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New: A deep dive in what's wrong with the current framework of intelligence, power and alignment in AI research. substack.com/home/post/p-151…
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My new blog post discusses the physical reality of computation and why this means we will not see AGI or any meaningful superintelligence: timdettmers.com/2025/12/10/w…
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It's quite striking that despite everything that's happened in AI over the last 3 years, the world is still spending *less* capex building semiconductor foundries today than in 2022
All of AI is still small enough to be washed away by consumers buying -10% fewer Android phones
It is important to note what generations of masters know that modern folks forget: consciousness is never a tool as it is not within your control.
I’m really fed up by the narrative that in the age of AI, there will be no more human work to be had. Intelligence consumes problems, and therefore when intelligence is abundant, great problems will be scarce. I have yet to meet an AI that has problem finding skills.
There are huge demands even just for problems in testing AI, most current benchmarks suck. Not to mention to understand what are the problems that will be valuable to the world.
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Fail fast might be the wrong thing now that the idea maze has shifted.
Just use interesting technology, follow your own curiosity, and if you live at the edge of the future like PG says, there's so many great startup ideas you're very likely to just bump into one.
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Cursor writes almost 1 billion lines of accepted code a day.
To put it in perspective, the entire world produces just a few billion lines a day.
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Today we are announcing ARC-AGI-2, an unsaturated frontier AGI benchmark that challenges AI reasoning systems (same relative ease for humans).
Grand Prize: 85%, ~$0.42/task efficiency
Current Performance:
* Base LLMs: 0%
* Reasoning Systems: <4%
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Anyone paying attention to AI on X is likely year(s) ahead of the rest of the world. I regularly show demos that are fully known by everyone here to more offline people and look like a time traveler. The next few years will be wild.
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"The quality of your life is determined by the quality of your thoughts." – Marcus Aurelius
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gg there are only 7 American coders better than o3
(benq, ecnerwala, a_g, neal, conqueror_of_tourist, crystally, rqi)
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The final admission that the 2023 strategy of OpenAI, Anthropic, etc. (“simply scaling up model size, data, compute, and dollars spent will get us to AGI/ASI”) is no longer working!
OPENAI ROADMAP UPDATE FOR GPT-4.5 and GPT-5:
We want to do a better job of sharing our intended roadmap, and a much better job simplifying our product offerings.
We want AI to “just work” for you; we realize how complicated our model and product offerings have gotten.
We hate the model picker as much as you do and want to return to magic unified intelligence.
We will next ship GPT-4.5, the model we called Orion internally, as our last non-chain-of-thought model.
After that, a top goal for us is to unify o-series models and GPT-series models by creating systems that can use all our tools, know when to think for a long time or not, and generally be useful for a very wide range of tasks.
In both ChatGPT and our API, we will release GPT-5 as a system that integrates a lot of our technology, including o3. We will no longer ship o3 as a standalone model.
The free tier of ChatGPT will get unlimited chat access to GPT-5 at the standard intelligence setting (!!), subject to abuse thresholds.
Plus subscribers will be able to run GPT-5 at a higher level of intelligence, and Pro subscribers will be able to run GPT-5 at an even higher level of intelligence. These models will incorporate voice, canvas, search, deep research, and more.
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When I wrote about Humanity’s Last Exam, the leading AI model got an 8.3%. 5 models now surpass that, and the best model gets a 26.6%.
That was 10 DAYS AGO.
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I’m not into these memcoins made from cheap ingredients like mathematics. Back in the day, our fake money was cheap AND edible.
amazon.com/Premium-Chocolate…



























