Patrick McGee (@wpmcgee) header
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Sports, politics, geography, etc. I went to Southern Miss. Proud zoomer. It's pronounced Hattie-spurg.

Mobile, AL
Joined November 2010
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The 29+ minutes of game time where it looked like we might win were fun not gonna lie.
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Billy Napier went from coaching at The Swamp to coaching at The 'Sant.
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Under an hour until this is on America's television screens.
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Based on some of these precinct results in places like Waveland and Petal and the county-level results in Harrison and DeSoto, there's a decent-ish chance that whites without a degree in suburban/exurban areas swung harder to Colom than those with a degree.
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Like turnout is a big part of this but you can't explain Trump +53 precincts in Waveland swinging 25 points and Colom getting more votes than Harris without conceding that he won SOME whites without a degree.
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Now the gap in the rural counties closing I do believe is pretty much all turnout based.
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If you look at the limited precinct numbers we have, it's fairly obvious that Pinkins took more from Hyde-Smith than Colom. Maybe by a lot.
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For all you Mississippi precinct heads out there, if you go on Facebook and search "circuit clerk election results" there's quite a few counties with unofficial individual precinct returns on there.
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West Petal: Trump +31 --> Colom +22 🤯
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Definitely something to white turnout collapsing and black turnout being strong. Eureka/Rowan with 2024-level ballots cast while some of these rural white precincts dropped 30-40%.
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Hinds has individual precincts up. co.hinds.ms.us/pgs/results/U…
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15 point swing to Colom from Trump in the most affluent/educated Jackson precincts. Substantial ticket splitting as well. For comparison, the state swung about 23 points as a whole from 2024. (note rounding)
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Big time for South to get a home weekend series against a SEC opponent.
The 2027 schedule is here! *Ticket information and game times/TV will be released at a later date.
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NYT voter trends estimation has Colom winning about 25% of whites which has always sort of been the magic number for Democrats in Mississippi to start becoming seriously competitive. We won't know for sure though until individual precinct returns come in.
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NYT still has some Republican-leaning counties with votes yet to report. But given Mississippi's residential segregation those precincts could be D leaning precincts for all we know.
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The Mississippi precinct returns are going to be fascinating. I'm curious if these massive swings are solely turnout based or if there actually is some elasticity.
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Like this is genuinely shocking.
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I don't think any of MS-SEN, AL-GOV, LA-SEN flip. But if they did, it'd be in an environment where Dems sweep Georgia and won SC-SEN.
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