Une période d'immigration nette négative est une excellente chose après la Boriswave, néanmoins :
- Ce sont les natifs et les immigrés les plus désirables qui s'en vont.
- Ça posera un vrai problème pour Reform. Difficile de faire campagne sur l'immigration quand il n'y en a pas.
Yes, it's highly likely that the overall net migration figure, which covers all nationalities, will be negative in 2026/2027, especially if the ILR reforms ever come into force.
In any case, Labour is certainly going to get net migration into or below the "tens of thousands"; a promise that outside of the COVID-19 pandemic due to travel restrictions, the Conservatives never kept, despite it featuring in their 2010, 2015 and 2017 manifestos.
This will almost certainly prompt a shift to start talking about the nationality of those entering, leaving and the net balance.
Here is net migration, broken down by nationality, from YE June 2012 to YE December 2025.
There is a consistent net outflow of British nationals and since 2022, we've had a net outflow of EU nationals, though this does seem to be slowly declining. We have never had a net outflow of non-EU nationals, even if you extend the time series back to 1975.
Burnham menace l'Érythrée de stopper la délivrance de visa à ses ressortissants si le pays ne reprend pas ses clandestins. L'idée est bonne mais il choisit ce pays auquel on délivre à peine 50 visas discrétionnaires par trimestre et pas au Pakistan à qui on en délivre 25000.
Tony Thommes retweeted
Une Somalienne élue au Royaume-Uni | Scandale du serment sur le Coran | Avec Tony Thommes xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1pKkOXZZl…
Ravi d'intervenir ce soir encore dans l'émission de Raphaël. Venez poser vos questions et suivre l'actualité de ces derniers mois à partir de 20h heure française. 🇫🇷🇬🇧
Beaucoup de choses se sont passés pendant l'été puis à la rentrée au Royaume-Uni. La dernière en date : une Somalienne élue au parlement, elle prête serment sur le Coran. Nous aurons l'occasion de revenir sur tout ça avec @tonythommes ce soir à 20h.
Lien en dessous ⬇️
Évolution intéressante de la lutte contre l'invasion de clandestins au Royaume-Uni. Les anti-immigration font pression sur les prestataires du gouvernement, et ça marche. Ici une entreprise de transport qui ne fournira finalement pas de bus pour le transfert de migrants.
Nigel Farage annonce qu'un gouvernement Reform suspendra le système d'asile pendant 5 ans et refusera automatiquement toutes les demandes en cours.
Today, I announced that there will be NO ASYLUM SYSTEM under a Reform government. It will be suspended.
Since 2000, we have granted legions of people asylum. Whilst some fled persecution, many have scammed Britain.
They came illegally - by lorry or boat, or by overstaying their visa. And then claimed asylum. Most have received hundreds of thousands of pounds in benefits and state support whilst here - NHS, dental care, food, hotels, HMOs, and welfare.
Terrorists, murderers and rapists have broken in. It is a national security emergency.
Successive Prime Ministers have betrayed our country by failing to stop this.
As Prime Minister, I will end the scam.
But what we've set out today goes beyond this.
The scale of the betrayal is so great a major response is needed. That’s why Zia and I gave more detail on Operation Restoring Justice today.
All of the Tories' and Labour's immigration schemes - Afghanistan, Palestine - will immediately be closed.
Every asylum grant given in the prior 5 years will be reviewed. Those who came illegally, or from a safe country, will have their asylum grant revoked and be deported.
Countries that refuse to take back their illegal migrants and criminals will face visa bans, sanctions, and tariffs.
The few who genuinely cannot go back to their home country will go to safe third countries we strike deals with.
We will review everyone granted asylum under the ludicrously suppressed Afghanistan schemes. Those who directly helped our armed forces in combat will keep their asylum grant. That’s only right.
But all the others will have to leave. If Afghanistan won't take them back, we will strike deals with safe third countries to do so.
All foreign nationals convicted of crime will be deported.
All migrant welfare will end. All the loopholes will be closed.
And we will make it IMPOSSIBLE to live in Britain illegally.
We'll massively hike penalties for landlords renting to, and businesses employing, illegal migrants.
And we'll enable and encourage all parts of local government to conduct migration checks - housing, trading standards, environmental health, and licensing. This will mean 10 times more migration enforcement capacity.
And, critically, councils will be allowed to KEEP the fines on landlords and employers they levy.
Councils will then have a huge incentive to identify illegal migrants and send the data to Deportation Command, who will oversee the exit of these illegal migrants from Britain. Councils will therefore be incentivised to hire more officials, identify more illegal migrants, and levy more fines.
This will make it impossible to live in Britain illegally, let alone thrive. Illegal migrants won't be able to rent or work, and certainly not get welfare.
Hundreds of thousands will voluntarily leave. And we will enforce the deportation of everyone illegally here who doesn't.
