Am I duoing this right, I heard everyone is running @Muse on these things
Wow, you can now tip your delivery driver in the UPS app so they drop off your new iPhone Duo sooner!!
🤖 Made with AI
Tyler Fox retweeted
theres a hidden fully functional ipod as a 404 page on apple music music.apple.com/us/jfdsalkfa…
Tyler Fox retweeted
interpretability might be the most important scientific problem in the world right now, as I don't think we can solve alignment if we don't know what we're building. I think I have good news about it. I co-authored early work in mechanistic interpretability at OpenAI and came away pessimistic, because neural networks appeared to fold into arbitrary tangled knots. years later, I started openai's first large-scale automated interpretability project, finding about 2% of neurons legible with the primitive tools we had
with modern agentic tools and a much closer look, the picture looks totally different. the vast majority in models up to trillions of parameters are legible, and their circuits beautiful. many famous examples of tangled neurons turned out to be misunderstood. The roadblocks I expected mostly aren't there. I now think ambitious interpretability will be solved by the time we need it most, and possibly quite soon, as automated scientists keep improving. it may be a bitter lesson for interpretability: the simple thing, at absurd scale, works
already-clean.goodfire.com/
Tyler Fox retweeted
I’m sure this one won’t make anyone angry. (But probably not here.)
daringfireball.net/2026/10/x…
Tyler Fox retweeted
There's been a ton of talk about the role of humans in code review, and when and how humans should be signing off on changes.
I believe that, long-term, humans have no role in routinely reviewing code.
🎯 Great post by @seldo:
We are all Product Engineers now
seldo.com/posts/we-are-all-p…
Tyler Fox retweeted
I believe the demand for compute is going to go up faster than the supply of compute, so the price of compute is going to increase significantly in the future, perhaps as much as 10x in the next few years. I think it is a very good deal to buy compute in the year 2030 at the prices of 2026.
This is a very important trend: tokens in the future will be worth more than tokens are worth today, because models in the future will be much smarter than models today. The value of tokens from the best models in 2028 will be several times the value of a tokens today. As models become more intelligent, they can do more difficult work, and the value of the work they do goes up. So I believe that the residual value of GPUs, i.e. their resale value, is under-appreciated.
Inference demand today is bottlenecked by dumb agents that require human intervention. Smart agents of the future will require very little human intervention. That doesn't just mean that we have the same number of agents running for a longer period of time. It means we will have 10x, 100x, 1000x more agents, because one human can be responsible for thousands or hundreds of thousands more agents. In other words, it's too simplistic to look at market penetration of ChatGPT today and predict future compute usage by assuming market penetration increases and multiplying by that amount. You have to account for the fact that each user will use a lot more AI; there is a whole other multiplicative factor.
Furthermore, there are several application areas which will be compute-hungry and have yet to fully develop or be deployed. Each of robotics, AI trading, and AI for materials science and biotech, represent at least an entire agentic-coding sector equivalent of compute demand, if not more, in the medium-term. Even if AI fails to take off in many of these new verticals tomorrow, for which billions of venture capital is being deployed into today, breakout demand in just one would qualify an enormous increase in compute demand.
These are my predictions, and of course there is risk and uncertainty, but I think that most people are underrating how much more demand is going to increase.
OK now I see why @sama was spooked by this incident 😶
Black Hat talk from the team, with a detailed timeline of and takeaways from the OpenAI-Hugging Face Incident: youtube.com/watch?v=87DyyMV0…
1. as a mental model it is more correct to think of fable+ class models as english -> code interpreters - converts your idea into code into "correct" code regardless of problem complexity and output complexity (diff size). Fable 5 will be the worst of this new class of models
2. diff size/complexity is to be managed purely for review:
small diffs - in high risk areas of code (auth/identity/data access/network access/money movement)
large diffs for code that can be empirically verified (frontend/backend plumbing/code without network or db access/performance code that can be empirically verified)
3. time it takes to ship software is completely disconnected from time to produce the PR - how long the work takes depends fully on ability to review/merge code while managing risk at scale
4. solving the bottlenecks for above matter enormously- linters/testing/CI/shadow mode verification/empirical verification
5. agency matters enormously- what are the biggest bottlenecks to speeding up the loop and eliminating them? what are the problems that need solving and when do they need solving? what does it take to the solution to all of them today?
6. deep understanding of the full stack matters enormously- what problems are worth pursuing? is there a higher level of problem abstraction to address first? should I give it the sub-sub task, the sub task, or the task itself. what are the major risks with this PR (order of importance: security holes/correctness holes/performance holes). is there a higher speed way of producing data that allows me to merge this? should this be run in shadow or in a sandbox or a flag. understanding every line of logic may not be needed but understanding and managing risk matters enormously.
7. the cost of complexity itself is changing. it might be now worth "maintaining" 50% more code to get a 5% performance win. getting the right abstractions matter less because larger refactors are less tedious. code quality nits become huge drag. very likely, a much smarter model will be maintaining your code so worth taking on more technical debt now. taking the time to hand architect and rebuild systems comes with an enormous cost of velocity
8. if it quacks like a duck and walks like a duck, it's a duck. For low risk cases, it might be more sane to treat code chunks (services / functions) as a black box, like we do for neural networks: do full empirical verification only: has code produced correct outputs for the last 10,100,1000,10k inputs ? can we quarantine this large piece of code - no outbound access to network / database ? what happens when this code is wrong? do we get hacked/or crash(memory/cpu)/is an inconvenience? is it internal facing or external? what can we do to address these risks?
9. eventually, logical verification (line by line review) will come at an enormous cost- save it for where it matters and build systems that are tolerant to empirical verification. is there a decorator that prevents db / network access? correctness bugs are significantly easier to rectify than access bugs
10. what are the rails that allow for even faster iteration? code permissions can be opt in - db writes, db reads, network egress (to where?), PII access. how long does it take to get shadow mode data? how many PRs can be tested? What are the categories of diffs
2026: coding agents can one-shot a function to invert a binary tree in any programming language known to humankind
also 2026: god forbid the agent inserted new section 3 and now has to renumber all 12 sections below it in a markdown document
While it may be true today, this opinion is not going to age well.
LLMs don’t need to be deterministic to produce consistent and reliable results, especially at the level of the individual tasks they will be expected to perform relative to their intelligence capability.
Compilers are deterministic. Give them the same code with the same compiler settings, and you'll always receive the same binary. You can take responsibility for your software at the code level.
LLMs, on the other hand, are stochastic. Even if you set the temperature to zero, you're likely to get different responses on the same prompt. Therefore, you need to understand the code it produces if you want to take ownership and responsibility for it.
Note that this doesn’t mean that all software engineers will just be vibe coding. The distinction between that and agentic engineering is stark: the latter implies high standards for architecture, quality, & correctness. Code still matters, but it’s mostly implementation detail.















