qa_rocks

i agree that certain crimes deserve the death penalty as a punishment. i also think that certain crimes have default jail terms with no leniency, ie, murder = 30 years default. crime would fall when all the scum are locked up instead of bailed constantly news.com.au/national/crime/t…

My top 4 for the Melbourne Cup are: SO YOU ARE GOODIE TWO SHOES JUJA KIBO POINT OF LAW Still working out some exotic plays, but i will be staking these for the win. Point of Law is pretty short for a MC runner though, and historically favourites dont win often.

oh dear what a disaster that was

trend in M3+Credit continues to roll over and the outlook through 2027 doesnt look good

for now.. black friday 2027 sales might start a few months early next year

gone early bendigo R6 Jokers grin $46 (3% chance vs 2.4% implied) Ka Ying Cheer $11 (10.4% vs 9.8%) Wingsandpropellers $13 (13.7% vs 8.3%) Fav too short, good sectionals, first up and barrier: Yes Yoshi $2.84 (25.5% (($3.92)) vs 35% implied)

lot of RBA hand wringing today, here is what has happened previously: CR>>CPI Econ breaks RBA cuts with CPI >>target CPI follows however, they really stuffed up covid era if you think the econ will slow, then they will be cutting soon (~Q2 27) and CPI will follow

Some nut job on IGN wrote an article that said BioWare is the greatest RPG dev of all time 😂😂

yield curve flattening real quick this week

62% chance of another hike .. seems crazy imo

Dutching Vauban and The Euphrates in the Geelong Cup, clearly the best two imo. Wooton Verni not the worst at longer odds if it can run the trip, worth thinking an EW play. LITZDEEL should be peaking so a decent chance here.

People on the left have been making this face an awful lot the last week. Come back to the middle, and reality where you can question and query each individual thing on its merit

the current trend in net worth is a little worse than 2011 but not as bad as 2008. cycles roughly average around 12 months with a bottom around 5-6 months. either way, some pain is coming in 2027, but how much? the biggest risk is the RBA not cutting quickly enough

the scariest part about the left going off the rails and allowing chaos is there are no good opposing candidates to vote for. dark days

KYR 1.04 on world pool .. tempted $16 🤔

these four are clearly the best horses in each race, have very high % of winning and justify being in a multi. you can make the case for some upsets but based on % this is the way to go. 1/9.75 = 10.5% implied prob of hitting, when it is more like 40% in reality

i asked AI to make a midterms dashboard for me, using the top 3 unbiased polls (if there are any) and it came up with this.. the big caveat being D51 senate IF poll leading Ds hang on to win

the trend in job ads has been higher, while unemployment is treading water

the trend in unemployment is still in no-mans land, but with only a few months before declines in net worth trends hit, you would def need to be concerned