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Joined December 2024
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Can’t pin this as a highlight without having quoted it, so here’s a second chance for you to learn more about why we founded Arkansas Quant:
/ Inform fanbases with the complete picture, not just what the headlines sell
/ Minimize "eye-test" bias
/ Bring game theory to college athletics. Kiffin and Cignetti are two who actively apply game theory.
Meet the guys behind @ArkansasQuant and learn how they turned a hobby into helping the Hogs: bestofarkansassports.com/ark… #WPS
Arkansas Quant retweeted
Most penalized SEC head coaches in the last 20 years.
We are the most penalized SEC team over a 20 year period.
The first chart just shows annual penalty rankings (so many years at 1).
But the second is pretty wild. Florida has accumulated 270 penalties above the FBS average, more than double second place.
That’s only about one extra penalty per game, but sustained over 20 years, it really adds up.
Includes all current SEC teams, even before they joined.
Arkansas Quant retweeted
@RazorbackMBB outscored Gonzaga by 12 with Cooper Bowser on the floor today. They were -8 when he was on the bench.
Full game stats including on/off splits, lineups, shift charts, and more advanced stats now live on basketballquant.com at the link below ⬇️
2026 G6 & FCS QBs w/ 2027 Eligibility
/ Efficiency vs. Pass D Faced
/ FCS QBs in replies
One grade for every level…
/ Broc Lowry #1 G6, #10 of 167 nationally
/ Kaden Anderson #1 FCS, grades with G6's top 10
/ Braden Atkinson #3 in G6 efficiency on 249 dropbacks
Opponent-adjusted EPA per dropback, CFBD play-by-play thru Wk 8
#CFB #FCS #FireUpChips #EatEmUpCats #GoBeavs
FCS board.
/ Efficiency and pass D faced vs FCS opponents only
/ Kaden Anderson #1 in efficiency, #32 of 167 overall
/ Gavin Rutherford top 10 in efficiency AND pass D faced
/ Austyn Modrzewski #2 in efficiency, #67 of 74 in pass D faced
#LetsGoPeay #AxeEm #GoYotes
Arkansas Quant retweeted
2026 P4 Blue-Chip Snap Share vs. Net EPA, Thru Wk 6
Not full roster - only looking at who plays. Offense vs. Defense in replies. ⬇️
Utah: #4 net EPA, #54 blue-chip snaps
/ Oregon, A&M: top 8 in blue-chips, #35 & #63 net
/ Indiana: #4 D with 5 blue-chips on it
PFF snaps. Opp-adjusted EPA, no garbage time. Blue chip = high school or transfer 4-star or 5-star.
#CFB #CollegeFootball
Can you buy an elite O-line in the portal?
/ P4 teams have tried 45 times since 2022. 4 cracked the FBS top 10 OL:
🦆 Oregon '25: #2
🐾 Houston '26: #4 (was #110 last year)
🍢 FSU '25: #6
⚔️ UCF '23: #9
18 more P4 teams are trying it this year. Who's next? ⬇️ thread
#CFB #GoCoogs #GoDucks #NoleFamily #ChargeOn #WarEagle #GigEm #GoGators #SkoBuffs
They didn't buy blue-chips. They bought proven starters at their position (RT for RT, LT for LT, etc.).
12 of 13 transfers on those 4 lines had a 500+ snap season before the move. Only 1 was a 4-star out of high school.
Houston's whole starting five came through the portal. @MGSportsTalk @ashtongrissom8
Ranked on OL group score (pass pro + run game). 2026 thru Week 8.
Run it for your team on cfbquant.com
1) Players, then Position groups
2) Group: Offensive line
3) Rk Chg = how far a line moved from last year (Houston ▲106)
4) Tap a team to see its linemen by snaps
5) Filters to switch seasons or cut to P4
Screen recording attached
Post Line-up for Tomorrow
1) Recipe a Top OL Unit in the Portal Era
2) Transfers as % of Off and Def Units
3) Off Rk vs. Str of Def Faced
4) Def Rk vs. Str of Off Faced
5) QB vs. Str Pass Def Faced
6) Rush Off vs. Rush Def Faced
Let me know of an analysis you’d like to see. The most favorited will get posted!
New P4 Play-Callers vs. Expected, 2026
BIGGEST DROPS 📉
🦆 Oregon O (Mehringer): #9→#98, exp #32
🔶 Illinois D (Hauck/Cooper): #60→#133, exp #71
✌️ USC D (Patterson): #39→#109, exp #50
🌲 Stanford D (Richard): #77→#129, exp #76
👍 Texas A&M O (Wiggins): #10→#84, exp #32
BIGGEST GAINS 📈
🐻 UCLA D (Hitschler): #84→#5, exp #80
🦅 BC D (Roof): #111→#24, exp #93
💜 Northwestern O (Kelly): #85→#9, exp #75
🦬 Colorado D (Marve): #64→#10, exp #75
🍊 Tennessee D (Knowles): #53→#9, exp #67
A #110 unit usually climbs the next year no matter who's calling it. A top-10 unit usually slips. So each new play-caller is graded against where his unit was expected to land. FBS rank, opponent-adjusted EPA per play, through Week 7.
