I gather fragments from the abyss and call them thought.
SG
Joined July 2019
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quiet thesis retweeted
Charlie Munger says he would focus on small caps if he were a young man
So why aren’t you ?
quiet thesis retweeted
AppLovin $APP is the best business model in the world.
$APP is +41% over the past month.
The Value Road pitched it on Sep 10 and argued AppLovin's second act could make it one of the most important advertising businesses.
thevalueroad.substack.com/p/…
ALT Price of $APP from Jul 6 to Nov 6
quiet thesis retweeted
Nice point on increase buyback with EPS
Hadn't seen anyone else comment on that
quiet thesis retweeted
Sentiment on $APP has completely flipped. Last Q was pure depression, this Q we could get a real run, stock is still YTD negative.
At $400 it's still trading at 20x NTM P/E and 20x MC/FCF, while Forward 2-Yr Rev. CAGR is expected to be +38%.
The EPS will increase much faster thanks to the massive buybacks.
quiet thesis retweeted
$APP
200d is at ~$410, APP gets over it and the real pump might start ...
quiet thesis retweeted
$META IS EXPANDING INTO ENTERPRISE AI
Meta is building a dedicated sales team and plans to work with consulting firms, including Accenture, Deloitte and IBM, to sell and deploy its AI products to businesses, The Information reports.
The push builds on Meta Enterprise Platform, launched in September under former MongoDB CEO CJ Desai. Its offerings include Muse Spark AI models, Muse Code and business AI agents.
Meta previously abandoned efforts to deploy AI agents directly on retailers' websites after facing resistance over customer data access, control and technical integration.
However, its business agents have gained traction through WhatsApp and Messenger, including with companies like Flipkart.
The broader effort is part of Meta's strategy to generate new revenue from its AI investments, with capital spending expected to reach as much as $145B this year.
quiet thesis retweeted
He Turned $5K into over $10 million trading from his bedroom
This is what he did differently
quiet thesis retweeted
A gift to the clued in. $APP
Every time I see this chart I am confused why we deserve to be given such a high volatility. Our growth is steady and stable. This is how we operate. There is no gambling, just grounded engineering and grounded growth. @JaradCapital appreciate your sentiment, but I don’t see us as a “monster”, but a calm and durable horse.
quiet thesis retweeted
$APP
At least our CEO ain't banging a Chinese Spy
PT $450 this week
quiet thesis retweeted
Hackers have got into Russias statistic agency Rosstat and found classified data which stated 450,000 Russian soldiers had been killed in the war in Ukraine.
quiet thesis retweeted
[ "미국 CTA 매도는 거의 끝났다".. 주식 롱이 0까지 줄어 더 팔 게 없다. ]
BofA는 미국 CTA의 주식 매도가 사실상 마무리 단계라고 봤다.
CTA는 10월 내내 팔면서.. 이미 미국 주식 롱을 크게 줄인 상태로 이번 주를 맞았고, 선거 다음 날 목요일 급락으로 남아 있던 롱마저 0 근처로 내려갔다.
빠른 모델들은 숏으로 돌아섰다.
여기에 실현변동성이 급등하면서 아직 롱을 들고 있던 CTA와 변동성 타깃 펀드가 강제로 포지션을 줄였는데.. 이 매도도 대체로 끝났다는 판단이다.
변동성 타깃 펀드 노출은 크게 줄었고 미국 CTA 장부는 거의 비어 있다.
쉽게 말해.. 미국 주식에서는 시스템 자금이 더 팔 물량이 별로 남지 않았다는 뜻이다.
다만 이게 바닥 신호는 아니다.
롱이 0이라는건 더 떨어지면 이제 숏을 쌓기 시작한다는 뜻이기도 하고.. 반대로 반등하면 다시 사야 할 포지션이 비어 있다는 뜻이기도 하다.
양방향으로 열려 있는 상태다.
quiet thesis retweeted
Let me be clear.
Even after the insane recent pump on $APP, this stock is still extremely undervalued.
The company is trading at 20.6x NTM earnings, while growing them over 45% YoY.
This is exactly why we made this our biggest position with patreon members when everyone else panic sold.
The numbers were painfully obvious, and the selloff looked completely irrational.
The stock is now up nearly 75% in just 6 days, and I think we could still easily double from here, without being overvalued.
At current prices, this is still an extremely compelling long-term buy.
quiet thesis retweeted
Ed Yardeni:
"The stock market dived last week. Investors priced in political backlash against data centers after Democrats swept Congress. We anticipated buying opportunities after the midterm elections, and Thursday’s selloff delivered some. This remains an earnings-led bull market. Valuations are falling while earnings are soaring. We still view the AI backlash as another speed bump, not a roadblock. We are sticking with our 7,900 year-end target for the S&P 500."
