Wall Street sentiment acts as the primary amplifier for market-driven stocks, often detaching a company's share price from its underlying financial health.
Joined July 2009
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MUSTANG retweeted
From Green Beret to guardian angel. Jim Caviezel stars in GHOST SOLDIER - exclusively in movie theatres Veterans Day, 11.11. Get tickets now.
MUSTANG retweeted
Big Picture View: Since Aug, #ES_F is controlled by one pattern. A massive megaphone in green below. This week, we defended support at 7325. Make or break for bulls.
Plan: 7420 must reclaim to see 7490, dip, then 7558, 7690. If 7325 fails, we sell to 7220. Entries in newsletter
MUSTANG retweeted
Tech is recovering today... that doesn't mean the selling is over
Right before the 2000 dot-com crash, the S&P rallied 12% to reclaim its previous highs...
Those who went max long because “the internet is the future” were right, but still lost 50% over the next 2 years.
To make sure every last bull stayed in (and then got wiped out), we had 3 separate 20% bear market rallies...
Only after everyone was fully shaken out did we bottom in 2002.
It then took ~14 years just to break even on a nominal basis...
And by that point, most developed PTSD and were too scarred to participate in the next bull run.
Lesson: Don't participate in historically overvalued markets, especially not when that overvaluation coincides with the biggest supply crisis in human history
MUSTANG retweeted
🚨THE NEXT 15 DAYS. DAY BY DAY. MY STOCK MARKET PREDICTION. BOOKMARK THIS.
24 hours ago the Nasdaq 100 fell 6.4%. Its worst day since the COVID crash.
A few hours ago Korea's market fell so fast it triggered a circuit breaker. Japan and Taiwan are now officially in a bear market.
Everyone is calling it a dip. It's not a dip. This was DAY 1.
📅 NEXT 48 HOURS
→ The jobs report. Weak = recession fear. Strong = more rate hikes. Both hurt.
→ Weekend margin calls. Funds that bought chips with borrowed money have to sell on Monday.
📅 DAYS 3-4
→ US futures open Sunday night in the red
→ Korea and Japan open Monday into a second wave
→ The "buy the dip" crowd buys again. And loses again.
📅 DAYS 5-7
→ Tuesday: the inflation report. The last one was 3.7%.
→ The Fed already RAISED rates in September. A Fed president said 24 hours ago they "will have to raise interest rates further."
→ A hot number and the Nasdaq hits -20% from its top. Official bear market.
📅 DAYS 8-10
→ Hedge funds just made their biggest October sell-off in at least 10 years. They are not done.
→ The S&P 500 breaks -10%. "Correction" headlines everywhere.
→ Bitcoin loses $70,000
📅 DAYS 11-13
→ November 17: Nvidia reports. The whole AI trade rides on one call.
→ Big Tech is spending up to $828 billion on AI this year. 4 of the 5 biggest spenders burned cash last quarter.
→ One weak number and the AI trade breaks for real.
📅 DAYS 14-15
→ November 20: monthly options expiry. Forced selling meets forced selling.
→ Chips are already down 38% from the top. Korea is down 44%. The US is next.
→ This is the day "correction" becomes CRASH.
That's my call. Every step already has a date, a number or a quote behind it.
My view: when this is over, 2008 and the dot-com crash will look small.
And yes, I'm short this market. A lot.
Bookmark this. Come back November 20.
I'll mark every day of this call in public, the hits and the misses. Follow me if you want market news with nothing softened.
MUSTANG retweeted
Expect this market regime to be EXTREMELY volatile
VIX Rule of 16:
Current VIX: ~ 27.3
Divide the VIX by 16 to estimate the market's expected daily volatility
27.3 / 16 = 1.7%
Market is pricing in daily moves of roughly 1.7%
What used to feel like an unusually large daily move is now becoming the expectation
And this elevated volatility in the broader market only amplifies volatility in individual stocks
MUSTANG retweeted
Snapshot of the market health via the GICS Groups (Dollar Volume weighted charts)
Showing the Stages, Technical Attributes (SATA) and Composite Ratings of each group.
Very mixed but notable weakening across the market with Stage 4 breakdowns in multiple Technology sector groups
MUSTANG retweeted
Tarrifs, 2025, the $QQQ spent 46 days under the 200dma. 491, to 400 bottom. Yes it took a whole month plus to drop down 90 points. Alot of chop and counter rallies.
