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South Carolina said hold my sweet tea 🥤
Dems were ~30¢ on Polymarket's SC Senate market on Election Day. Annie Andrews won, resolved YES.
The whales? 59% of their buying on "Dems win SC" went to NO 💀
Who held the 30¢ ticket?
#Polymarket #SouthCarolina #Midterms2026
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fantasy7788 mostly trades esports.
Minutes before Pelicans-Clippers tipped off, it put $210.3K on the Clippers at ~49.6¢. 423,948 shares.
Clippers won 139-123. Cashed $423.9K, +$213.7K.
That one NBA ticket is over half its $409K lifetime PnL.
Read or luck?
#Polymarket
juice-fruit didn't flinch when the Bucs line moved against him.
Bucs +6.5 at Chicago, Sunday night. Started buying right after kickoff at 51¢, kept adding down to 33¢. 25 fills, $104.3K in, avg 41¢.
Bears won 27-24. Bucs covered. +$150.2K.
Average down live, or cut it?
joseph00677 came in with +$5.7M across 23 markets.
Then he stacked $2.08M on Chelsea YES at 50.7¢ — 4.11M shares — hours before Sunderland won 1-0. Board now 0.05¢. Marked −$2.08M.
He already lost $1.59M on Chelsea YES in October.
Reload the same side again?
#Polymarket
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$1 to $3.6M sounds magical until you check the engine.
40,757 markets. $399M volume. That's about 0.9¢ of profit per dollar traded.
Not a prophet — a spread machine that never sleeps.
Would you copy a wallet that needs hundreds of thousands of fills to print?
#Polymarket
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Kch-Temp hunted a 16¢ college-football dog on Saturday.
Louisiana-Monroe moneyline: $11.9K at 16¢ → cashed $75.3K
ULM +14.5: another $44.0K at 51¢ → cashed $85.6K
About $55.9K in, $160.9K back. That's +$105K.
You taking longshot dogs or waiting for 50/50s?
#Polymarket
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Five days later and it's "BREAKING": Montana banned corporate election spending.
Voters passed I-194 on Nov 3, 65 to 34. If you were early, you already got paid. If you're seeing it now, you're reading the scoreboard.
Who caught this before election night?
#Polymarket
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One wallet went all-in on Karmine Corp vs T1 at Worlds 😬
KC Game 1: −$554K
KC series at 18¢: −$140K
KC Game 4 at 39¢: −$492K
Game 3 upset + handicap: cashed $1.02M
Then jumped to CS: $252K on MongolZ at 62¢ → $407K
Conviction or tilt?
#Polymarket
RJW1 went nuclear last night 🔥
$181K on Suns at 51.6¢ → cashed $350K (+$169K). Warriors −6.5: another +$238K.
Day PnL: +$410K. Career still −$160K.
Hot streak or just variance?
#Polymarket
Not every smart-money play is a moonshot.
Election Day evening, wallet "ethBELIVER" put $22,982 on Peltola winning Alaska's Senate race at 71¢. Odds now 96.7%, and the position is up $8,334.
Would you take 71¢ odds or hunt for 14¢ lottery tickets? #Polymarket
democraticbroom put $40.6K on Eizenkot YES at 60¢ for Israel's next PM 😬
Then dumped most of it around 56–58¢ and kept ~6K shares. Board now: 55.5¢ (+27 pts this week, −2.7 today).
Took a small hit to dodge a bigger one. Discipline or cold feet?
#Polymarket
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RFK Jr. "leads" the 2028 GOP nominee board at 49¢ 🤯
Look closer: zero bids, the ask sits at 98¢, no trades. That 49 is the midpoint of nothing.
Where the money is: Vance 38¢, Rubio 19.5¢, DeSantis 12.5¢.
How many people screenshotted that 49% without checking?
#Polymarket
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Election Day, 6:19pm ET: one wallet puts $5,929 on Dems winning Mississippi's Senate race at 14¢.
