@StuPolitics

Fantasy baseball manager who does political handicapping in spare time. @Colby, @UConn. Taught Poli Sci @Bucknell. Rothenberg Political Report.

insideelections.com/
Joined February 2011
  • Tweets38.8K
  • Following869
  • Followers37.5K
155Media
It’s over. Been over for at least the past few weeks. A Democratic flip.
Jonathan Martin
@jmartOct 21
This is at least the third Fox poll that has had Sherrod over 50%
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Stuart Rothenberg retweeted
Roll Call
@rollcallOct 16
New Democrat Coalition looks to boost ranks and build clout rollcall.com/2026/10/16/new-…

New Dems look to boost ranks and build clout

The New Democrat Coalition is already the largest ideological bloc within the House Democratic Caucus with more than 100 members. And Rep. Greg Stanton, who chairs the group’s campaign arm, doesn’t...

rollcall.com
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Rick Wilson
@TheRickWilsonOct 9
This is the way.
Medium Buying
@MediumBuyingOct 8
#OHSen: Former Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) is up on TV with this response/contrast spot -- Male voiceover: "Seen these ads? They're a complete lie. Records show not only is this woman actually from Texas, she didn't have any surgery as a minor" "But, Jon Husted? He protected men who abused young girls by voting in the Senate to block the release of the Epstein files"
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It’s a tsunami.
Dave Wasserman
@RedistrictOct 9
A decent way to think about 2026: many of the places that have swung the most towards Republicans during the Trump era (Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, south TX, north country of NY) are the places we could see some of the biggest pro-Dem swings this year.
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Sarah Ferris@sarahnferrisOct 3
News: House Rs are entering triage mode and are now discussing pulling $ from three of their toughest races: Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in Iowa, Rep. Tom Keane in New Jersey, and an open seat in Nebraska, per 3 sources w/ @DavidWright_7 cnn.com/2026/10/03/politics/…

Republicans watch with alarm as Trump’s approval rating sinks in their own internal polling | CNN...

Four weeks to Election Day, a growing number of House Republicans privately fear their chances of holding onto the majority are vanishing and have begun focusing on how to limit the size of a...

cnn.com
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Stuart Rothenberg retweeted
The Lincoln Project
@ProjectLincolnSep 22
Fox News (!) shifted 15 races towards Dems. @JenKiggans @billhuizenga @MainePaulLePage we're coming
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Jon Cooper 🇺🇸
@joncoopertweetsSep 21
🚨BREAKING: The Ohio governor’s race has shifted sharply in favor of Democrat Amy Acton. Vivek Ramaswamy has crashed to a record low in the odds to win this critical race. Amy Acton is now favored at 58%. Learn more about Amy and donate here: actonforgovernor.com
🤝 Paid partnership
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Given the public polls and the partisan wave’s dynamic, it would be surprising if the Senate doesn’t flip.
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KirkAdams@KirkAdamsSep 17
The day was inevitable, but still arrives like a punch to the gut. Jon Kyl was the leader we all claim to want: Honest, fair, kind, smart, principled. A bridge-building, committed conservative. A personal mentor, the leader I aspired to. RIP, Senator.
Doug Ducey
@DougDuceySep 17
Jon Kyl gave Arizona nearly three decades of principled, thoughtful leadership — and he gave me something just as valuable: his mentorship and friendship. I'll miss him deeply. Rest in peace, Senator Kyl.
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David Wildstein
@wildsteinSep 17
Breaking: New Jersey's firefighters' union has endorsed Democrat Rebecca Bennett for Congress in NJ-7. The union backed Republican Tom Kean in 2020 and 2024. newjerseyglobe.com/campaigns…

Firefighters union flips to Bennett in NJ-7 - New Jersey Globe

The New Jersey State Firefighters Mutual Benevolent Association has endorsed Democrat Rebecca Bennett for Congress in New Jersey’s 7th district, flipping

newjerseyglobe.com
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Medium Buying
@MediumBuyingSep 17
Jon Kyl, an Arizona political giant, dies at 84 ktar.com/arizona-politics-ne…

Jon Kyl, an Arizona political giant, dies at 84 - KTAR.com

Jon Kyl, a giant in Arizona politics who served the state in Congress for nearly three decades, has died, his family announced Thursday.

ktar.com
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The wave is still building.
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Jake Sherman
@JakeShermanSep 16
VOTES THURSDAY CANCELED today is the houses last day until after Election Day.
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Neera Tanden🌻
@neeratandenSep 15
My friends. This is the man running against racist Bo French. Give him a follow and some support. We need to fight racism everywhere
Jon Rosenthal
@Jon_RosenthalTX29 Sep 2025
My name is Jon Rosenthal. I’m a career engineer, not a career politician. Today, I’m announcing my candidacy for the Texas Railroad Commission, one of the most corrupt offices in our state. Together, we’ll clean up the Railroad Commission and return it to the people.
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Marc E. Elias
@marceeliasSep 15
🚨BREAKING: Supreme Court REJECTS Department of Justice effort to restore U.S. Postal Service mail-in voting rule. A huge victory for voting rights and free and fair elections. A defeat for Trump and his scheme to rig the elections. democracydocket.com/cases/tr…

🚨 State of California et al v. United States Postal Service et al

Learn more here.

democracydocket.com
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Stuart Rothenberg retweeted
Rebekah Allen@rebekahallenSep 14
At a private lunch today, Karl Rove told members he will vote for the Democrat over Bo French — who he called a bigot — ending a more than 3 decade streak of voting for only Republicans. Scoop from @carlosnogueras_ texastribune.org/2026/09/14/…

Karl Rove will vote for Democrat over Bo French

Rove, a former adviser to President George W. Bush and longtime Texas GOP political consultant, made the comments at a private lunch in Austin, according to attendees.

texastribune.org
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Seems reasonable.
Decision Desk HQ
@DecisionDeskHQSep 14
FORECAST UPDATE: Democrats favored to flip the Senate Decision Desk HQ's latest model shows Democrats leading in almost every swing state, with five seats currently forecasted to flip: 🟥→🟦 North Carolina: 77% D 🟥→🟦 Alaska: 59% D 🟥→🟦 Texas: 55% D 🟥→🟦 Ohio: 54% D 🟥→🟦 Maine: 53% D
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Mattingly won nine Gold Gloves between 1985 and 1994, missing out just one year in that whole run, and his glove is the reason opposing teams stopped testing him at first. Scouts always said his hands were as reliable as his bat, which is saying something for a .307 career hitter. Digging throws out of the dirt night after night is why teammates trusted him blind over there.
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A wave has already formed. The only question is how big it is. I’m guessing it’s a big one.
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Stuart Rothenberg retweeted
VoteHub
@VoteHubSep 12
Sen. Jon Husted (R-OH) has not led in a poll since July. Our Polling Average: 🔵 Brown +4.4 Our Forecast: 🔵 Tilt D 9/9 InsiderAdvantage (B): 🔵 Brown +5 8/28 Abacus (-): 🔵 Brown +5 8/13 Wedgewood (-): 🔵 Brown +4 8/10 Beacon/Shaw (A): 🔵 Brown +8 8/4 Tulchin (-): 🔵 Brown +4
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