
https://teapawt.net/t.co/HX1VWNUXZS @TFLabofficial @TheTradeFlow
Joined November 2011
- Tweets4.1K
- Following1.9K
- Followers1.2K
- Likes6.4K
Bear retweeted
This is why we do what we do.
Join us.
@Riot_Trades keep crushing it brotha!
Bear retweeted
The best time to short is after they squeeze out all the bears. From the top rope we got SPX puts and NQ short. @Riot_Trades
Bear retweeted
Absolutely insane day @TFLabofficial playing Furures short from the globex open and SPX options. We had more grand slams than I can count. With @Riot_Trades ending the day with 9x on calls using @redbadbear gex analysis. Still an amazing day traders market. Holding anything more than short term on the other hand does not work.
Bear retweeted
Just want to give our thanks for the 1000 Korea going to nuke tonight posts. Never change fintwit.
$KORU and NQ long flying.
Bear retweeted
Lol @FT we knew it was a deceptively misleading story when you published it and YOU knew it too and you did it anyway. Why? Becuase you knew it would move the market.
lol @FT knew exactly what they were doing with this headline. However there has been no change or shortfall in OpenAI revenue like the headline implies. It’s just how the revenue is was beinf counted by investors so so they could compare apples to apples with how anthropic counts it
Bear retweeted
After the misleading FT article about OpenAI revenue this past week and it’s effect on the markets. I want to take some time this weekend to explain how this financial news media game works. Where these deceptive stories come from, the perverse incentive structure that breeds them and who profits from them.
Hedge funds/big market participants employ expensive PR firms with monthly retainers for top tier firms that can go as high as 75k per month. And $500 per hour. Seems like a lot. But this is worth every penny if that money helps get the right story placed at the right time.
Hedge fund makes a bet. Contacts PR firm to get a story that is not false per se as that would be illegal but massages the facts like this FT story did and like magic that is a win for their book.
These PR firms typically hire lots of former financial “Journalists.” You play ball well you get hired. Best paying job for former journalists. Your stories cause a big financial impact even if they turn out to be missleading or false. Financial impact is more important than the Truth or reporting nuance. The bigger the financial impact the more profits that can be extracted. Bloomberg basis bonus for reporters on having stories that have the most financial impact. More financial impact = more BB terminal subscribers.
This sensationalized financial impact is not only used by traditional media outlets. Some of the bigger blogs that use this platform intentionally write deceptive headlines they know will move the market. It’s pretty obvious who those bloggers are how the incentive structure of causing market impact writing over the truth to color how their stories are presented. The one’s with questionable morals will chose market impact over actual facts or nuance every-time.
Lol @FT we knew it was a deceptively misleading story when you published it and YOU knew it too and you did it anyway. Why? Becuase you knew it would move the market.
Bear retweeted
Our SPX calls $SPY are in the money with 6 days to go. Already 8x. These will be 12x plus at our 7900 target we pounded the table on since last week. Only @TFLabofficial
We also got some SPX calls over 3x and 5x plus on $IWM calls and $RKT calls should be Multibaggers. This is a Goldilocks jobs print for the market. Still adding jobs and weak wages. Only @TFLabofficial
Bear retweeted
I guess better late than never but this trade was obvious for a while we are 6x plus on $TWST already. read @peter_mantas work on it. This trade really took off when Dario and Ant pivoted heavily to Ai bio(we think the tails from big disease cures are the best way for the street to try to sell this gigantic ipo. Lately we have been playing more the shitcos as those tend to run Later like $PACB and $QSI. Both 70% plus returns in a week. We think this trade is longer In the tooth and the easy money has been made but will keep riding the trend.
teapawt.net/themissinglinks/status…
AI Drug Discovery Is Becoming a Bottleneck Trade
I get excited when an industry starts going through a real regime change. AI drug discovery (“AIDD”) increasingly looks like one of those moments.
Two things are happening:
1/ Upstream: the frontier AI labs are piling in.
2/ Downstream: The supply chain is clearly moving.
Supply-chain checks suggest the upstream picks-and-shovels of discovery and early preclinical R&D are starting to feel the increase in experimental volume.
