Keegan Pearl (@ArgusPlatformAI) header
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Keegan Pearl

@ArgusPlatformAI

Navy, then SWAT, now defense software. Co-founder of ARGUS. I write about wargaming, AI that shows its work, and building from zero. https://teapawt.net/t.co/xDj7JQcha9

 Florida
argusplatform.ai
Joined September 2026
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  • Followers222
Pearl Labs: three products. ARGUS: inspectable defense planning and wargaming. FenceEstimatePro: estimates to invoices for fence contractors. Glassbox Review: DWI review with cited authorities. Same rule: show the work. Humans keep the call. Which lane would you ship first?
Dark green Pearl Labs card. Header: "Pearl Labs | Product card". Title: "Three products". Lists ARGUS, FenceEstimatePro, and Glassbox Review with one-line descriptions. Gold closing: "Same rule: show the work. Humans keep the call." Footer Pearl Labs wordmark.

ALT Dark green Pearl Labs card. Header: "Pearl Labs | Product card". Title: "Three products". Lists ARGUS, FenceEstimatePro, and Glassbox Review with one-line descriptions. Gold closing: "Same rule: show the work. Humans keep the call." Footer Pearl Labs wordmark.

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On this day in 1989, an East German spokesman was asked when new travel rules took effect. "Immediately," he said. Crowds hit Berlin's checkpoints that night and guards opened the gates. One improvised answer. Accident or inevitable? #ColdWar #BerlinWall #MilitaryHistory
Dark green ARGUS card. Header: "On this day | 9 November 1989". Title: "Berlin". Text about the spokesman answering "Immediately" and guards opening the gates. Gold question: "Accident, or inevitable?" Footer source line and ARGUS wordmark.

ALT Dark green ARGUS card. Header: "On this day | 9 November 1989". Title: "Berlin". Text about the spokesman answering "Immediately" and guards opening the gates. Gold question: "Accident, or inevitable?" Footer source line and ARGUS wordmark.

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On this day in 1942 at El Alamein, Rommel asked Hitler for leave to fall back. No reply came. At 17:30 he ordered the retreat. With no trucks, most Italian infantry were left behind. Yesterday we asked: obey or pull back? Did he wait too long? #WWII #MilitaryHistory #Wargaming
Dark green ARGUS card. Header: "On this day | 4 November 1942". Title: "El Alamein". Text: "Rommel asked Hitler for permission to fall back. No reply came. At 17:30 he ordered the retreat. With no trucks, most Italian infantry were left behind." Gold question: "Did he wait too long?" Footer: "Sources: Playfair (2004); Bierman & Smith (2003), via Wikipedia" and the ARGUS wordmark.

ALT Dark green ARGUS card. Header: "On this day | 4 November 1942". Title: "El Alamein". Text: "Rommel asked Hitler for permission to fall back. No reply came. At 17:30 he ordered the retreat. With no trucks, most Italian infantry were left behind." Gold question: "Did he wait too long?" Footer: "Sources: Playfair (2004); Bierman & Smith (2003), via Wikipedia" and the ARGUS wordmark.

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On this day in 1942 at El Alamein, Rommel warned his worn-out army could not hold. Berlin's reply: stand fast, yield not a yard of ground. He later wrote for the first time in Africa he did not know what to do. Your call: obey or pull back? #WWII #MilitaryHistory #Wargaming
Dark green ARGUS card. Header: "On this day | 3 November 1942". Title: "El Alamein". Text: "Rommel reported his worn-out army could not hold. The answer from Berlin: stand fast, yield not a yard of ground. He ordered the line held." Gold question: "Obey the order or pull back?" Footer: "Source: The Rommel Papers (1953), via Wikipedia" and the ARGUS wordmark.

ALT Dark green ARGUS card. Header: "On this day | 3 November 1942". Title: "El Alamein". Text: "Rommel reported his worn-out army could not hold. The answer from Berlin: stand fast, yield not a yard of ground. He ordered the line held." Gold question: "Obey the order or pull back?" Footer: "Source: The Rommel Papers (1953), via Wikipedia" and the ARGUS wordmark.

