@theproof

Masters in Nutrition Science & Bachelor of Science (Physio). Author and podcast host. Science over hyperbole. Tweets are educational only, not medical advice.

Australia
Joined October 2019
First dose of Repatha 8/8 Returning to my infant level ApoB
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Simon Hill MSc, BSc retweeted
The Keto CTA study is back on my feed today, and the authors are reiterating that it was retracted at their request. That’s fine. I’m actually open to the idea that the Cleerly data was flawed. My much, much larger problem is with the way the science was communicated. As they say, “Trust takes years to build, seconds to break, and forever to repair.” At launch, the message was “no association of ApoB with plaque” and “most participants showed NO OR MINIMAL progression.” (Pictures below.) But when the authors requested the retraction, the exact same data was suddenly the problem. Plaque progression was so high and so one directional, that it was said to be statistically implausible. So what is it? No or minimal progression or progression so consistent and so bad that the data must be flawed? Second, it’s worth remembering how science is supposed to be communicated. Plaque progression was the PRIMARY OUTCOME cited for the Keto CTA study. But plaque progression was not reported. The authors later apologized (which, to their credit, is good!) for not including the number in the graph they provided. But while putting the number in the figure would have been nice, that is not how you DISCUSS your primary outcome in the DISCUSSION of a paper. Let’s compare this to how @BradStanfieldMD discussed the primary outcome of his Rapamycin study, a study he put a tremendous amount of reputation behind and, quite literally put a second mortgage on his house to get over the finish line: “4.1 Principal Findings This randomised, double-blind, exploratory trial evaluated whether once-weekly sirolimus (rapamycin) 6 mg, timed to avoid peak training windows, could enhance functional adaptations to a 13-week resistance and endurance programme in sedentary older adults. Contrary to the ‘cycling hypothesis’ derived from preclinical models, we found no evidence of benefit. Instead, sensitivity analyses (complete-case and per-protocol) revealed a statistically significant blunting of functional gains in the sirolimus arm. Specifically, participants taking the drug performed fewer chair-stand repetitions and showed non-significant trends toward reduced walking distance and grip strength compared with placebo. Safety monitoring identified a higher burden of minor AEs and one serious infection (pneumonia) in the treatment arm.” He was clear. The study did not meet his primary endpoint, and instead, the intervention appeared to have worsened it. That is how science is communicated. I asked Grok to write the Discussion the Keto CTA should have had for its primary endpoint, had it been written the way Dr Stanfield did. Here is what Grok wrote: "Discussion Principal Findings This prospective, single-arm observational study evaluated whether long-term exposure to elevated LDL-C and ApoB (in the lean-mass hyper-responder phenotype on a ketogenic diet) was associated with progression of noncalcified coronary plaque over one year, as quantified by coronary CT angiography. The pre-specified primary endpoint was change in noncalcified plaque volume (NCPV). Contrary to the hypothesis that these elevations would not drive measurable plaque progression in this metabolically healthy cohort, we observed a median increase in NCPV of 18.9 mm³ (IQR 9.3–47.0 mm³), corresponding to a 42.8% relative change. The mean change was 31.5 mm³ (SD 31.5 mm³), reflecting substantial inter-individual heterogeneity. Most participants showed an increase in NCPV." That is how you discuss your primary endpoint. It’s not supposed to be a number on a chart (which was omitted anyway).
We, the authors, retracted the paper, @Drlipid This was due to the anomalous @Cleerlyhealth dataset they provided us alongside their repeated refusal to quality control check their work. Study participants have since resubmitted their scans and have gotten results far more in line with the other independent analyses from Heartflow and QAngio. So yes, understandably, we moved to withdraw the paper leading to its retraction. (This has been known for over half year now.) xitter.cf/realDaveFeldman/status…
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Bingo - with barely any responsibility taken.
Replying to @ScottAppliedSci
The messaging is crazy: -Original Keto CTA Messaging: Huge victory for Keto!! Then everyone found the plaque numbers. -New Keto CTA Messaging: The numbers as so terrible that it's completely implausible, so we retracted the study. (And they say they knew that at the time of original publication as well)
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Do you have any questions about sun-spots and screening for melanoma? As well as treatments for skin cancer. Having a convo on this topic tomorrow.
