
$BTC
The Week Ahead - 18.10.2026
There is a possibility we could move in to Scenario 2 in the coming week.
Scenario 2 - I would like to add to my long at the next demand zones at 79.4k and 78k if given.
- Last few daily closes have been below 82,263 which is concerning for longs.
- Another 2-3k flush is possible to take out the mid-range buyers.
- Notice we are slow bleeding mostly, a liquidation candle into sub 80k could reverse the downtrend.
- A touch on 77k range lows is possible, ‘just the tip’.
- 84.6k liquidity is still up for grabs but we are slowly losing sight of 87k liquidity the lower we go.
- A push in to 83.x is a short for the time being if we get it.
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/210891…
$BTC
The Week Ahead - 10.10.2026
There are 2 scenarios I am interested in. This is my current plan for the coming week.
Scenario 1 - Current trajectory, with focus on taking profits 82.5k, 83.8k and 84.6k+
Scenario 2 - I would like to add to my long at the next demand zones at 79.4k and 78k if given.
🗒️ Note - Hard stop cut all longs at 76.3k.
$BTC
OI Context
- OI: Flat to slightly rising.
- Positioning: Increased from ~253K to ~266K during the rally, now stabilising around 266K.
- Activity: New leveraged positions entered during the expansion move, recent participation has slowed.
Spot CVD Context
- Spot CVD: Recovering but remains negative overall.
- Aggression: Spot buying has improved from the lows.
- Participation: Buyers have become more active, although previous net selling has not been fully absorbed.
$BTC
Here are a couple of scenarios for today that I will be watching. There is a little bearish divergence brewing and if it keeps going up it will take a harder hit in my opinion.
Better route for higher will be to take a break by sinking in to the mid-range and then break up again to squeeze late shorts.
$BTC
Scenario 1 is about to invalidate and we will be moving in to Scenario 2 if $BTC closes H4 under 80.3k.
- H4 bull div activates around 79,486
- Will add more at 78k
- Prepare your bids, bulls are coming
- First targets will be 82.5k - 83.1k for the weekend
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/210891…
$BTC
The Week Ahead - 10.10.2026
There are 2 scenarios I am interested in. This is my current plan for the coming week.
Scenario 1 - Current trajectory, with focus on taking profits 82.5k, 83.8k and 84.6k+
Scenario 2 - I would like to add to my long at the next demand zones at 79.4k and 78k if given.
🗒️ Note - Hard stop cut all longs at 76.3k.
$BTC
Snippet from yesterday's live stream in @PARAGONDEN
I covered the following:
- Why the 82.8k level was important
- How the structure on H4 is now broken
- Next demand zones to watch around 79k - 78k
- The importance of D1 closing below 82.2k
- Liquidity still remains at 84.6k
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto
$BTC
As expected. Tried to bounce but sellers took control immediately.
Could be a trap though, 84.6k liquidity left on the table.
Perhaps we see sub 80k first to build more momentum to reach it?
$BTC
OI + CVD
The notable point here is that OI and CVD are both declining together.
That is typically a deleveraging / position-closing environment rather than an aggressive trend-building environment.
The spot market is still leaning sell-side, but there is no evidence from OI of large new short exposure entering on this chart.
$BTC
OI + CVD
The notable point here is that OI and CVD are both declining together.
That is typically a deleveraging / position-closing environment rather than an aggressive trend-building environment.
The spot market is still leaning sell-side, but there is no evidence from OI of large new short exposure entering on this chart.
$BTC
A quick breakdown of what has happened since the post about the 2 scenarios I was looking for.
- Scenario 1 is currently playing out.
- Bounced from local demand at 81.6k.
- Waiting to see if BTC can push it in to the supply.
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/210894…
$BTC
Which scenario do you think is more likely to play out?
xitter.cf/priitzzy/status/210891…
$BTC
Liquidity Zones
• Major overhead liquidity stacked above 84.0k
• Largest visible liquidity cluster sits around 84.3k - 84.5k
Key Levels
• Resistance: 84.0k
• Major Resistance: 84.3k-84.5k
• Support: 82.7k-82.8k
• Major Support: 81.8k-82.0k
Liquidity is heavier above current price than below, with the largest resting liquidity cluster around 84.3k - 84.5k.
$BTC
The liquidity zones above have been taken out at 83.8k - 84k.
What do you think happens next?
$BTC
Liquidity Zones
• Above: 83.8k, 83.9k, 84.0k
• Below: 82.3k, 82.2k, 82.0k
OI Context
• OI: Flat
• Positioning: Stable following deleveraging
Spot CVD Context
• Spot CVD: Falling
• Aggression: Sellers active
Leveraged participation in the perpetual futures market has stabilised following a significant reduction in open positions, while spot market participants continue to be net sellers.
Liquidity remains concentrated on both sides of the market.
