@rahpointthree

it is terrible to live in the if we only knew then times

Joined June 2024
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  • Followers409
344Media
Did you know? The BC Greens are anti-housing and will probably vote with the Cons to repeal the NDP's very positive housing reforms.
Mario Canseco@mario_cansecoOct 26
43% of #bcpoli voters want the BC New Democratic Party (NDP) and the BC Green Party to consider a formal merger into a single provincial political party. researchco.ca/2026/10/26/bc-…

How British Columbia Voted: A Provincial “Exit Poll”.

BC Conservative voters welcomed Lorne Doerkson and would not have backed the party under its previous full-time leaders.

researchco.ca
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Is there any reason Eglington-Lawrence is so anti-Chow? It's her worst word, even behind North York which says a lot.
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lmao Chow is winning Fordland
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When Crombie said she wasn't "comfortable as a liberal", what she meant was the winning part
CP24
@CP24Oct 27
#BREAKING: Alvin Tedjo beats out Parrish and Crombie to become new mayor of Mississauga cp24.com/news/2026/10/27/alv…

Alvin Tedjo beats out Parrish and Crombie to become new mayor of Mississauga

It appears that Alvin Tedjo will be Mississauga’s new mayor following a tough-fought race in which he beat out two women who previously held the job. With 135 of 181 polls reporting, the CP24-CTV...

cp24.com
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2026 BC Election Projection 🔵 CPBC: 54 seats, 45.11% 🟠 NDP: 37 seats, 40.19% 🟢 GPBC: 2 seats, 12.23% 🟡 1BC: 0 seats, 1.00% 🔴 CBC: 0 seats, 0.90% Independents/others, 0 seats, 0.59% BCCP majority
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I don't know if he's just saying stuff, but if PSPP is seriously considering appointing a cabinet member from the opposition he's clearly rather concerned about how stable the minority government is going to be.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
@PaulPlamondonOct 21
Le Parti Québécois ne peut malheureusement pas avoir un ministre élu issu de la Ville de Québec parce que le choix des électeurs n'offre pas cette possibilité. Une fois le constat fait, nous sommes entrain d'étudier deux possibilités. La première, remettre entre les mains des élus du Parti conservateur et de Québec Solidaire la représentation des intérêts de Québec auprès du gouvernement, la deuxième, nommer des gens au sein du gouvernement en charge de faire cette représentation des intérêts et des dossiers de Québec au bureau du premier ministre. Nous sommes entrain d'évaluer les options et auront une annonce à faire au cours des prochains jours.
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obviously this is just low sample size at play but choosing to believe Lowan is winning the Chinese vote. Greenmond WILL become real.
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Only real change since the election seems to be that without political inertia, CAQ has collapsed and their supporters have gone to different parties. If I were to guess I think the PCQ is picking up more supporters from this than this poll shows.
Ray (Formerly Charestiste)🇨🇦🍁
@RealAlbanianPatOct 20
New Leger Quebec poll 🔵PQ: 30% (+2.0%) 🔴PLQ: 26% (+1.8%) 🟣PCQ: 22% (+1.3%) 🟠QS: 12% (-0.4%) 💠CAQ: 8% (-5.4%) ⚪OTH: 2% (+0.7%) (+/- change from the 2026 Quebec election results)
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the last Leger poll before the election was very accurate but did underestimate the PCQ. But perhaps the PCQ have hit a ceiling, they're not exactly moderates.
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Danielle Smith wants to abolish the Senate, I think she's a DSA affiliated politician
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Student vote results in Quebec have QS winning the popular vote.
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They finally exiled him to an island he couldnt escape from
alice 🌸@justaliceflorOct 19
Randomly discovered…whatever this is
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Relately, here's the swing of 2020 Liberal to 2024 Conservative vote. The United independents affects the results a bit, but you can see the general geographic trend.
rah 🇨🇦🚦@rahpointthreeOct 10
A big question for this election is gonna be how much the vote distribution of the Conservatives is going to change from 2024. They lost support compared to the Liberals in wealthier urban areas while gaining among immigrants in Surrey. With Doerkeson's more moderate campaign,
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Relately, here's the swing of 2020 Liberal to 2024 Conservative vote. The United independents affects the results a bit, but you can see the general geographic trend.
rah 🇨🇦🚦@rahpointthreeOct 10
A big question for this election is gonna be how much the vote distribution of the Conservatives is going to change from 2024. They lost support compared to the Liberals in wealthier urban areas while gaining among immigrants in Surrey. With Doerkeson's more moderate campaign,
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it's happening
rah 🇨🇦🚦@rahpointthreeOct 9
VanLibs flopping would be beautiful.
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Another thing about the BC election, it's very possible the Greens lose seats. Yeah the Greens are up in the polls, but that's entirely from gaining in Vancouver. On the island, they're down, and they only won Saanich North by a couple points last time.
rah 🇨🇦🚦@rahpointthreeOct 9
BC Election Model (Oct-9) 🔵CPBC: 58 seats (+14), 45.61% 🟠BCNDP: 33 seats (-14), 40.87% 🟢GPBC: 2 seats (-), 9.61% 🟡1BC: 0 seats (new), 1.96% 🔴CBC: 0 seats (new), 1.40% Conservative majority
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Van West-Sea to Sky, meanwhile, also might be competative. Theoretically the Greens would be doing better there, it is Metro Van, but I don't think it's that area specifically they're improving in. Also the Cons nearly won it in 2024, and they're up in the polls.
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For example, if the opposition party coalition is halfway between 2024 and 2020, the BC Conservatives still win, but go from 57 seats to 52 seats with the same vote share.
rah 🇨🇦🚦@rahpointthreeOct 10
A big question for this election is gonna be how much the vote distribution of the Conservatives is going to change from 2024. They lost support compared to the Liberals in wealthier urban areas while gaining among immigrants in Surrey. With Doerkeson's more moderate campaign,
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A big question for this election is gonna be how much the vote distribution of the Conservatives is going to change from 2024. They lost support compared to the Liberals in wealthier urban areas while gaining among immigrants in Surrey. With Doerkeson's more moderate campaign,
rah 🇨🇦🚦@rahpointthreeOct 9
BC Election Model (Oct-9) 🔵CPBC: 58 seats (+14), 45.61% 🟠BCNDP: 33 seats (-14), 40.87% 🟢GPBC: 2 seats (-), 9.61% 🟡1BC: 0 seats (new), 1.96% 🔴CBC: 0 seats (new), 1.40% Conservative majority
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Will Conservative support this time look more like the BC Liberal coalition? This would probably makd the Con vote less efficient I think.
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