CK

$QQQ is getting crushed and below its 200D avg. What we found is that 79% of the historical QQQ dips regained it within roughly 3 months. That sounds reassuring when you’re staring at a selloff. But there’s an important distinction. The 200-day average tracks the average closing price over 200 trading days. Getting back to that line doesn’t mean getting back to your old high, or that the bottom has passed. Across 43 occurrences from late 1999 through today, the median wait for 5 consecutive closes at or above it was 22 trading days. Failed bounces counted toward that wait. And the path could still hurt. After its initial break in 2022, QQQ fell another 28% before reaching its lowest daily close. These numbers help set expectations for how long regaining the line can take. They don’t settle whether today is a good entry, though. You can miss the exact bottom and still participate in a recovery. Plan accordingly.

In light of Hyperliquid's banger of a news today, I'll share a sneak peek of what I've been working on. AI may take away our jobs and steal our sanity in trying to keep up with it, but that's exactly why learning about investing and money will be critical for the future. Your future. Money, will never go away. It's what creates power. And power, will never go away. But you don't have to play the power game. Too tiring. Yet it is increasingly clear that you have to be proficient at the money game to survive whatever the hell comes next.

Bitcoin is 94.5% of $MSTR's assets. For Metaplanet it's 98%. MSCI's new rule drops companies whose real businesses are tiny next to what they hold. If cut, index funds must sell, about $2.8B of MSTR, per JPMorgan. Less demand for the stock means less cash to buy BTC. Cut 'em.

My pops has been stacking $TSM for as long as I can remember. The last 2.5 years made him look like a genius. The stock is down this week. Yet it just posted its sixth straight record-profit quarter. Wealth comes from patience and knowing what you own.

INFLATION JUST CAME IN HOT AT 3.7% Markets predicting the Fed might HIKE rates this month. And that's why AI stocks are getting wrecked. AI is built on borrowed money. → Higher rates = more expensive money → More expensive money = less profit per data center Even Broadcom's CEO is warned that capital "might be the biggest constraint" on AI, bigger than chips or power" AI has been carrying the entire market. So naturally, when AI bleeds, everything bleeds. In short, the cost of funding AI is rising

HEADLINES ARE SCREAMING A SELLOFF S&P 500 -1.3% Nasdaq -1.9% Worst day since June!! The trigger: inflation hit 3.7%, odds of a rate hike jumped, bond yields rose. Loud headlines get attention, and admittedly, they do work. But they're also not useful to you as an investor One day of red didn't change a single company's earnings, customers, or balance sheet. If you bought a good business to hold for 5 years, today is noise. Sell when the business changes, not when the price does.

Everyone says AI is a bubble because the money goes in a circle. As an investor, you gotta cut the noise and follow the trail. I drew a line instead: $NVDA designs the chips $TSM makes them $ASML makes the only machines that can print them And ASML just said: → Customers are asking about orders for 2029 and 2030 → Planned ~30% capacity increases in 2027 and 2028 still won't cover demand Nobody plans machines four years out for a bubble they think pops next quarter. Follow the demand line.

The CEO of $AVGO, a chipmaker feeding the AI buildout, just said a lot of AI investors have NO CLUE what they're buying. Called them (you) casino gamblers. Then said companies burn AI tokens like kids at an arcade: $10 gone in 10 minutes, nothing learned. Can't say I disagree!