Alex_zlode retweeted
SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
The Math Proves the Reality that Musk doesn't want you to see.
On Oct 13-14, SpaceX restricted Starshield/Starlink during a 39-missile Russian attack, cutting Ukrainian drone intercepts by 23% and stranding U.S. personnel in Kyiv. Forty-eight hours later (Oct 15), SpaceX blocked U.S.-licensed NRO, Space Force, and NATO radar satellite ICEYE-X36 in orbit so Russia's COSMOS 2612 weapon could intercept it (99.89%-99.98% posterior)
Our Model Demonstrates that the Russian intercept of the US/NATO ICEYE X-36 satellite (contemporaneous with the throttling of Starlink) would not have been possible, and almost certainly not been attempted, without SpaceX resources. At a material opportunity cost, Russia sprinted its COSMOS satellite to intercept ICEYE X36. Based on a previous attempt in June during which X36 maneuvered to evade COSMOS, Russia knew that this would be successful only if X36 could not maneuver. On October 15, SpaceX fixed X36 in place by issuing a collision alert for a sub-kilometer approach with its Starlink 35856 when SpaceX's own data shows that the actual distance was 4.8-5.0x as great. SpaceX issued no warning to COSMOS despite the fact that its sprint was far more threatening than the stable X36 orbit. SpaceX did not maneuver its Starlink 35856 satellite to clear the supposed collision risk. How, absent coordination with SpaceX, could Russia have known that SpaceX would take actions that (a) misrepresented the danger posed by X36, and (b) resulted in the fixing of X36 thereby enabling COSMOS's successful intercept? Thus, SpaceX was directly involved in simultaneously compromising Ukraine’s defensive and offensive capabilities. The conjunction of these two events makes innocent explanations untenable.
The Pentagon Capture & Iran Round Two Trap: Pentagon CTO Emil Michael who cashed out $7M–$35M from Musk’s inner-circle SpaceX vehicles (M8/Gigafund 0.1 and M6/Valor M33 II) and KQ Partners / xAI (selling xAIfor $5M–$25M three days before taking over CDAO/OSCand 21 days before SpaceX bought xAI, while keeping M8, M6, M9, M10 & Nomadic open) and Pete Hegseth purged rival Anthropic in two hours, surrendered combat command over US drones used to attack Iran to Starlink’s "Terms of Service," and on October 2 named Musk Co-Director of Project Meridian to design the Pentagon's "Future of Warfighting" just as America enters Iran Round Twowith depleted Patriot/THAAD magazines and Russia feeding U.S. warship/aircraft locations to Tehran.
SpaceX’s actions in Ukraine raise serious questions about its alignment with US security interests and its reliability as a cornerstone of US defense. These questions are particularly troubling given the effectively irreplaceable position SpaceX has been granted by the Hegseth/Emil Michael Pentagon.
$SPCX $TSLA
Our full quantitative analysis below w/ @streetwiseprof
Alex_zlode retweeted
А вот и новые подробности.
SpaceX не только ограничил Starshield/Starlink во время российской атаки 39 ракетами 13–14 октября, сократив перехваты украинских дронов на 23% и оставив американский персонал в Киеве без связи.
SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
The Math Proves the Reality that Musk doesn't want you to see.
On Oct 13-14, SpaceX restricted Starshield/Starlink during a 39-missile Russian attack, cutting Ukrainian drone intercepts by 23% and stranding U.S. personnel in Kyiv. Forty-eight hours later (Oct 15), SpaceX blocked U.S.-licensed NRO, Space Force, and NATO radar satellite ICEYE-X36 in orbit so Russia's COSMOS 2612 weapon could intercept it (99.89%-99.98% posterior)
Our Model Demonstrates that the Russian intercept of the US/NATO ICEYE X-36 satellite (contemporaneous with the throttling of Starlink) would not have been possible, and almost certainly not been attempted, without SpaceX resources. At a material opportunity cost, Russia sprinted its COSMOS satellite to intercept ICEYE X36. Based on a previous attempt in June during which X36 maneuvered to evade COSMOS, Russia knew that this would be successful only if X36 could not maneuver. On October 15, SpaceX fixed X36 in place by issuing a collision alert for a sub-kilometer approach with its Starlink 35856 when SpaceX's own data shows that the actual distance was 4.8-5.0x as great. SpaceX issued no warning to COSMOS despite the fact that its sprint was far more threatening than the stable X36 orbit. SpaceX did not maneuver its Starlink 35856 satellite to clear the supposed collision risk. How, absent coordination with SpaceX, could Russia have known that SpaceX would take actions that (a) misrepresented the danger posed by X36, and (b) resulted in the fixing of X36 thereby enabling COSMOS's successful intercept? Thus, SpaceX was directly involved in simultaneously compromising Ukraine’s defensive and offensive capabilities. The conjunction of these two events makes innocent explanations untenable.
