Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry) header
Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry) profile picture

Tried to reform the electoral system. Didn't. Elections nerd. Romania-phile. ADHD, ASD, arthritis. He/him.

Manchester
Joined March 2009
Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)Photo by Chris Terry-Enescu (@CJTerry)
I decided to get one of those substack things people have and write about how Labour's victory is a reminder of how party strategy changes in a multi party, volatile environment. There's a bit about the 1977 Dutch election if you like that sort of thing open.substack.com/pub/electi…
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If you want my thoughts on the Romanian election I'm posting many of them on The Website Not Inhabited By Fascists
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Louder for those at the back.
The United States has left the Western alliance. Europe should recognise that and move on.
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The United States has left the Western alliance. Europe should recognise that and move on.
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If you're surprised so called "free speech absolutionist" Elon Musk is now using his platform against right wingers he disagrees with, you've not been paying attention
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Chris Terry-Enescu retweeted
There is a case to be made—and I've made it here before—that the Syrian civil war is the most important event of the 21st century. Possible deadliest war, generated a host of other conflicts, produced ISIS and massive European refugee crisis, possibly gave us Brexit and Trump...
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Chris Terry-Enescu retweeted
I DO NOT WANT TO LIVE IN INTERESTING TIMES
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Chris Terry-Enescu retweeted
uh huh yeah
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Three far right parties in parliament, Romania? Three? That's insane
Romania, CURS exit-poll: PSD-S&D: 26% (-2) AUR-ECR: 19% (+9) PNL-EPP: 16% (-9) USR-RE: 16% POT-*: 6% (new) S.O.S.RO-NI: 6% (new) UDMR-EPP: 5% SENS~G/EFA: 3% (new) FD→EPP: 1% (new) REPER-RE: 1% (new) Fieldwork: 01 December 2024 +/- vs. Last election result ➤ europeelects.eu/romania
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NGL, I like this one a bit better teapawt.net/EuropeElects/status/18…
Romania, Sociopol exit-poll: PSD-S&D: 26% (-3) AUR-ECR: 20% (+11) PNL-EPP: 15% (-10) USR-RE: 14% (-1) S.O.S.RO-NI: 7% (new) UDMR-EPP: 5% (-1) SENS~G/EFA: 5% (new) POT-*: 4% (new) +/- vs. Last election result Fieldwork: 01 December 2024 ➤ europeelects.eu/romania
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Which means that at 5pm CET, with 3 hours to go until polls closed, the election has already surpassed turnout in any parliamentary election since they put it on a different cycle from the presidential in 2008.
Romania: National parliament election Turnout at 17:00 CET 2024: 46.1% (includes diaspora) 2020: 27.8% 2016: 34.3% 2012: 36.5% 2008: 34.4% Source: Central Electoral Bureau ➤ europeelects.eu/romania #AlegeriParlamentare2024
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Now you might ask is that good for the far right. Is that good for the USR. Is that good for both. Is that good for neither. And to that I say 'da'
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In 1859 Prince Cuza uniifed Moldavia and Wallachia into the United Principalities of Rumania. This has made a lot of people very angry and is widely considered a mistake
A political earthquake in Romania. The country plunged into the unknown last night
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Chris Terry-Enescu retweeted
Replying to @Miyhnea
Yeah the geography screams "disaffected PNL voters looking for a candidate" teapawt.net/Arnold_Platon/status/1…
The Georgescu vote correlates well with places that used to see PNL win, but now that vote collapsed. Transylvania, Bucovina, Prahova, Bucharest-Ilfov, Dobrogea are all former PNL-leaning areas. Iohannis and his boy Ciucă have a huge moral responsibility for this. Curse them!
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NGL lads, really starting to regret wishing on that monkey paw that George Simion would have a disastrous election teapawt.net/EuropeElects/status/18…
Romania: Presidential election (first round) today: 71.7% counted Georgescu (*): 22% (new) Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 22% Lasconi (USR-RE): 15% Simion (AUR-ECR): 15% (new) Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 10% (-28) Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 6% (+2) Geoană (*): 6% (new) Diaconescu (*): 3% (new) Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 1% (new) Birchall (*): 0% (new) Orban (FD→EPP): 0% (new) Popescu (PNR-*): 0% (new) Păcuraru (ADN-*): 0% (new) Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0% (new) +/- vs. 2019 election ➤ europeelects.eu/romania #AlegeriPrezidențiale2024
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It's worth saying that as urban areas have come in Lasconi has been gaining votes and there's still hardly any of areas like Bucharest in.
Romania: Presidential election (first round) today: 59.62% counted Ciolacu (PSD-S&D): 22% Georgescu (*): 22% (new) Simion (AUR-ECR): 15% (new) Lasconi (USR-RE): 15% Ciucă (PNL-EPP): 10% (-28) Kelemen (UDMR-EPP): 6% (+2) Geoană (*): 6% (new) Diaconescu (*): 3% (new) Terheș (PNCR-ECR): 1% (new) Birchall (*): 0% (new) Orban (FD→EPP): 0% (new) Popescu (PNR-*): 0% (new) Păcuraru (ADN-*): 0% (new) Predoiu (PLAN-*): 0% (new) +/- vs. 2019 election ➤ europeelects.eu/romania #AlegeriPrezidențiale2024
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Am I confident enough to say that Lasconi will reach the second round at this point? No. But I am absolutely certain that Lasconi will gain the plurality of remaining domestic votes (the diaspora I'm less certain on).
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The problem with the George Simion presidential campaign is that ultimately George Simion's core vote expected him to say more slurs.
>Kamala Harris campaigned with Neo-con Chaney and forgot to appeal to her progressive base >Simion campaigned as a non-racist moderate and forgot to appeal to his racist base
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Shocking numbers man. Lasconi fully redressed and pulled a good score but wtf man, Georgescu unironically at 15%
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Chris Terry-Enescu retweeted
Short thread on today's presidential candidates. Not gonna bother on platforms because nobody cares and they don't have one, so just some remarks on the candidates, the campaign, prospects...etc
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Well goodbye Five Eyes
NEW: Tulsi announced as Director of National Intelligence
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