Tracking tech, AI, cloud, earnings, and long-term business trends. Data over hype. Educational only—not financial advice.
Seattle, Washington
Joined August 2009
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Jonathan Mercer retweeted
They still think MAGA is trash.
They still think the people they’ve mocked and written off won’t show up when it matters.
They think you’re staying home.
They think they’ve already got it in the bag.
Whatever your politics, don’t let anybody else assume your voice doesn’t matter.
Show up and make your own choice.
Jonathan Mercer retweeted
A watchlist is really a capital-allocation system: every stock that earns your attention is competing for the same limited money, time, attention, and risk.
Jonathan Mercer retweeted
Months after NASA’s leadership issued a scathing indictment of Boeing’s Starliner capsule — saying the botched 2024 test flight that left two astronauts in space months longer than expected was a disaster in league with Columbia and Challenger — the space agency has revealed a new road map to get Starliner on track for regular flights. cnn.it/4hkXRwY
Jonathan Mercer retweeted
Strait of Hormuz flows are hovering at ~13-14 million barrels a day (7-day average). That's about the same as the brief peak in July. But with two notable difference: a) Iranian flows are zero (rather than ~2m b/d); b) all flows are fresh loadings, rather than pre-loaded tankers.
Jonathan Mercer retweeted
$QQQ $SPY I need you all to pay attention very well to this post.
The market will pullback after a move like today guys. Maybe I’ll get stopped out on the current short and I won’t catch it but it will pullback. What’s important is the following:
Whenever the QQQ pullback mark the 728-727 level on your charts. This zone will either confirm or reject the island bottom. If the gap holds and we don’t break under 728-727 that’ll be very bullish and I’ll be buying a lot of calls, SPY or QQQ, won’t matter. Both will go up.
Mark this level.
Jonathan Mercer retweeted
$SPY I still think that a October pullback is happening, but most definitely feels like it will start from a higher point now given how close we are to new ATH's and what the index does when breaching ATH's from a technical standpoint (see the last two).
Perhaps Tom Lee is right. We continue a rally to 7,900 maybe even 8,000 on the S&P500 then begin the mini drip towards the next FOMC.
Jonathan Mercer retweeted
$SPY has BILLIONS worth of positive gamma exposure
Bulls are in full squeeze mode today
Jonathan Mercer retweeted
2/
“We believe a crypto bull market is underway, having started in late June, driven by a multitude of factors including the rotation from AI back to crypto, strengthening crypto fundamentals centered around both tokenization and AI and lastly, the ending of the 4-year cycle.
With only little more than a week left in calendar third quarter (3Q26), the outperformance of Ethereum as a macro asset continues to strengthen. Quarter to date, ETH is outperforming by 6,519bp, dwarfing other macro assets,”
stated Thomas “Tom” Lee, Chairman of Bitmine.
Jonathan Mercer retweeted
Accounting for the SPY $1.90 dividend paid out on Friday it’s at $768+ currently in premarket so he nailed it near perfectly right near the top of the range. 🤝✅
$SPY If we can somehow gap up again on Monday to 766-770. Consider taking a strangle 9/30 760 put and 780 call. It would think 90% chance you will make money. VIX will be so low. Best thing you do not have to argue whether market goes up or down. K thanks ✌️
Jonathan Mercer retweeted
We've never in almost 100 years seen breadth this bad.
The S&P $SPY is knocking on new highs but there are (many) more stocks at lows than highs.
The percentage of stocks in long-term uptrends is plunging.
The only remotely similar setups were January 1973 and November 1999.
