Emily C. Singer retweeted
The GOP shouldn't be counting on a poll miss to win the Senate (though it's possible!).
Dems have actually been slightly more likely to outperform the polls in close Senate races since 1998.
Same in 2018 (Trump's 1st midterm) & Dems outperformed in all 2022 close races.
Emily C. Singer retweeted
🚨NEW @HouseMajPAC ad in #OH07🚨
"Max Miller is a disgrace."
"Max Miller is unfit to serve."
"I'm not going to betray my morals for Max Miller." ⤵️
Emily C. Singer retweeted
i'm late to this but chiming in to say the HMP IE has polled > 50 times in the last 7-10 days across the country and has seen nothing to suggest this is true.
Scoop: Both parties just got back new internal polling that shows a tightening map in the core House battlegrounds - as Republicans are still struggling to shore up a raft of redder seats.
Senior Dems are trying to set expectations about how big of a majority they might win. Rs still face serious problems in North Carolina, South Texas and more.
More inside the map w/ @andrewjfhoward >
politico.com/news/2026/10/23…
Emily C. Singer retweeted
Huge win here for Maurene Comey, with a federal judge ruling she was illegally fired by the Trump administration from her job as a prosecutor at SDNY: storage.courtlistener.com/re…
Emily C. Singer retweeted
Yesterday Trump repeatedly called Abdul El-Sayed a "jihadist", told Nicki Minaj she had a "beautiful ass" and asked her to stand up so the crowd could admire it, and yet the dumbest people on Twitter are still pretending to be offended by a mention of the Cheesecake Factory.
Emily C. Singer retweeted
New in Hotline via @zachblackburn23: The DCCC is up with a coordinated ad buy with Chaz Molder in (D) in #TN05, the Trumpiest district the committee's up in yet
Emily C. Singer retweeted
Imma be real: post-Wedgewood, it’s going to take a LOT to convince me “RedBox Research” isn’t another fake pollster.
The existing evidence certainly doesn’t help their case.
Emily C. Singer retweeted
Shades of George W. Bush stumping for Conrad Burns (Bush +21 in ‘04) in the final weekend of ‘06. And Burns lost!
Emily C. Singer retweeted
ELECTION DAY RECORD: with a week to go, U.S. gas prices are 42.3c/gal above 2022’s election day avg, the priciest election day at the pump ever. diesel is nearly $1/gal above 2022’s $5.33/gal. both are on track for the highest election day prices on record (not all-time highs).
Emily C. Singer retweeted
JUST IN: The Peltola campaign and DSCC are urging a federal judge to quickly dismiss DOJ's lawsuit against Alaska to ensure it isn't pending on Election Day. storage.courtlistener.com/re…
Emily C. Singer retweeted
Almost like predictive markets don't actually predict and just echo the same common wisdom...
🇧🇷Brazil runoff on @Kalshi, in one chart.
Bolsonaro traded at 80%+ for two days. In the space of about an hour this afternoon, Lula went from 20% to 70% and Bolsonaro collapsed to 31%, on the heaviest volume of the market's life.
The bottom panel tells the story: low volumes all weekend, then everything at once as results came in.
Track live on @TheTerminal
Emily C. Singer retweeted
I'm usually cautious about getting burned by early voting data, but I can't think of an explanation for this other than a massive enthusiasm gap.
Emily C. Singer retweeted
An IE report from SLF, the big Senate GOP super PAC, that reveals the state of affairs in final 10 days. Spending in:
SC ($978k)
NE ($960k)
KS ($720k)
MS ($572k)
Emily C. Singer retweeted
Sometimes, one simple act starts something beautiful.
Ronaldo placed his “I Voted” sticker at the memorial honoring his father, Lorenzo. Now, others are doing the same.
#TX09 We see you. We hear you. We stand with you. 🧡
@votetracigibson @letitiaplummer @desireeklaustx
#leticiaforcongress #leticiagutierrez #texaspolitics #lorenzo
Emily C. Singer retweeted
Sand was always gonna win, but, by nominating a Kansan, Rs may bring down Hinson, too
Good test of what remains of ticket splitting culture
Zach Lahn re-registered to vote in Iowa in Oct 2024 — just in time to qualify to run for governor in 2026.
Lahn cast an Iowa ballot in 2024.
But previously unreported voting records show he requested it be mailed to him — in Kansas.
W/ @bethreinhard
nytimes.com/2026/10/25/us/po…
Emily C. Singer retweeted
The people complaining about Obama’s Cheesecake Factory line sound like performative humorless scolds, maybe this is Woke 2.0.
Emily C. Singer retweeted
needed video to believe he actually said this 9 days before an election.
