Hoang Pham (@shockmath) header
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Joined December 2011
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New at JIE: "Exports and intergenerational mobility" by Devashish Mitra (@DevashishMitra_), Hoang Pham (@shockmath), and Beyza Ural Marchand (@BeyzaMarchand) doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.20…
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📆Wednesday, 29 October 2025 at 11 ET Vietnam Firms and Labour Markets Online Seminar Join Dr. Hoang Pham (@shockmath) for a seminar on how the 2001 US-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement reduced labour market distortions in Vietnam. Register eventbrite.ca/e/vietnam-firm…
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I am presenting a paper on how the US- Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA 2001) affects labor market power distortions in Vietnam’s manufacturing at the Vietnam online seminar organized by @BrianMccaig . Please attend if you are interested.
Reductions in U.S. tariffs on Vietnamese imports reduced labor market distortions in Vietnam. Join us on Oct 29, 11 am ET, for the next Vietnam online seminar by Dr. Hoang Pham. Register here eventbrite.ca/e/vietnam-firm…
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Replying to @pame_medinaq
Congratulations!!🎉
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I have several papers that explore tariff wars using economic models. Here’s what they tell us about likely outcomes (🧵) TLDR: All countries ultimately lose. While the overall impact isn’t catastrophic for larger economies like the US, it’ll be devastating for small countries.
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It's high time to have another look at interesting papers like this one! "The cost of a global tariff war: A sufficient statistics approach" by Ahmad Lashkaripour. Article in the Journal of International Economics: sciencedirect.com/science/ar… Working paper: alashkar.pages.iu.edu/Tariff…
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Interested in firearm demand, policy, and anticipatory behavior? Check out this new WP, with ⁦@benconomics⁩ , Ed Rubin, & Garrett Stanford
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Replying to @paluck @CSIS
Many congratulations, Philip!
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🚨🚨New paper on "Bank financing of global supply chains," with @lalfaro, Mariya Brussevich, and @CMinoiu. Looking forward to presenting it @ASSAMeeting and at the @sffed next week. We study how (specialized) banks helped the great reallocation following the 2018-2019 trade tensions. We make 3 main points: 1. In reallocating their sourcing from Chinese suppliers to other Asian countries, U.S. importers face large search costs ($1.9 million, 5% of annual revenue). 2. In response to the tariff-induced input cost shock, tariff-hit importers increased their demand for bank credit 3. Tariff-hit firms with specialized banks (those offering specialized trade finance services to Asian markets) were 15 pps more likely and 3 months faster to establish new supplier relationships than firms with other banks.
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Hoang Pham retweeted
In economics, editors, referees, and authors often behave as if a published paper should reflect some kind of authoritative consensus. So valuable debate happens in secret, and the resulting paper is an opaque compromise with anonymous co-authors called referees.
I made this graph in 2014, and a decade later I think I understand why open debate in economics declined: the peer review system took over, and the debate moved behind closed doors. This trend was, moreover, not just confined to economics. Peer review killed open debate.
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Hoang Pham retweeted
I am delighted to let the world know about this upcoming ASSA panel session on *the future of gravity models* that my colleague Maia Linask and I are organizing, in conjunction with @itfaconference.
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It would be nice to see a writeup or publication of your discussion in this section Tom. Thanks for sharing the info!
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Replying to @MitsuruIgami
Super interesting, thank you!
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Replying to @farmerrf
Both prominent specific-factors model (short-) and Heckscher-Ohlin model (long-run) have this distributional implications. The problem is how the model is interpreted and political economy of redistribution. Most textbook models assume tariffs are inefficient in redistribution.
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Recently accepted to #REStud, ``The Long-Run Labor Market Effects of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement,'' from Kovak and Morrow: restud.com/the-long-run-labo…
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Our department is hiring a teaching economics professor at the Vancouver, WA (Portland metro) campus. We begin reviewing applicants on November 1st. Please share with your students on the market interested in a teaching career. aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?J…
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Very nice paper that can show the impact of port strike.
With the focus on the port strike, it’s a great time to share @WoanFoongWong and mine new research on multimodal transport networks. We show how crucial it is to model mode choice and disaggregated congestion in general equilibrium to capture the full economic impacts. 🧵 1/n
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It’s fantastic news! Many congratulations Prof.! 🎉
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Very nice paper, congratulations Todd!🎉
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