DNA → protein → assays → sequencing → automation → preclinical testing
Names across that stack include $TWST , @GenScript , $ILMN , $TXG , lab-automation vendors and CROs.
$TWST expects triple-digit percentage growth in AI-enabled drug-discovery orders in FY26, and another year of triple-digit order growth in FY27.
@GenScript's AIDD business doubled YoY in 1H26. Its current platform advertises industrial-scale validation of 4,000+ designs/day, with integrated sequence-to-data workflows. Our channel checks suggest the ramp is moving even faster: roughly 8,000 designs/day currently, with a path toward ~16,000/day by YE26.
---
Why does AI drive more wet-lab demand?
1/ AI makes hypothesis generation almost free → way more shots on goal.
The bottleneck is moving from expert-driven design to biological validation.
2/ AI models need continuous experimental feedback — and both good and bad data are useful.
Traditionally, only the highest-conviction A+ candidates might get pushed into expensive validation. With AI, even the B/C candidates can be valuable because failed experiments generate training data.
@GenScript has said its sequence-to-binding workflow can return data in 4–7 days, and that faster cycle times matter because AI models depend on continuous experimental feedback.
@Anthropic is a clean example. @claudeai designed 1,320 protein binders. @adaptyvbio converted those digital sequences into DNA, expressed the proteins and tested binding. Only 354 actually bound. And the 966 failures are not wasted. They are useful negative labels: what does not express, what does not bind, what has poor affinity. Those results help train the next model iteration.
3/ Wet labs are no longer just making drugs. They are making training data.
$TWST / @GenScript increasingly look like biological data foundries.
$TWST explicitly talks about generating model-ready data from AI-designed sequences. In some workflows, the customer may care less about receiving the physical protein than about getting structured experimental results back into the model.
Traditional drug discovery asks: “Does candidate X work?”
AI drug discovery also asks: “What can this experiment teach the model?”
---
TAM of AIDD
If AI is simply a better R&D tool, the relevant spending pool is the $300–400B of annual global pharma R&D. If AI meaningfully increases the number of viable drug programs, the opportunity is larger because it expands downstream demand for DNA synthesis, protein production, assays, and preclinical work.
Near term, we can also size demand from AI-company spending. If Anthropic reaches $80B of ARR in 2026 and spends just 1% on AIDD, that alone would imply ~$800M of annual investment.
---
Trade setup
This is a trade that could have long legs. It’s hard to really stop working until PhaseI/II results (2028+)
It smells a lot like the bottleneck trade we just saw in semis: GPUs → HBM → networking → power/cooling. In biology, It basically follows the drug discovery process downstream: AI models → designs → DNA/protein → assays → preclinical capacity.
After the upstream picks-and-shovels, animal testing could become the next bottleneck. Monkey prices are already near prior highs and CRO capacity is tight. AIDD pushing more candidates into preclinical development would only add demand.
?? But clinical trials are still the bottleneck?
This is the biggest pushback I keep coming back to. No matter how fast discovery becomes, drugs still need to go through preclinical → Phase I → Phase II → Phase III → approval. You still need patients, time and capital.
But that doesn’t mean the bottleneck trade won’t work. More viable candidates — especially with higher success rates — still means more demand throughout the development process.
And who knows: clinical trials themselves may eventually be optimized by AI.
?? What breaks the trade?
Near term, the picks-and-shovels trade breaks if experimental budgets stop growing, AI-generated designs don’t translate into useful wet-lab hits, or capacity catches up too quickly.
Longer term, the thesis breaks if AI drugs look great in discovery / Phase I but fail at normal rates in Phase II/III. That is why Phase II matters so much.
?? Milestones
Late 2026–2027: first Isomorphic-designed drugs enter human trials; more AI-native programs move into IND-enabling work / tox.
2028–2030: clinical trial results start telling us whether AI-designed drugs actually perform better than conventional drugs.
Calling all the "bottleneck bros". :) @jukan05 @zephyr_z9 @aleabitoreddit @ParadisLabs
+++
More comprehensive analysis: robonomics.substack.com/p/ai…
Bear retweeted
Called out in the group by @themissinglinks , quick 10% move.
