CapperCraig (@CapperCraig) header
CapperCraig (@CapperCraig) profile picture

NFL/NBA gambling expert. Psychological background. 9+ years in the business.

United States of America
Joined April 2019
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1-2 this week. No big read tonight. I would go Eagles +4 if I was forced to pick. I wouldn’t say I’m cold, just not the best matchups for me last 2 weeks. I have some better angles coming up. NFL 2026 season: 21-12
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Replying to @RuinBills
Chiefs +3. Neither moneyline.
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NFL Week 8 Chiefs @ Seahawks: Travis Kelce 5+ Receptions (+112) This is a very significant game. This is the current Superbowl champions vs the last half a decade Superbowl dynasty. The viewership will be high, and the pressure will be high. In games like these, I expect for high efficiency to be the play calls for both teams. For the Chiefs in particular, I believe that is how they will have to attack a defense like the Seahawks's. Combined with how short Mahomes has been throwing this season, I doubt this changes for this game. The Chiefs also have their right guard out, and Rashee Rice out. This will hurt the run game, which is a big matchup itself. On one hand you'll get maximum effort from Kenneth Walker, and on the other you get Macdonald knowing exactly how he prefers to run. I think this leads to more quick passes from Mahomes overall, and in a game this significant, I'll think they will lean into the trust of the chemistry between him and Kelce as a priority. Unless you expect a breakout game from Cyrus Allen or Jalen Royals, its just Kelce and Worthy running the passing game. NFL Season: 21-11
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1-1 on live bets Falcons+5.5 ✅ Panthers +7.5❌ Chiefs @ Seahawks out 6:00 CST NFL 2026 Record: 21-11
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LIVE: Panthers +7.5 (-106) Get ball back at half just like Falcons. Canales will make sure they get right.
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Falcons +5.5 LIVE
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Live bets soon
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Alexander Volkov will become the next heavyweight champion. Hopefully Ciryl Gane keeps his belt vs Josh Hokit, which will setup the 3rd time Volkov will face Gane. Currently 0-2, but both were extremely close. The last one was quite literally a coin flip. It has been 10 years in the UFC. He has seen the best of the best. You will get the greatest amount of effort from him in this fight, because if he loses, I can't see him continuing at 38. For him, it is now or never. #UFC333
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Outlier game in my opinion. Brian Flores also very good and he knows Ben Johnson more than any other DC in the league. Bears had so many chances to put up points within the 5 yard line, not to mention Caleb had a likely touchdown before going down with the injury.
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CapperCraig retweeted
The @ChicagoBears have run 505 offensive plays to just 351 for their opponents. That difference (+154) is the largest for any team through seven games in the Super Bowl era (since 1966). The Bears have run the most plays per game in the league (72.1) and allowed the fewest (50.1). @PaulHembo
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Think Bears win, total goes under. Looking for something live.
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Replying to @lorddeadboy
they should.
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The only reason I haven't posted anything is for this reason exactly. I like the Bears... but this game has such an ugly feel to it.
Bears winning by 1-2 points would be the best outcome for the sportsbook
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Interesting
Truly shocking market in Thursday Night Football…. I guess people are really buying into the “Primetime Dog” narrative.
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Replying to @B1GJUICE1
good try though
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Checking all my sources and it seems the public is higher on the Patriots? How?
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3-2 on the week. Felt much better than the record suggests. Feeling mediocre about this next week coming up. Only have 2 things I’m looking at. The week after this upcoming one though, I have a major play. 2026 NFL Record: 20-10
3-1 I took the value on the alt line at 13.5 (+140). If you took the actual 10.5 line, congratulations. Browns +4.5✅ Saints ML✅ Raiders +3.5 1st half✅ Raiders Team Total Over 13.5 (+140) ❌ 1 to go Jaguars ML✅ (last week) / Cowboys ML Parlay⏳ 2026 NFL Record: 20-9
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Lean Commanders +7.5
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Replying to @e_lov17
I lean over but all depends on what that money means to you
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