Iran 2026 March, 592 200d broke, and found the low 555 7 days after the 200d broke and took 12 days to get back above 200dma.
In recent history, 2022 bear market, $QQQ was under 200d for a full year before offically reclaiming 200dma. and the bull market started.
Point is, we are only on day 2 under the 200d.
Prepare for a minimum of a week that price will chop around or even head lower before a real recovery. Today's bounce was good, but far from good enough for anyone to claim victory on both sides.
What's the real risk?
The Democratic Party may have a real negative impact on AI over the next two years. Datacenter build out got onr and I believe the market is trying to price/assess forward multiples of what it could look like with said risk over next 2 years.
$NVDA Earnings on 17th. If Jensen expresses pessimissm or guides lower - WATCH OUT. We are definitely not bottoming anytime soon.
I'm netural more than bearish/bullish here. Sure, prices seems to be at discount levels. May seem attractive. But I'd still exercise caution here.
Taking a look at Weekly Chart: Bear market 2021 prices came back to the 200wma, Nearly hit after Liberation Day 2025,
Perhaps the BEST reset is for QQQ to eventually hit 505.
Conclusion, it's only day 2 under the 200d. History since 2022, have shown fortunes have favored the bears.
MUSTANG retweeted
I’m in agreement From Fox News. I wonder how loud it’ll get if Trump could pull this off. It will be interesting.
President Trump is asking everyone to share this, in three days, most people in the United States will have seen the message. This is an idea that should be passed around, regardless of political party.
The TRUMP Rules:
1. Tenure / No Pension. A Congressman/woman collects a salary while in office and receives no pay when they're out of office. And no more perks go with them.
2. Congress (past, present, & future) participates in Social Security. All funds in the Congressional retirement fund move to the Social Security system immediately. All future funds flow into the Social Security system, and Congress participates with the American people. It may not be used for any other purpose.
3. Congress must purchase their own retirement plan, just as ALL Americans do.
4. Congress will no longer vote themselves a pay raise. Congressional pay will rise at the ok same rate as the COLA for monthly Social Security recipients minus 1% if having a budget balance deficit.
5. Congress loses their current care system and participates in the same health care system (Medicare) as the American people.
6. Congress must equally abide by all laws they impose on the American people (i.e. NO MORE INSIDER TRADING!!!).
7. All contracts with past and present Congressmen/women are void. The American people did not make this contract with Congressmen/women. Congress made all these contracts by and for themselves.
Serving in Congress is an honor and privilege, NOT a career.
The Founding Fathers envisioned citizen legislators should serve their term(s), then go home and go back to work … not get all kinds of freebies. Term limits of 2 terms and treat them like a regular citizen
I AGREE SO I’M SHARING!
MUSTANG retweeted
Nobody was stopping this train anyways.
Even if defense spending cut 75%... would barely make a dent
the real relevant figure is excluding intragovernmental holdings like Social Security trust funds...
debt is roughly $32.7 trillion
--> around 100% of GDP!!
MUSTANG retweeted
No President has ever controlled the outcome of the market. Seasonality controls it. Markets don't care...they LOVE gridlock.
MUSTANG retweeted
Iranian man says Islam ruined his country. Pleads with Americans not to vote democrat.
“You have freedom don’t lose it”
MUSTANG retweeted
This is co-pilot Nathalia Gadelha Filgueiras taking off in the very Learjet 60 N722BD that crashed yesterday at Greenacres, Palm Beach County, Florida. The 20-year-old aviator earned her private pilot's license at just 17, before even getting her driver's license. She clearly loved aviation from a young age.
Gone far too soon. Ride with the angels, Nathalia.
MUSTANG retweeted
On this day 32 years ago, in 1994, Nirvana's "MTV Unplugged in New York" was released.
It is considered the greatest Unplugged performance ever made.
MUSTANG retweeted
"Retail" chases the bounce. The process measures the risk
Crowding happens in moments. The TREND matters longer
Signals > Narratives
MUSTANG retweeted
I am in tears. The ENTIRE ROOM is chanting “USA USA” for such a long time. Gives me chills to see
THEY LOVE THEIR COUNTRY AND PRESIDENT ❤️
MUSTANG retweeted
“Never buy a stock because it has had a big decline from its previous high.” - Livermore