$WDC We took advantage of that rug pull. That dip under 400 was a steal and great risk reward. Back to 440 next week if market stays bid.
Bear retweeted
$EWZ absolutely flying on Brazil elections. The team first got these EWZ spreads a little over a month ago. We Added some shorter dated EWZ calls last week and some $NU calls. These were all from flows we identified as high signal with the election catalyst. Only @TFLabofficial
Bear retweeted
We also got some SPX calls over 3x and 5x plus on $IWM calls and $RKT calls should be Multibaggers. This is a Goldilocks jobs print for the market. Still adding jobs and weak wages. Only @TFLabofficial
Bear retweeted
Huge hit in the group anticipating weak jobs/wages.
@redbadbear
We also got some SPX calls over 3x and 5x plus on $IWM calls and $RKT calls should be Multibaggers. This is a Goldilocks jobs print for the market. Still adding jobs and weak wages. Only @TFLabofficial
Bear retweeted
So far many AI stocks going to new ATH
$PLTR is next. We got the 182.5c for 2.30 now 11 plus.
Great team work @GranderTheGreat picks out the flows that went along with our thesis below.
Another grand slam this week only @TFLabofficial
Looks like we are going to rip so many AI stocks to new highs. Also sounds like an add for $PLTR no wonder he said to buy it when it was near 100.
Bear retweeted
$META was one of those the layup longs where you swing for the fences. We cooked so hard with 6 layers of calls and our biggest common position. All the near dated calls are up 500-1000% and our leaps are ripping. Receipt’s below.
$META cooked so hard on @Muse. Your Muse agent has its very own virtual machine that everthing you do on that virtual machine is encrypted like WhatsApp messages where even meta cannot read them. I cannot stress how important Solving privacy/security is for mass adoption Excellent work @finkd @alexandr_wang we are very long $META
Bear retweeted
Exactly how the $ES #ShortEdge
& $NQ #LongEdge was discovered. 👇
Available for free for all members of @TFLabofficial
@themissinglinks
@GranderTheGreat
@redbadbear
Sometimes the easiest way to find an intraday edge is to start with daily data.
Daily data is less noisy, making broader signals easier to identify.
But what if most of a daily strategy’s profits come from just a few hours? Do you check?
Build Alpha’s Intraday Edge feature searches shorter trading windows within your daily strategies to see whether you can capture much of the original edge with much less time in the market.
Think of it as finding intraday strategies backwards. Now with one-click.
Bear retweeted
This here is what it’s all about.
Riot is one of many killers in our group and his results speak for themselves.
This was not an easy summer to trade and to be up nearly 800% on the year is insane.
This is one of many examples of our members crushing it in this market (and not in some small, $500 account).
We play with big boy money.
Join us.
Bear retweeted
Just want to say thank you to all the doomers that helped spread the doom narrative and give us great discounts on the leading Ai stocks. Remember day after the FOMC typically sets the tone for the next couple weeks. I’m feeling pretty good about what we bought this week during the panic. $ASML $AEHR $MRVL $FPS.
Bear retweeted
Strong day so far.
@themissinglinks called out the AI play in the group yesterday.
Just want to say thank you to all the doomers that helped spread the doom narrative and give us great discounts on the leading Ai stocks. Remember day after the FOMC typically sets the tone for the next couple weeks. I’m feeling pretty good about what we bought this week during the panic. $ASML $AEHR $MRVL $FPS.
Bear retweeted
solana:HcRLc9VDgjLeK154xDawfb1dmVJ98DoSqcwTHGqiDeJR over 7x now. The bag stays on.
$ZEC being the leader for this cycle there is always the leading meme. Last cycle that was $WIF which went to 4B. This cycle no better meme than solana:HcRLc9VDgjLeK154xDawfb1dmVJ98DoSqcwTHGqiDeJR which pays out $ZEC to the holders. We got in last night at 25M mc and added once the market proved our thesis right. it’s already 130M so 5x plus. Target 1B plus for a 40x