The Pentagon Capture & Iran Round Two Trap: Pentagon CTO Emil Michael who cashed out $7M–$35M from Musk’s inner-circle SpaceX vehicles (M8/Gigafund 0.1 and M6/Valor M33 II) and KQ Partners / xAI (selling xAIfor $5M–$25M three days before taking over CDAO/OSCand 21 days before SpaceX bought xAI, while keeping M8, M6, M9, M10 & Nomadic open) and Pete Hegseth purged rival Anthropic in two hours, surrendered combat command over US drones used to attack Iran to Starlink’s "Terms of Service," and on October 2 named Musk Co-Director of Project Meridian to design the Pentagon's "Future of Warfighting" just as America enters Iran Round Twowith depleted Patriot/THAAD magazines and Russia feeding U.S. warship/aircraft locations to Tehran.
SpaceX’s actions in Ukraine raise serious questions about its alignment with US security interests and its reliability as a cornerstone of US defense. These questions are particularly troubling given the effectively irreplaceable position SpaceX has been granted by the Hegseth/Emil Michael Pentagon.
$SPCX $TSLA
Our full quantitative analysis below w/ @streetwiseprof
Alex_zlode retweeted
SpaceX заблокував супутник США та НАТО, щоб допомогти російським ударам після паралічу протиповітряної оборони України.
Математика доводить реальність, яку Маск не хоче, щоб ви побачили.
13–14 жовтня SpaceX обмежив Starshield/Starlink під час російської атаки з 39 ракетами, скоротивши українські перехоплення дронів на 23% і залишивши американський персонал у Києві без зв’язку. Через сорок вісім годин (15 жовтня) SpaceX заблокував орбітальний радарний супутник ICEYE-X36, ліцензований США (NRO, Космічні сили та НАТО), щоб російська зброя COSMOS 2612 могла його перехопити (постеріорна ймовірність 99,89%–99,98%).
Наша модель демонструє, що російське перехоплення супутника ICEYE X-36 США/НАТО (одночасне з обмеженням Starlink) було б неможливим і майже напевно не було б навіть спробоване без ресурсів SpaceX. За суттєвої альтернативної вартості Росія пришвидшила свій супутник COSMOS для перехоплення ICEYE X36. Спираючись на попередню спробу в червні, коли X36 маневрував, щоб уникнути COSMOS, Росія знала, що це вдасться лише якщо X36 не зможе маневрувати. 15 жовтня SpaceX зафіксував X36 на місці, видавши попередження про зіткнення для наближення на субкілометрову відстань зі своїм Starlink 35856, хоча власні дані SpaceX показують, що реальна відстань була в 4,8–5,0 раза більшою. SpaceX не видав попередження COSMOS, попри те, що його спринт був набагато загрозливішим за стабільну орбіту X36. SpaceX не маневрував своїм супутником Starlink 35856, щоб усунути передбачуваний ризик зіткнення. Як, без координації зі SpaceX, Росія могла знати, що SpaceX вживатиме дій, які (a) спотворювали небезпеку, створювану X36, і (b) призводили до фіксації X36, тим самим уможливлюючи успішне перехоплення COSMOS? Таким чином, SpaceX був безпосередньо залучений до одночасного компрометування оборонних і наступальних можливостей України. Спрямованість цих двох подій робить невинні пояснення неприйнятними.
Захоплення Пентагоном і пастка «Раунд два з Іраном»: технічний директор Пентагону Еміль Майкл, який викасував $7M–$35M з транспортних засобів SpaceX внутрішнього кола Маска (M8/Gigafund 0.1 і M6/Valor M33 II) та KQ Partners / xAI (продавши xAI за $5M–$25M за три дні до вступу на посаду CDAO/OSCand за 21 день до того, як SpaceX купив xAI, зберігаючи M8, M6, M9, M10 та Nomadic відкритими) і Піт Гегсет вичистили суперника Anthropic за дві години, здали бойове командування над дронами США, використаними для атаки на Іран, під «Умови обслуговування» Starlink, а 2 жовтня призначили Маска співдиректором проекту Meridian для розробки «Майбутнього ведення бойових дій» Пентагону саме тоді, коли Америка вступає в «Раунд два з Іраном» з виснаженими запасами Patriot/THAAD і Росією, яка передає Тегерану розташування американських кораблів і літаків.
Дії SpaceX в Україні викликають серйозні запитання щодо його узгодженості з інтересами безпеки США та надійності як основи американської оборони. Ці запитання особливо тривожні з огляду на фактично незамінну позицію, надану SpaceX Пентагоном Гегсета/Еміля Майкла.
SpaceX Blocked A U.S. And NATO Satellite to Assist a Russian Intercept After Crippling Ukraine's Air Defenses
The Math Proves the Reality that Musk doesn't want you to see.
