rod dubitsky (@rdubitsk) profile picture

Entrepreneur working in fintech, global development and financial inclusion.

New York, USA
Joined June 2009
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What I want to know: which are the 38% of distrssed loans that are rated B- or higher?
Distressed leveraged loans ($131B priced below 80) are at the HIGHEST level since May 2020 But this time, the composition is worse: - 62% rated CCC+ or lower (vs. 25% in March 2020) - 53% are maturing in 3 years (vs. 11% in 2020) - A whopping $54B of CCC loans trade below 80 (tops both the GFC and Covid) 2026 is different because its concentrated in fundamentally weak borrowers whereas 2020 was really a market-wide selloff (which swept up even healthy credits) Source: Pitchbook
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Security Benefit Life's Dangerous Short Term Loan Game My latest on the systemic risk brewing across the life insurance industry. roddubitsky.substack.com/p/s…
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CoreWeave Crashes: Chronicle of a Death Foretold? My latest on the CoreWeave meltdown: what happened, and the warnings from my earlier articles that are still very much relevant. roddubitsky.substack.com/p/c…
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CoreWeave’s Near Debt Debacle, Jane Street and Fitch’s Curiously Timed Jane Street Upgrade In light of the news on CoreWeave today, reposting my August CoreWeave article. roddubitsky.substack.com/p/c…
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Disaster looming in insurance industry roddubitsky.substack.com/p/s…
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This is sheer madness. So many deals, so little actual revenue visibility.
AI is the biggest misallocation of capital in history. The coming bust will be epic. @GavinSBaker @GaryMarcus @JG_Nuke @edzitron @stevehou
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Meet the Guggenheims
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Tales from the Financial Bubble Crypt open.substack.com/pub/roddub…
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This is How a Run on an Insurance Company Could Happen open.substack.com/pub/roddub…
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Oracle could be patient zero in the AI bubble open.substack.com/pub/roddub…
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