Project Director, North Africa at the International Crisis Group. Interested in the political economy of the region.
Lisbon, Portugal
Joined February 2012
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In this piece for Jadaliyya on North Africa's decoupling from Europe and the US, I argue that there are three trends at work: selective disengagement, new players filling the ensuing vacuum, and bottom-up demands for sovereignty.
jadaliyya.com/Details/42336/…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
Good interview on Western Sahara after MINURSO with @crisisgroup’s @ricfabiani, by @FrdricBobin in @lemonde. lemonde.fr/afrique/article/2…
Algeria’s rupture with the UAE reflects mounting tensions over Abu Dhabi’s regional interventions, particularly in Libya and the Sahel, which Algiers sees as undermining its security.
The fallout could deepen regional rivalries and further destabilise North Africa and the Sahel
NEW COMMENTARY | How Algeria’s Rupture with the UAE Could Roil the Region
Algiers has severed diplomatic ties with Abu Dhabi, following years of discord. It has become a rivalry that could put regional stability at risk.
crisisgroup.org/cmt/middle-e…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
Excelente artículo de @ricfabiani que proporciona información interna sobre las negociaciones del #SaharaOccidental. Fabiani advierte frente a la intención de querer cerrar un acuerdo demasiado rápido, pues podría poner en riesgo cualquier arreglo.
crisisgroup.org/cmt/middle-e…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
NEW COMMENTARY | The U.S. and UN Will Need More Patience to Resolve Western Sahara Conflict
Talks between Morocco and the pro-independence Polisario Front have hit a wall. If they are to broker a compromise, the mediators will have to slow down.
crisisgroup.org/cmt/middle-e…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
The attempted exodus from #Morocco into Ceuta hasn’t just spurred panic in the European Union and a crisis in Madrid’s government, it’s sparked a reckoning in Morocco itself bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
#Morocco officials and business leaders tout Dakhla as a potential “Dubai of Africa” — a regional hub for trade, tourism & investment. The rapid growth is causing concern among some about the impact on the region’s natural landscape — its most prized asset bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Absolutely shameful. The Moroccan authorities should immediately release @Alilmrabet
Le journaliste marocain Ali Lmrabet, qui réside à Barcelone, a été arrêté cet après-midi à son arrivée à l’aéroport de Tanger. Le parquet a engagé des poursuites contre lui, mais, au fond, ce qu’on lui reproche, c’est d’écrire librement depuis l’#Espagne. Qu’on ne vienne plus nous raconter que, petit à petit, les autorités du #Maroc se montrent plus tolérantes! @MAECgob @jmalbares @sanchezcastejon @MarocDiplomatie @Marocdiplo_E @Alilmrabet
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
With #Algeria’s legislative #elections expected to confirm the status quo, the real question is not who will win, but who will vote. Can President #Tebboune’s “New Algeria” still mobilise a disenchanted electorate?
#MEDThisWeek → ispionline.it/en/publication…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
[9/9] Concluding the Barcelona Summer School (Med & Middle East)
✏️From Managing to Resolving Conflicts in North Africa
Join @ricfabiani (@CrisisGroup) to analyze the drivers, spillover risks, and de-escalation of regional crises.
1-3 July | 15:00-17:00
t.ly/DlFpy
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
Illuminating @CrisisGroup report on where Egypt finds itself in this mess, by @ricfabiani, @dkhalifa, and @YasFarouk. crisisgroup.org/cmt/middle-e…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
In our new @CrisisGroup commentary, we examine Egypt’s position on the Iran war, its delicate channels with Tehran and its proxies, and the potential fallout from both the conflict and mounting Emirati frustration.
By myself, @ricfabiani and @YasFarouk
crisisgroup.org/cmt/middle-e…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
This is a great program. I'm glad @solerlecha is at the helm. I met @SayighYezid for the first time taking his course in 2022. It was the start of a great friendship. In addition to Yezid, the faculty includes brilliant friends like @TinhinanEl @jbdacey @LurdesVidal & @ricfabiani
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
📩🚨Welcome to The Month Ahead - helping you make sense of a world lurching from crisis to crisis.
Nearly four weeks into the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, the global shockwaves are only beginning. I analyse the fallout and what might come next: mailchi.mp/crisisgroup.org/z…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
🔴 We are hiring a Deputy Program Director for our MENA Program to join our team at @CrisisGroup.
📍 Hybrid / Based in MENA region preferably.
Learn more and apply here: jobs.crisisgroup.org/o/deput…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
Washington’s direct involvement in the dispute over Western Sahara’s status is intended to increase pressure on the parties and accelerate progress toward a settlement.
It remains unclear whether talks produced tangible outcomes, writes @ricfabiani.
crisisgroup.org/anb/middle-e…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
NEW ANALYST'S NOTEBOOK | Renewed U.S.-led Talks in Madrid Lend Momentum to Western Sahara Diplomacy, but Big Challenges Remain
@ricfabiani reports on U.S.-led talks to resolve the conflict over Western Sahara, and the stumbling blocks that lie ahead.
crisisgroup.org/anb/middle-e…
My short take on the Madrid talks on Western Sahara
crisisgroup.org/anb/middle-e…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
"There is now a pretty important constituency that has lost its leader and will struggle to replace him,” which potentially creates a vacuum that other #Libya actors can take advantage of, @ricfabiani said bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Riccardo Fabiani retweeted
Carney's speech may be the greatest political speech anyone has made in my lifetime, but I think it's more subtle than most people are giving him credit for. In particular, when he says that "we knew the story of the international rules-based order was partially false", "partially" is as important as "false".
I constantly rage against the hypocrisy of the discourse about the "rules-based international order", so I can hardly be accused of naivety on the topic, but as I've also said in the past I think the view that international norms can't constrain states in any way due to the anarchical nature of the international system is just as simplistic.
The tricky part about international law in general is that, for it to work, you have to sort of believe in it so it will constrain you somewhat but also realize that it's kind of fake, so you won't be disappointed because it doesn't live up to the unrealistically high expectations you have for it and end up throwing away the whole thing.