On Oct 13-14, SpaceX restricted Starshield/Starlink during a 39-missile Russian attack, cutting Ukrainian drone intercepts by 23% and stranding U.S. personnel in Kyiv. Forty-eight hours later (Oct 15), SpaceX blocked U.S.-licensed NRO, Space Force, and NATO radar satellite ICEYE-X36 in orbit so Russia's COSMOS 2612 weapon could intercept it (99.89%-99.98% posterior)
Our Model Demonstrates that the Russian intercept of the US/NATO ICEYE X-36 satellite (contemporaneous with the throttling of Starlink) would not have been possible, and almost certainly not been attempted, without SpaceX resources. At a material opportunity cost, Russia sprinted its COSMOS satellite to intercept ICEYE X36. Based on a previous attempt in June during which X36 maneuvered to evade COSMOS, Russia knew that this would be successful only if X36 could not maneuver. On October 15, SpaceX fixed X36 in place by issuing a collision alert for a sub-kilometer approach with its Starlink 35856 when SpaceX's own data shows that the actual distance was 4.8-5.0x as great. SpaceX issued no warning to COSMOS despite the fact that its sprint was far more threatening than the stable X36 orbit. SpaceX did not maneuver its Starlink 35856 satellite to clear the supposed collision risk. How, absent coordination with SpaceX, could Russia have known that SpaceX would take actions that (a) misrepresented the danger posed by X36, and (b) resulted in the fixing of X36 thereby enabling COSMOS's successful intercept? Thus, SpaceX was directly involved in simultaneously compromising Ukraine’s defensive and offensive capabilities. The conjunction of these two events makes innocent explanations untenable.
The Pentagon Capture & Iran Round Two Trap: Pentagon CTO Emil Michael who cashed out $7M–$35M from Musk’s inner-circle SpaceX vehicles (M8/Gigafund 0.1 and M6/Valor M33 II) and KQ Partners / xAI (selling xAIfor $5M–$25M three days before taking over CDAO/OSCand 21 days before SpaceX bought xAI, while keeping M8, M6, M9, M10 & Nomadic open) and Pete Hegseth purged rival Anthropic in two hours, surrendered combat command over US drones used to attack Iran to Starlink’s "Terms of Service," and on October 2 named Musk Co-Director of Project Meridian to design the Pentagon's "Future of Warfighting" just as America enters Iran Round Twowith depleted Patriot/THAAD magazines and Russia feeding U.S. warship/aircraft locations to Tehran.
SpaceX’s actions in Ukraine raise serious questions about its alignment with US security interests and its reliability as a cornerstone of US defense. These questions are particularly troubling given the effectively irreplaceable position SpaceX has been granted by the Hegseth/Emil Michael Pentagon.
$SPCX $TSLA
Our full quantitative analysis below w/ @streetwiseprof
Alex_zlode retweeted
Ukrainian POW returned from Russian captivity in prisoner exchange had “Jew” carved into his back. Putin isn’t fighting Nazis, he IS the Nazi.
Alex_zlode retweeted
Elon Musk
Just what an incredible fall from grace…
From innovative, eco-conscious, cool nerd…
To depraved, entitled, evil, war-mongering, self-radicalised fuckwit.
Alex_zlode retweeted
Canadian PM Carney: The Starlink slowdown had real human consequences: direct casualties and less ability for Ukraine to defend itself against Russia.
Russian attacks are more and more indiscriminate. The strike on central Kyiv had no military target. It hit citizens. 1/
Alex_zlode retweeted
This photo must be everywhere today.
russian monsters struck a park in Kharkiv region, killing a baby and two women.
At least 14 more people were wounded, including 7 children.
This is the terror Trump supports.
Alex_zlode retweeted
Cuando Zelenzky fue electo para presidente, Putin llevaba 20 años gobernando, cambiado la Constitución, destruido Grozny, invadido Georgia y anexionado ilegalmente Crimea, asesinado a decenas de periodistas como Politkovzkaya, entre otras linduras.
Nada más para poner contexto
Alex_zlode retweeted
Jennifer Welch on Elon Musk: “We all saw the man tripping his balls on ketamine in the Oval Office with a black eye while his kid was rubbing his boogers on the desk. This guy has all this power and all these companies and all of these government subsidies. This MFer needs to be taxed forever. This is insane that this unhinged racist lunatic welfare queen parasite off of the United States public has this much power”
Alex_zlode retweeted
У Польщі виявили близько 30 останків українців, загиблих під час нападу підрозділів Армії Крайової та Батальйонів хлопських.
myrotvorets.news/u-polshchi-…
Alex_zlode retweeted
Absolute hell near Odesa.
A russian drone has struck a Tavria V supermarket.
A supermarket. In broad daylight.
This is who Trump is helping: terrorists who target civilians.
Alex_zlode retweeted
A horrific Russian jet-powered “shahed” attack on an ordinary store in the Odesa region. Russia continues its bloody terror. The store was partially destroyed, and cars were damaged. Three people were injured. All necessary emergency services are working at the scene and providing assistance to those affected.
It is important that our partners help us defend against this. Residential buildings, stores, energy and other critical infrastructure are under attack virtually nonstop. Not a single hour of peace.
What is happening is Russia’s pointed response to the signals it is receiving from America. Unfortunately, there are dangerous signals about the possibility of further sanctions relief. These sanctions were imposed by the world, by America, Europe, and our partners in response to Russia’s aggression against Ukraine and its war against us. Nothing has changed. The war has not stopped. The sanctions must not be lifted. Russia must end the slaughter it itself started and has continued for 1,695 days now. More money to fund the killing will not help bring this about. Strength is what is needed, and America is stronger than Russian terror.
