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the Savage Modeler ⚡ retweeted
Strategy has acquired 1,036 $BTC and repurchased $188M of $STRC. As of 11/8/26, we hold 850,364 BTC and $4.9B of USD Assets. $MSTR strategy.com/press/strategy-…
the Savage Modeler ⚡ retweeted
Quick update on @EVplusAI
Our most successful launch so far is the $PAPER bot. We didn't just farm the token, we made real profit: ~$240k and 6.5M tokens, plus 20k+ in staking yield.
The second-best, and the hardest, is Polymarket. The field is very competitive and liquidity is thin. Still, we're holding our own, and V2 now makes steady profit for users.
The third, and the shortest-lived, is the onchain LP bot farming @fablesfi. It did well: capital is down ~10% from impermanent loss, but we ended up with more ETH, and the $FABLE yield was ~20% in just 2 weeks.
Launches that didn't make it:
- Polymarket trading terminal: looked easy at first, but it was too much for a one-Dev team, so I dropped it.
- Robinhood copy trade + swap + terminal + EVPlus wallet: good in theory, but hard to market, and there's no moat.
In the AI era it's easy to make mistakes, but also easy to redo and refocus. So I'm winding the bad to focus on what matters.
What this means for you:
- Swap, Copy trading, Fable and the Telegram bot close on 20 November 2026.
- Your funds are yours. Withdraw them or export your wallet key before then.
Also ~15k USD were used to buy back $EVP
the Savage Modeler ⚡ retweeted
Lmao, I am having a lucky day.
A 5m Bitcoin Up or Down market is a coin flip on paper. Before it opens, nobody knows the output, so Up and Down trade on opinion, not information.
1. Prices & Probability
On Polymarket a share pays $1 if its side wins and $0 if it loses.
A price of 50¢ means the market thinks that side has about a 50% chance. If a side's real chance is higher than the price you pay, the bet has positive @EVplusAI
Pay 50¢ for something that wins 55% of the time and you expect about 5¢ of profit per share (55¢ back on 50¢ paid) over many tries, while any single try can still go to zero.
A small edge.
2. What Premarket Value Buy does
It buys before the market starts when it spots the edge, the bigger it is, the higher price this strategy is willing to pay.
Self-adjusted based on market condition.
3. Streaks are normal
A small edge is invisible over a handful of trades.
Take a bettor who wins 55% of even-money bets. Over 100 bets there's roughly a 65% chance of at least one run of 5 losses in a row, and about a 92% chance of a run of 4.
That's the day you start doubting everything, and it says almost nothing about the edge.
Only the long run does.
The app says it plainly: "Profit and loss swing hard, so make sure you can handle the swings."
Not financial advice.
the Savage Modeler ⚡ retweeted
We just shipped Track Record. It shows @EVplusAI 's own bots trading real money on Polymarket, broken down by strategy.
One headline number hides how each strategy actually behaves, so we split it out.
Win rate alone can mislead. Over the last 7 days Premarket Value Buy won 67% of its markets and made +$2,994. No Hit won 92% and finished at −$306.
A high win rate with a lopsided payoff can still lose money, and a lower win rate with a few big winners can carry the whole book.
You need profit, win rate and volume side by side to read it properly.
The time window matters as well. 24 hours is mostly noise and 7 days starts to show a pattern. Over 30 days (10,003 settled markets) you see how a strategy really behaves, drawdowns included.
The page counts settled markets only, with profit after Polymarket fees and the 0.01% builder fee, rebates included. Bot running credits are not part of it. Open positions show up once they resolve.
Every trade is public and links to Polymarket, so you can check it yourself.
Progress update! My July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards @Polymarket ?
$1.26 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $47.30.
94.6 % achieved #Polymarket
Top 11%
4
68
Enjoying the process is key!
Updating my July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards @Polymarket ?
$1.22 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $46.04.
92.1 % achieved #Polymarket
Top 11%
49
Rewards keep flowing for my July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards @Polymarket ?
$8.26 in LP rewards in the last 4 days.
The new total is $44.82.
89.6% achieved #Polymarket
Top 11%
36
More rewards for my July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards @Polymarket ?
$1.57 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $36.56.
73.1% achieved #Polymarket
Top 12%
1
44
Another day, another reward for my July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards
@Polymarket ?
$1.70 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $34.99.
70% achieved #Polymarket
Top 13%
37
July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards
@Polymarket ?
$1.46 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $33.29.
66.6% achieved #Polymarket
Top 13%
39
July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards
@Polymarket ?
$1.36 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $31.83.
63.7% achieved #Polymarket
Top 13%
23
Great goals through small steps!
July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards
@Polymarket ?
$1.25 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $30.47.
60.9% achieved #Polymarket
Top 14%
23
Daily routine!
July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards
@Polymarket ?
$1.11 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $29.22.
58% achieved #Polymarket
Top 14%
1
34
Let's grind!
July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards @Polymarket ?
$1.10 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $28.11.
56.2% achieved #Polymarket
Top 14%
28
Green is green, I suppose!
July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards
@Polymarket ?
$1.02 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $27.01.
54% achieved #Polymarket
33
It's becoming a habit!
July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards @Polymarket ?
$3.46 in LP rewards in the last two days.
The new total is $25.99.
52% achieved #Polymarket
33
Keep trying!
July and August challenge: will I reach $50 in LP rewards
@Polymarket ?
$2.62 in LP rewards yesterday.
The new total is $22.53.
45.1% achieved #Polymarket
39