All in all, this plan will see well over a million people who are here illegally (or who came here illegally) leave Britain.
It will restore justice.
Legislative partielle ce jeudi dans le l'ex circonscription de Keir Starmer au centre de Londres.
Circo très défavorable à la droite qui pourrait peut-être voir Restore devant Reform, de la même manière que Reconquête bat le RN à Paris ou dans certaines circos de l'étranger.
c. 10,000 leaflets delivered.
We covered Camden Town, Mornington Crescent, Chalk Farm, Somers Town, Regent’s Park and Bourne Estate.
Great conversations had with many of the remaining patriots and now, we’re Restoring the British Pub.
Vote for Restore Britain’s @Tyler4Restore on Thursday 8th October in Holborn & St Pancras.
Les bureaux sont maintenant fermés. Résultats attendus au petit matin demain.
À observer :
1. Duel Labour / Verts pour le vote urbain mix de CSP+ cosmopolites et de minorités en logement social.
2. Rapport de force Reform/Restore dans dans cet environnement hostile.
Victoire de Sagal Abdi-Wali qui remplace Keir Starmer et permet au Labour de garder la circo.
Coup dur pour les Verts qui avaient investi leur chef Zack Polanski qui pourrait être contraint de démissionner.
Restore obtient un honorable 2.5%, seulement moitié moins que Reform.
Pour l'anecdote, il le disait déjà en 2015. Constance admirable dans le discours.
« Je me battrai toujours pour que « wallah » et « wesh » ne soient jamais l’horizon culturel de la jeunesse française. »
@J_Bardella sur @LCI #LeGrandEntretien
Les conservateurs ont ré-investi une ex ministre de Boris Johnson pro-trans et instable mentalement qui avait perdu son siège en 2024. Rien n'a changé sous le capot...
“I would love to be back on the squad”
Former cabinet minister Penny Mordaunt says she has been approved to seek selection to become a Conservative MP again and that she’s “always toed the party line” on issues like ECHR and net zero
#BBCLauraK
bbc.co.uk/news/live/c8n5d3k4…
Le militant de gauche qui a tué l'ex eurodéputée Brexit Party Ann Widdecombe il y a quelques mois a été inculpé pour préparation d'actes de terrorisme visant notamment Nigel Farage.
Ann Widdecombe murder suspect charged with preparing acts of terror, including against Nigel Farage
bbc.in/4hCxJMW
Ils nous offrent tellement d'occasions de les expulser ou emprisonner, c'est du pain béni. Au Royaume-Uni c'est bien plus délicat avec les Indiens qui ne sont pas particulièrement criminogènes.
La ministre de l'intérieur de Sunak demande au chef de la police de Londres pourquoi il arrête si peu de gens dans les manifs antisémites :
- Ce n'est pas notre intention.
- Pourquoi ?
- Parce qu'ils sont plus nombreux que nous. Ça pourrait devenir violent et hors de contrôle.
Quelques autres perles de "Sunak at 10" :
"Please matey, just let them through!"
Boris Johnson qui supplie Rishi Sunak de nommer ses amis fidèles à la chambre des Lords et offre de faire campagne pour lui en retour.
Un père de famille britannique a été condamné à deux ans de prison ferme pour avoir jeté une bouteille en plastique vers un cordon de police lors d'une manifestation contre l'immigration clandestine à Portsmouth au début du mois. Le système est à bout de nerfs.
🚨BREAKING: A Portsmouth father of two has been jailed for two years after throwing a plastic bottle towards a police line and swearing at police at illegal migrant protest in Portsmouth.
• Del Somerville, 42, is the first person jailed over the 6 September demonstration. He admitted violent disorder at Portsmouth Crown Court. About 120 migrants had been brought ashore by the RNLI after a Channel pickup.
• Judge Daniel Sawyer (right pic) called him a “thug” and said the sentence was meant to deter others after later protests. Body-worn video showed him throwing a small bottle at a police line on Ferry Road just before 23:30.
• Four other men charged with violent disorder from the same protest are awaiting sentence.
• For comparison, Judge Sawyer spared Bradley Tolfrey jail in May after he threw three knives at police officers, threw glass at the officers, threatened to slit their throats, spat at an officer, racially abused an officer, pretended to have a gun, covered himself in petrol and threatened to set himself on fire.
• Tolfrey, who had 21 previous convictions for 44 offences, and who committed the offences a month after a 26-week suspended sentence expired, was made subject of a 24-month community order.
• Judge Sawyer was recently investigated for harassment of a female barrister using an anonymous social media account after she complained about how rape victims are failed by the UK justice system.
Ils savent.
Anti-migrant activist Daniel Thomas arrested in UK after video appeared to show him slash dinghy with knife bbc.in/4AA5tmM






