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New Substack article on liver fat and diet nutritionscientist.substack.…
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Lots of engagement and interest in this study on the ketogenic diet and liver fat. Hats off to @mpetersenmdphd and Sam Klein for putting together such an interesting study design. My discussion with Dr Guess on the interpretation of the results below. Planning an episode with @mpetersenmdphd to continue the exploration and learnings. It Wasn’t the Ketones: What Really Cut Liver Fat in the New Keto Study | Nicola Guess youtu.be/kZzRMnpq5Is
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A new trial in Cell Metabolism found a keto diet cut liver fat by 67%, versus 45% on a Mediterranean or plant-forward diet – with weight loss matched and all food provided. So keto wins? Not so fast. The keto diet in this trial was also much higher in protein: 23% of energy versus 15% on the other two. Ketones only rose modestly. When I sat down with Dr Nicola Guess, her read was that more protein and fewer carbs were doing the heavy lifting, not ketosis. And despite 23% of energy from saturated fat, LDL and apoB changed about the same as on the other diets. But everyone was losing weight, which can mask the effect, so this study can't tell us saturated fat is fine. The practical take is a higher-protein, lower-carb Mediterranean-style plate, with olive oil, nuts, and seeds. Full conversation is EP #441– link below. Save this for later, or share it with someone navigating fatty liver or prediabetes. Study: Petersen MC et al. Cell Metabolism, 2026.
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Jacked @ 60 Happy birthday @richroll
Hi. It’s my birthday. THIS IS 60.
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Simon Hill MSc, BSc retweeted
An orthopedic surgeon and a performance coach developed a resistance training routine that protects and strengthens knees by improving the body’s ability to move. Here’s how to do these exercises: wapo.st/4hX2Liz
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Have a great ENT on The Proof tomorrow. Any questions about ear, throat nose physiology/conditions/treatments??
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Ai or a massive change in sentiment? @grok
Reporter: Do you believe that 5 deaths, potentially 6 from measles in Pennsylvania-- Staffer: We're not gonna talk about measles-- Reporter: He's the highest ranking health official in the country, he can answer that question. He's a Cabinet Secretary.
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Wild. Looks like they saved her life 🙏
She was fit, healthy and just 43 years old, when a morning run left Kaley Kopper clinically dead for several minutes. Kaley survived a sudden cardiac arrest, thanks to quick-thinking strangers and a device that just happened to be close by.
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Simon Hill MSc, BSc retweeted
It was an honor to co-author the International Society of Sports Nutrition position stand evaluating the scientific evidence on dietary strategies for weight loss and body composition (PMID: 42867412). Huge kudos to @thealanaragon for spearheading the effort. Some key takeaways: --Calorie deficit is king: Weight loss is primarily driven by sustained energy restriction, with dietary approaches best tailored to individual preferences and goals. --Intermittent fasting isn't superior: Time-restricted eating and other fasting strategies generally produce similar weight and fat loss compared with continuous calorie restriction. --Carb vs fat ratios are overrated: Both lower-carbohydrate and lower-fat diets can be similarly effective for fat loss. Ketogenic diets may lead to greater reductions in fat-free mass, but this appears to be partly attributable to changes in glycogen/water stores. --Protein matters: Intakes of 1.2–1.6 g/kg/day are appropriate for the gen pop, while 1.6–2.2 g/kg/day may optimize muscle anabolism when combined with resistance training. Higher intakes may benefit lean, resistance-trained individuals dieting in a caloric deficit. --Lift weights to preserve muscle: Resistance training combined with adequate protein intake is essential for minimizing lean mass loss during weight reduction. --Meal frequency is flexible: Eating more frequently does not inherently enhance fat loss, although distributing protein across at least three meals daily may benefit muscle retention and performance. --Aggressive dieting isn't necessarily better: Very-low-calorie diets can accelerate short-term weight loss but offer no clear long-term advantage and may increase the risk of muscle loss and nutrient deficiencies. --Metabolic adaptation is real: Energy expenditure can decline during weight loss, sometimes beyond what is predicted by changes in body composition. However, these adaptations aren’t inevitable and may diminish with weight stabilization. Bottom Line: There is no universally superior diet for fat loss. The best approach is one that creates a sustainable calorie deficit, provides sufficient protein, incorporates resistance training, and aligns with individual preferences to promote long-term adherence. tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.…
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Highly interesting and enjoyable episode recorded today with Dr Eric Helms Do people often turn to anabolic steroids well before they’ve reached their genetic potential? How should people interested in healthy aging approach training volume, intensity, tempo and reps per set. And a whole lot more. 2 hours flew by. Safe to say we will need a part 2 and 3 and 4.
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