Amongst the blind the crosseyed can see Not investment advice, may be long or short positions that I discuss.
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this is where you buys semis tbh ...
average in since q's are down
but this is all bullish, set up also clean.
$GOOGL CFO:
“Given the supply constraint environment, we started utilizing third-party compute capacity at the end of Q3, and will ramp usage in Q4.”
“Expect margin headwinds in the near term as we utilize this capacity.”
Expect our CapEx to increase significantly in 2027
michael hurlston better not take shares of $MRVL.
take cash, and then take over the company yourself.
insane deal if true - matt murphy must want to become the next hock tan.
idk how this gets done tbh.
@insane_analyst this meme is for u.
immediate thoughts post $GOOG and $MSFT:
max bullish ai bio trade imo:
1. google whiffing search = bad for ai-disupted basket / would be good semis but less goog cash = less semi buys
2. msft capex miss = bad semis (maybe explained by delays)
3. $ftnt nuke on decent numbers = can short cyber now. look at after hours performance of basket.
4. $cvna still mid as a non-AI levered high growth story
so what do you do with your risk capital?
you buy frontier of ai with lot of positive earnings revisions ahead:
1. genomics
2. tools
3. bioprocessing
4. reagents (think: $TKNO).
Think this is neutral semis at end of the day but knee jerk probably is still down.
I think everyone should listen to this $VRT call. Very indicative of forward order growth / vibes.
Gio is saying there is more momentum QoQ for forward growth.
This is very important in terms of comfort level around power availability, what hyperscalers are thinking for 2027, and global demand.
Obviously people more focused on $GEV today, but this is a very important data point as I think about my own gross semis exposure at a fund level.
Good job.
As it relates to $AVGO this is what I visualize happened.
🤖 Made with AI
SCOOP: Broadcom CEO Hock Tan was getting impatient.
He needed lenders to commit $40 billon in the largest AI debt deal ever—so Anthropic could afford TPUs—but some were getting cold feet.
In the end, Broadcom’s CEO held 11th-hour talks with bank executives over the weekend to get them to finalize their commitments. Broadcom also agreed to higher interest rates on the loans, sweetening the deal.
With @ajsaeedy @ mattwirz for @WSJ
I think $AMKR reaction post market is broadly positive for state of willingness to own / buy speculative semis here...
the whole story is about 5 years-out adv packaging ramp up. no one cares about apple related headwinds.
amkor is pillaging their balance sheet in the hopes of scaling into an ASE of the americas, and the desire to own equity in that in the present is a voting mechanism by the market on what the future holds.
good coin to track for AI sentiment.
if its down tomorrow that is a negative!
Probably going to take the market down this week …
Not to mention every SINGLE hedge fund on planet earth is balls long Brazil ($meli $nu $xp etc) and will cause degrossing.
Ironically decent time to think about bidding some BRL equities in this sell off.
Need to dust off my USDBRL forward curve and get to work.
With Lula winning the runoff in the Brazilian elections, I fear we might be seeing the start of an explosion of left wing populism winning elections all over the world.
I expect the rise of Mamdanistan & El-Sayed in Mishighani will lead to even more interest in this radical left ideology. It’s important we don’t just fight these at the polls in America but take the fight overseas as well before it comes here !
It’s time for the right to come together and fund the fight on the left overseas? And who better to lead and manage the funds for this fight than me? If your interested in getting involved reach out! We can take all the money we can get to fight these socialist ideas! There is no price too high to pay for your freedom!
