President, Mitchell Research & Communications, National #Pollster, Political and PR #Consultant, and commentator on #Politics
Michigan
Joined February 2009
- Tweets4.3K
- Following1.4K
- Followers1.7K
- Likes8K
Pinned Tweet
We are delighted to be ranked as the 13th most accurate pollster in the USA in 2024 polling by ActiVote of 136 who were ranked!
2024 Most Valuable Pollster (MVP) Rankings – ActiVote - Mitchell #13 activote.net/2024-most-valua…
Some of the historically, most accurate polling companies in America with completely opposite results. This should be interesting tonight.
Steve Mitchell retweeted
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “Sir, I’m sorry, but we’ll need you to move to seat 28C. A family needs your seat so they can sit together.”
PASSENGER: “I’m sitting in 3A.”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “Yes, sir. I’m aware.”
PASSENGER: “I paid extra to reserve 3A.”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “I understand, but the family would really appreciate being seated together.”
PASSENGER: “And how does that become my responsibility?”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “We’re simply asking you to be understanding and help us out.”
PASSENGER: “So I paid extra, arrived on time, followed every instruction, and now I’m expected to surrender the seat I purchased because someone else didn’t plan ahead?”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “We can refund your seat-selection fee after the flight.”
PASSENGER: “So I lose the seat, spend the entire journey in 28C, and get my money back afterward? What about the inconvenience?”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “I’m sorry, sir. There’s nothing else I can offer.”
On Qatari Television discussing ongoing negotiations between @realDonaldTrump and @IRIMFA_EN taking place in Doha. My take: Post Nov 3rd The US will resume war with no constraints once mid-terms are over!
Mitchell Poll MI Benson 49%- James 44% mitchellresearch.net Press Releases @PollTracker2024 @IAPolls2022 @PpollingNumbers @pol
N=515 MMS-Web, N=121 online panels and we will find out if it is right or wrong. The same exact methodology used by almost all POLLSTERS. I guess being ranked 13th most accurate in the country by ActiVote in 2024 isn’t good enough for you. I was pretty proud of it. Perhaps you’ve been in the top 15 in something as well. Please let me know. Thanks for the kind words @AdrianHemond
Mitchell MI Poll El-Sayed +7% Press Releases @ Mitchellresearch.net. @PpollingNumbers @politico @IAPolls2022 @wjrradio @PollTracker2024 @DecisionDeskHQ
I was at El-Sayed +4.2% (45.6%-41.4%) They rounded to 5%.
Michigan Senate polling is showing an interesting pattern. As I did with Texas, I ran eight polls through several LOESS models, and all point to a stable El-Sayed lead of roughly 2 points.
Even removing the earlier Marist +7 and Mitchell +5 polls barely changes the estimate. Allowing the models to account for those larger margins produces essentially the same result. A race well within the margin of error of individual surveys. Of course, none of this accounts for potential polling error in either direction.
Steve Mitchell retweeted
BREAKING NEWS: Ken Paxton takes the lead in the Texas Senate race.
🔴 Ken Paxton: 49%
🔵 James Talarico: 48%
“While the overall numbers have not moved much, this shift is significant because it marks the first time Paxton has led the Senate race since August.”
— John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling
Steve Mitchell retweeted
BREAKING NEWS: Rick Jackson maintains a lead over Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms in the Peach State.
🔴 Rick Jackson: 49%
🔵 Keisha Lance Bottoms: 47%
— John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling
Mitchell Poll Mi Benson 46%-James 39%. @IAPolls2022 @detroitnews @freep @politico @FoxNews @foxnewspolitics @RCPolitics Go to Press Releases Mitchellresearch.net
Mitchell MI Poll - El-Sayed 45.6%-Rogers 41.4% Mitchellresearch.net @wjrradio @ErmanniMedia @PaulWJR @NBCNews @ABC @PpollingNumbers @JackPosobiec
Mitchell MI Poll El-Sayed 45.6% - Rogers 41.4%
MitchellResearch.net
@FOX2News @CBSDetroit @RCPolitics @nypost @politico @IAPolls2022 @DecisionDeskHQ @seanhannity @JesseBWatters @FoxNews @foxnewspolitics
In 2024, ActiVote ranked Quantus 14th, higher than the NY TIMES, WAPO, CNN, ABC, Quinnipiac, and others! It’s a top flight polling organization.
On Qatar TV this afternoon discussing @realDonaldTrump ‘s sanctions on 60 entities in Iran with an Iranian. 3:00 PM EDT and 10 PM Qatar time.
This information is completely false. There are 527,000 registered voters in the City Of Detroit about 120,000 voters actually CAST a ballot on August 4, 2026 And that includes all candidates, including a EL Sayed, and Haley Stevens both.
This poll is 41% Democrat 35% Republican a + 6% Democratic poll. The Fox poll was about +1% D. Split the difference and if the party affiliation is +3% Democrat, then the race is fundamentally tied or ROGERS has a slight lead.
MICHIGAN POLL By TIPP (A)
SENATE
🟦 Abdul El-Sayed: 45%
🟥 Mike Rogers: 42%
—
GOVERNOR
🟦 Jocelyn Benson: 53%
🟥 John James: 37%
@LeagueOfWorkers (R) | 8/6-10 | LV
tippinsights.com/league-of-a…
tippinsights.com/league-of-a…
There there has been no change in the Dane County vote except they’re now calling at 99% in instead of 91% in. That makes the road much more difficult for @FrancescaHongWI it looks as though @DavidCrowleyWI is going to win. It all comes down to city of Milwaukee absentee ballots.
The path is getting much more difficult for Hong now. She’s down almost 3800 votes so she really has to do well with the Milwaukee city absentee or early votes. It looks now as though Crowley may squeeze this out. @FrancescaHongWI he has to do at least 58% of the absentee vote in the city of Milwaukee to win.
There’s still remains 20% of the vote outstanding in Milwaukee County and 10% in Dane county. These are early or absentee votes cast before @FrancescaHongWI collapse. They probably represent more than half of the outstanding votes state wide that will be split between the two main candidates. Look for Hong to take the lead somewhere around midnight EDT.