BTCVIX retweeted
If accurate (always a big if), just looks like mutually high turnout to me. Dems running between 2024 and 2022. They should run better than 2022 in the early vote just because of the environment; doesn’t mean E-day will be like 2024 in a midterm.
GOP running above 2022, which looks great considering they have a huge e-day reserve from 2024.
BTCVIX retweeted
the number of bets you need depends on your price and your edge, not a round number like 1,000. a 4% edge at -110 needs about 2,260 bets before expected profit sits 2 standard errors above zero. at +300 it needs about 7,700. a 2% edge at -110 needs about 9,070.
price sets the noise on every bet, and the edge is squared in the formula, so halving your edge takes about 4x the bets.
BTCVIX retweeted
Retail traders are gone from BTC futures markets, the exact opposite of what we saw at the top.
BTCVIX retweeted
The McRib is back on 10/27. BTC historically goes up >2x after the McRib returns. Don't fade the McRib.
Not financial advice.
BTCVIX retweeted
National polls aren't really herding. That usually means an even bigger miss against Republicans.
October polls herded in 2022 and they ended up being very accurate. They didn't herd in 2020 and we ended up with a massive miss, especially by the ones who didn't herd closer.
BTCVIX retweeted
Inbox: @PrizePicks launched its digital rips product for trading cards. Users will have a chance to win four cards valued at more than $2 million, including a Cooper Flagg 1/1 worth $8 million.
More to come via @ShortPrintMedia
BTCVIX retweeted
🏀 NBA Model Edge Props!
🎮 8 plays across BOS-DET, PHI-NYK and OKC-SAS.
Opening night props where our model beats the book's implied odds.
BTCVIX retweeted
🚨Pokémon cards are now OUT-EARNING perps in crypto.
Solana-based Collector Crypt has surpassed both Hyperliquid and Papertrade in 24-hour revenue as Pokémon and other collectible pack openings continue going viral onchain.
The surge puts digital pack openings ahead of major trading platforms on the daily revenue leaderboard, a striking sign of where crypto users are spending.
BTCVIX retweeted
5 pumpfun wallets spent $1M+ ripping packs
all 5 are in loss
not everyone got a rolex
BTCVIX retweeted
🚨 BREAKING: Michele Tafoya just received the endorsement of the Minnesota Fraternal Order of Police.
With Somali gang violence on the rise, Tafoya is the clear pick for law enforcement, and a safer Minnesota.
BTCVIX retweeted
in june a whale borrowed $30m against his $ETH and bought 18,212 more at $1,647
he sat on it for four and a half months.....
yesterday he sold 12,468 of them at $2,368 and booked $8.99m
then he wired $20m to hyperliquid
and went long oil 😂
$14.4m of wti and $8.1m of brent at 3x
he kept adding overnight and its over $27m now
the guy who caught the bottom at $1,647 would rather own oil than $ETH at $2,395
$ETH chops under $2,500 until he comes back
BTCVIX retweeted
according to @DefiLlama PENDLE is trading at a 310,451% discount from where the price will be in 10 years
that's $6,411 per ethereum:0x808507121b80c02388fad14726482e061b8da827
it's literally math
You know what I think is likely going on here is indies that were responding weeks ago were mostly dem leaning that didnt want to be associated with loser Harris so you get an dem indie oversample, now the pendulum is swinging back toward the R leaning indies that are mostly checked out libertarians that will still vote mostly R
Cc @chriswithans
@earlyvotedata
What do you guys think ?
BTCVIX retweeted
$BTC has now closed 28 days inside the body of one daily candle.
This is extremely rare. It has only happened 5 times in bitcoin's entire history.
Look closely and you will see that it has never had a false breakout from one of these ranges. In other words, it has always continued in the direction of the initial break.
If this pattern continues, then right here near the bottom of the range is about the best R/R you are going to get, and the ensuing move is likely to be massive.
BTCVIX retweeted
CLOSE YOUR ETH SHORT NOW! (FINAL WARNING)🚨
11.8 million ETH is left on ALL exchanges.
Around $9.16B in shorts would be forced to buyback if ETH pumps to $3,000
$9,160,000,000 / $2,400 = 3.82 million ETH has been borrowed and sold with perps under $3,000
That's ~1/3 of all current liquid ETH on exchanges
If these shorts are forced to cover and buyback the ETH they sold, it will easily pump ETH over $10,000
The math is simple and does not lie.
Bears are fucked and don't even know it, the short squeeze is inevitable, it is just a matter of when the music stops.
This is your last chance to close your short or it will be closed for you.
BTCVIX retweeted
BREAKING: JP Morgan adds Bitcoin to their Long-Term Capital Markets Assumptions paper and predict it will be the best-performing asset of the next decade.