#CFB #GoDucks #Illini #FightOn #GigEm #GoBruins #SkoBuffs
If you want to dig into the coordinator’s resumes, checkout our website cfbquant.com and go to the coaches tab, then coordinators, or search via a coach’s name. There’s even a nifty export image button to share the resume deep dives with others. Post what you find! ⬇️
Arkansas Quant retweeted
New High Major+ Head Coaches vs. Expected, Year 1
2025-26 BIGGEST GAINS 📈
🌀Miami (Jai Lucas): #175→#39, exp #175
🐂USF (Bryan Hodgson): #179→#50, exp #180
⚔️Virginia (Ryan Odom): #108→#21, exp #111
🐺NC State (Will Wade): #112→#38, exp #122
🐤Iowa (Ben McCollum): #63→#24, exp #76
2025-26 BIGGEST DROPS 📉
🐢Maryland (Buzz Williams): #12→#107, exp #24
🏔️Utah (Alex Jensen): #69→#125, exp #83
🤺Xavier (Richard Pitino): #39→#88, exp #52
2026-27 PROJECTED GAINS 📈
🦫Oregon St. (Justin Joyner): #165→#97, exp #164
⚫Providence (Bryan Hodgson): #75→#34, exp #87
🦅Boston College (Luke Murray): #158→#110, exp #159
🐝Georgia Tech (Scott Cross): #155→#107, exp #156
ALT Light two-table chart titled "Team Rank Under New Head Coaches," high-major men's basketball, year 1. Columns: coach, team, previous job, prior-year D-I rank, expected rank, rank under the new coach, and plus-minus versus expected. 2025-26, 15 first-year coaches, actual: Jai Lucas, Miami, 175 to 39, expected 175, +136; Ryan Odom, Virginia, 108 to 21, +90; Will Wade, NC State, 112 to 38, +84; Ben McCollum, Iowa, +52; at the bottom, Alex Jensen, Utah, −42, and Buzz Williams, Maryland, 12 to 107, expected 24, −83. 2026-27, 16 first-year coaches, projected: Justin Joyner, Oregon St., 165 to 97, +67; Bryan Hodgson, Providence, 75 to 34, +53; Luke Murray, Boston College, +49; Scott Cross, Georgia Tech, +49; at the bottom, Mike Boynton, Michigan, 1 to 12, −8, and Michael Malone, North Carolina, 29 to 48, −10. Footnotes say 2026-27 ranks are roster-based projections. basketballquant.com watermark.
New P4 Play-Callers vs. Expected, 2026
BIGGEST DROPS 📉
🦆 Oregon O (Mehringer): #9→#98, exp #32
🔶 Illinois D (Hauck/Cooper): #60→#133, exp #71
✌️ USC D (Patterson): #39→#109, exp #50
🌲 Stanford D (Richard): #77→#129, exp #76
👍 Texas A&M O (Wiggins): #10→#84, exp #32
BIGGEST GAINS 📈
🐻 UCLA D (Hitschler): #84→#5, exp #80
🦅 BC D (Roof): #111→#24, exp #93
💜 Northwestern O (Kelly): #85→#9, exp #75
🦬 Colorado D (Marve): #64→#10, exp #75
🍊 Tennessee D (Knowles): #53→#9, exp #67
A #110 unit usually climbs the next year no matter who's calling it. A top-10 unit usually slips. So each new play-caller is graded against where his unit was expected to land. FBS rank, opponent-adjusted EPA per play, through Week 7.
#CFB #GoDucks #Illini #FightOn #GigEm #GoBruins #SkoBuffs
Arkansas Quant retweeted
Most rushing TD allowed in 2026 (SEC)
Missouri: 3
South Carolina: 4
Texas: 4
Oklahoma: 5
Miss. State: 5
Georgia: 6
LSU: 7
Alabama: 7
Tennessee: 7
Texas A&M: 7
Auburn: 9
Kentucky: 10
Florida: 11
Vanderbilt: 11
Ole Miss: 11
Arkansas: 19
Arkansas Quant retweeted
Ole Miss will face its 5th ranked opponent of the season this weekend at Texas.
That’s more ranked opponents than No. 1 Miami, No. 4 Notre Dame, No. 8 Texas Tech and No. 9 UCLA have faced COMBINED.
Effort. Could easily pull together a Spooky merch box with some Nike blackout jerseys for Halloween vs. Missouri. Incremental revenue for Nike at 90% margins and then require them to donate to our NIL for the unplanned incremental revenue. They’d be all about it.
Introducing the 2026-27 Razorback Men's Basketball Bundle Box:
» Darius Acuff Jr. Bobblehead
» Coach Cal Win Counter Bobblehead
» SEC Tournament Trophy Replica
» OmaHogs Themed Basketball Jersey
» Throwback Hat
Secure this season best giveaway items and and have it delivered right to your house: bit.ly/MBRB