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On this day in 1943: the Battle of Empress Augusta Bay. On a squally night off Bougainville, Task Force 39 used radar to turn a Japanese cruiser force away from the landings. At ARGUS we study nights like this. Your call: sensors or drills? #MilitaryHistory #Wargaming
Dark green ARGUS card. Header: "On this day | 2 November 1943". Title: "Empress Augusta Bay". Text: "Night action off Bougainville, Solomon Islands. Task Force 39 used radar to turn back a Japanese cruiser force sent against the beachhead." Gold question: "Sensors or drills: which carried the night?" Footer: "Source: Naval History and Heritage Command" and the ARGUS wordmark.

ALT Dark green ARGUS card. Header: "On this day | 2 November 1943". Title: "Empress Augusta Bay". Text: "Night action off Bougainville, Solomon Islands. Task Force 39 used radar to turn back a Japanese cruiser force sent against the beachhead." Gold question: "Sensors or drills: which carried the night?" Footer: "Source: Naval History and Heritage Command" and the ARGUS wordmark.

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What if you could take command at the Battle of the Bulge? Every dot is a real unit on a real date, 17 Dec 1944 to 16 Jan 1945 (HERO data). Watch the bulge open, then close. Which one decision would you change? #BattleOfTheBulge #WWII #MilitaryHistory #Wargaming
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The Ardennes, December 1944, day by day. ARGUS replays unit positions from the historical record, and the map fills in as the offensive grows.
p2-ardennes.png alt: Dark ARGUS card titled "Day by day. The map fills in." Three schematic map panels labeled early, mid and late December 1944 in the Ardennes. A front line bulges further west in each panel and more unit markers appear on both sides. Caption: positions replayed from the historical record. Small label: illustration, not a screenshot.

ALT p2-ardennes.png alt: Dark ARGUS card titled "Day by day. The map fills in." Three schematic map panels labeled early, mid and late December 1944 in the Ardennes. A front line bulges further west in each panel and more unit markers appear on both sides. Caption: positions replayed from the historical record. Small label: illustration, not a screenshot.

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ARGUS ranks which of 177 map cells will change hands each week, then scores itself in public. Week 2 of 8: 5 changed. Top 10 picks caught 4, missed 1. Brier 0.017 vs 0.029 for the base rate. Two weeks prove nothing. Every miss stays posted. github.com/pearl-labs-llc/ar…
Dark two-column scoreboard. Text: "Forecast series, scorecard. Week 2 of 8. Called it: 4. Missed: 1. 2 weeks counted, not evidence of skill. Top 10 picks. Every miss stays posted."

ALT Dark two-column scoreboard. Text: "Forecast series, scorecard. Week 2 of 8. Called it: 4. Missed: 1. 2 weeks counted, not evidence of skill. Top 10 picks. Every miss stays posted."

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On this day in 1944, off Samar, a small group of escort carriers called Taffy 3 found Japan's Center Force bearing down on them. The big U.S. battleships were up north, chasing a decoy. Every wargame deserves one question up front: what's our decoy?
Dark oil-painting style grey dawn sea in rain squalls. Small U.S. warships in the foreground lay white smoke while a line of large Japanese battleships with pagoda masts looms on the horizon, shell splashes nearby. Text: "On this day, 25 October 1944. Off Samar. The battleships were up north, chasing a decoy. First question in any wargame: what's our decoy?"

ALT Dark oil-painting style grey dawn sea in rain squalls. Small U.S. warships in the foreground lay white smoke while a line of large Japanese battleships with pagoda masts looms on the horizon, shell splashes nearby. Text: "On this day, 25 October 1944. Off Samar. The battleships were up north, chasing a decoy. First question in any wargame: what's our decoy?"

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Our model's challenger scored better in testing. We still didn't promote it. The interval on the difference crosses zero, so the gain could be noise. A gate that holds beats a number that looks good.
Dark ARGUS card titled "Better score. Not promoted." Two bars, champion and challenger, nearly equal length. Below, an interval on the difference spans zero. A red stamp reads NOT PROMOTED. Caption: the gain could be noise, so the champion stays.

ALT Dark ARGUS card titled "Better score. Not promoted." Two bars, champion and challenger, nearly equal length. Below, an interval on the difference spans zero. A red stamp reads NOT PROMOTED. Caption: the gain could be noise, so the champion stays.

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