Hours later the odds went 7% → 63% in a single hour. Now 97.5%, and "Kettle" is up $26K.
Would you have had the nerve? #Polymarket
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Four Polymarket accounts. Three tied to one crypto wallet. ~$32.5K profit betting Ballon d'Or rankings that later matched the podium 🕵️
BETINT's take: "likely they knew." France Football has talked to police.
Sharp read, or someone saw the envelope early?
#Polymarket
New details on a series of suspicious bets on the 2026 Ballon D’Or — widely considered the most prestigious individual award in soccer — suggest that four Polymarket accounts may have traded on advance knowledge of the results.
Betting and prediction market analysis firm BetInt published a report on the suspicious trades Monday. It identified four Polymarket accounts that showed signs of unusual activity. Three were linked to a shared crypto wallet, while a fourth made similar bets at similar times to the three linked accounts.
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schizohedgehog put ~$35K on SpaceX YES at 71.5¢ for 2026's biggest IPO 🚀
Then the Anthropic S-1 hangover hit: Anthropic slid to 22.6% (−25 pts in a week), SpaceX ran to 76%. His ~48K shares are up ~$2K.
$7.5M traded so far. Hold at 76¢ or take it?
#Polymarket
Everyone's buying DeSantis. lastminwin is selling the dream instead 🧊
NO on Vance winning 2028 ($144K in at 78.7¢), NO on Newsom, NO on Harris. Right after DeSantis spiked, he grabbed NO at 93.6¢ too.
Boring edge or picking up pennies?
#Polymarket #SmartMoney #Election2028
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Jon Ossoff says he has zero interest in 2028. Polymarket didn't get the memo 🫠
HerbertAppreciator holds 523K YES on Ossoff for the Dem nomination, avg 4.0¢. Now ~28¢. +$151K total PnL, roughly 7x.
Early genius or lucky timing?
#Polymarket #Ossoff #Election2028
DeSantis 4% to 14% overnight. Fun fact: wallet "Brokie" bought ~300K YES each on DeSantis, Rubio, Cruz and Tucker at ~0.4¢ 🎟️
Those penny tickets are up ~$120K. His Vance bag at 48.6¢? -$57K.
Lottery tickets paying for the favorite 😂
#Polymarket #DeSantis #Election2028
🚨 DESANTIS JUST HIT HIS BEST 2028 ODDS IN A YEAR
>GOP nomination on Polymarket: 4% yesterday, 14% now
>JD Vance almost halved since last fall: 31%
>Last night he did the market math himself: 55 Dem Senate seats
polymarket.com/event/republi…
$77M Senate "Build Your Map" market and it all comes down to Alaska 🥶
"GOP loses all 7" ~85%, AK-only ~15%. Peltola ~84%.
BreakTheBank is -$800K+ on paper on the "GOP keeps at least one" side. RCV tab isn't until Nov 18.
Cope or hope?
#Polymarket #AlaskaSenate #Midterms2026
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Small correction 👽 that $1.4M alien NO bag isn't fresh. Top NO holder is Scaly-Tracksuit: 1.46M shares, avg 87.3¢, built in May-June.
Same wallet ate -$805K on NO for a US-Iran peace deal by Jun 15.
Conviction or allergic to surprises?
#Polymarket #Aliens #WhaleWatch
A Polymarket whale just put $1.4M on NO — “Will the US confirm aliens exist before 2027?”
At 97¢ odds. That’s the most confident bet we’ve seen this week 👽
Smart money says no little green men this year 😂
Track whale moves → whaletrack.app 🐋 #Polymarket
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Trackers show the top "Democrats Sweep" holder on a $2.1M bag. Galaxy brain conviction?
Nah. jakepaulthegoat2008 holds 2.1M YES and 2.1M NO, both at 50¢. Perfectly hedged nothing burger 🍔
Check both sides before yelling smart money
#Polymarket #SmartMoney #OnChain
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