Founder Savewithref. Trust $BTC @Polymarket $BASE Youtube @savewithref
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Joined June 2022
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Polymarket ($POLY) FDV at launch and predicted #airdrop structure. Markets currently price:
FDV > $5B,
FDV > $10B,
FDV > $15B at varying odds.
The author believes a $10–15B FDV is likely due to:
– Limitless launching at $500M FDV despite far lower volume
– Polymarket’s strong weekly activity
– Expected crypto recovery in 2026 (rate cuts & QE)
– ICE’s $2B investment
– Existing private valuations of $8–15B
– Upcoming Polymarket US launch increasing volume
With a $1B supply and 20% circulating, a $10B–$15B FDV would place POLY in the top 35–50 coins.
Airdrop eligibility:
– Safe zone: $5k+ volume, varied trade sizes, some held to resolution, connect X account
– Top 10%: $20k+ volume and $100+ PnL
An estimated 1.5M users, with top 20% (~300k) likely eligible. A suggested 4-tier allocation splits the drop among the top 1%, 9%, 40%, and 50%. With a 7–10% token allocation, higher tiers could see strong rewards, especially at $15B FDV.
The author expects criteria to tighten by 2026 and suggests possible multipliers for LPs, positive PnL, and badge holders.
"Polymarket has become the Bloomberg terminal for reality." 😍
That’s an excellent answer @shayne_coplan
, Polymarket CEO, CNBC interview
What's that on Anthony's neck? @Polymarket ??
Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua is scheduled to take place on December 19, 2025, at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
