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un coup de dés jamais n'abolira le hasard ∅ chief curator @poly_archive

Joined April 2025
Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)Photo by tsm (@tsmultra)
We've identified & fixed an issue impacting our international platform, Polymarket⁠.com. One of our 3rd party providers was compromised, and we have referred this to relevant law enforcement. Anyone who has been impacted will be made whole. Out of an abundance of caution, we have temporarily halted trading & are working to bring the platform back online.
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tsm retweeted
you can just make things
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good time to revisit our interview with @AmitSegal from August where he basically called the 'Netanyahu benefits from ambiguous result" scenario
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One of our complaints from traders: the UI optimised orders for speed, not correctness. Some flows updated positions before the exchange responded, then corrected them later if the order was partially filled or failed, but this caused late updates, incorrect states, and failed sells. Now that our indexing and data API is much more performant, we changed this so that market buys and sells wait for the trade response; fills, partial fills, rejections and errors show immediately. This also improves correctness and sell success rate, making it safer and better to trade.
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Honest post: the Polymarket DeFi CLOB is full of tech debt. It grew fast, got hacked together, and most of the team inherited it that way. Since joining and building out the team, we have scaled it 10x and made it 3x faster, but it’s not enough; the core foundations of how it’s been built are wrong in almost every way. You try to fix one thing, and another thing goes wrong; the conclusion now is that the codebase can’t be saved long-term. The exchange is the heart of Polymarket; everything runs through it. If we want to be the best exchange in the world, it must be fast, stable, and scalable. We can’t keep patching the old one, where these core foundations are generally missing throughout, so we’re rewriting it from scratch in Rust. Early numbers: 10-20x faster on p99 than today, 200,000 orders per second (15x what we have now, with room to reach 400,000+), and stability under load. This will put us faster than most exchanges, including CEXs. Building it in Rust gives us memory safety with no garbage collector. No GC means no random pauses and no random latency spikes; the tail latency in the benchmarks is the tail latency you get in production, alongside a strict compiler that enforces correctness up front. Data races and memory corruption (the bugs that take exchanges down) can’t exist in the first place. Polymarket has to take it seriously that we are an exchange; this is people’s money, not a joke. To succeed, we have to fix this; otherwise, we will fail. It’s as simple as that. I joined to build the best software in the world, not to maintain some of the worst, and I will do everything I can to make Polymarket a serious exchange. We are aiming to have the exchange ready sometime in Q4 (mid to end). I'll communicate progress as we go so you all know the status. Breaking changes will be minimal for all integrators and will be communicated in advance. We will maintain the existing CLOB and keep trying to improve it as we build this side by side. We can’t wait to throw away the existing CLOB; we dislike it as much as you all do. Make Polymarket fast, finally.
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You can now go long or short PLTR on Polymarket⁠.com Up to 10x leverage. No market hours. No expiry. Trade PLTR👇 poly.market/VkshdW2
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It passed relatively unnoticed that @Polymarket launched the @Poly_Institute a few days ago. They’re setting up the first proper research Institute dedicated to prediction markets - independent academic work, open data, and actual fellowships. They’re funding 12 PhD researchers with $10k each through the Science Fellowship. Applications open August 18. Researchers get full independence - they can publish whatever they want, even if it’s critical of Polymarket but they’re barred from trading while they’re in the program. More information below: institute.polymarket.com/
We're excited to announce the launch of the Polymarket Institute — a research initiative designed to advance the academic study of prediction markets & their role in forecasting, decision-making, & information discovery. 🧵
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We're launching Polymarket Institutional Research: original research built on our markets, direct from the Institutional Desk. Our first issue looked at Anthropic's valuation strip and whether the right tail is underpriced. Last week, we turned to the Strait of Hormuz, where traders price a 62% chance of normalization by the end of the year, and what that implies for the spread between Brent and WTI. New issues every week. Read both and sign up for access to all future issues below 👇 poly.market/DiwtiVD
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Today is the 6 year anniversary of when I launched Polymarket. I’m truly grateful to be able to work on something that means so much to me. It’s been awe-inspiring to see the world catch up with this crazy idea called “information markets”. Yet there still remains a long ways to go For those curious about my headspace when starting the company, this thread is a nostalgic artifact.
1/ The Polymarket public beta is live! Trade liquid, USDC-based Information Markets on Coronavirus 🦠, Politics 🇺🇸, and Crypto 💹. It's like nothing you've tried on Ethereum before. Visit poly.market to start trading and winning. #Ethereum #DeFi quick thread👇
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Learn some loyalty
Nobody has touched this app since 2023
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We've expanded our bug bounty. 7 newly deployed contracts are now in scope on @cantinasecurity, with up to $5,000,000 in rewards for a valid finding: - PositionManager - Exchange - BinaryModule - NegRiskModule - CombinatorialModule - Router - AutoRedeemer Whitehats, dig in: cantina.xyz/bounties/ff945ca…
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No polymarket or UMA contracts have been exploited. All user funds are safe, and using Polymarket.com is safe, so business as usual. We had a 6-year-old private key that was compromised. This was in the internal top-up config, which is why funds were being sent to it. We have rotated this key, revoked all prod permissions and are moving all PKs to KMS keys from now on.
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Polymarket has built the most comprehensive market integrity infrastructure in the prediction market industry, combining strict insider trading rules, AI-powered surveillance, and blockchain forensics into a unified system. 🧵

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Exchange upgrades go live on April 28 at 11am UTC. ~1 hour of downtime. The v1 orderbook gets cleared and all open limit orders are cancelled. Funds and positions are safe. Trading via API? Update to the latest SDK before then. V1 clients stop working after cutover. Dev migration guide: poly.market/dznOlVu Users guide: poly.market/DaxnRAA
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Supercycle requires superinfra, and Polymarket is on its way to getting it. Excited to see how things are starting to accelerate in that direction
We want to kill as many bugs on the @Polymarket UI as possible next week.. below report your issue with as much detail as possible and we will get it properly in the backlog and @louispolymarket and web team will get them fixed for you. Thanks in advance 💪
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We price the future. Now you can lever it. Perps are coming to Polymarket. Sign up for early access 👇
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h-index is cheap, show me the Polymarket PnL graph
If only there were some mechanism for staking money on your beliefs, such that you lose money when you were wrong, and make money when you are right someone should build that
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[ ZOOMER ] POLYMARKET EYEING $20B VALUATION FOR NEW FUNDRAISING ROUND: WSJ
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Imagine monitoring the situation from here
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