Herb Case retweeted
Muscle power predicted death in this cohort several times better than maximal strength did, and the two are not the same measurement. Power is force multiplied by velocity, the ability to produce force quickly, the thing you use to catch yourself mid-stumble or stand up from a low chair without a countertop.
Strength is the peak force you can generate regardless of speed, the number a one-rep max captures. In 3,889 adults aged 46 to 75 followed for a median of nearly eleven years in the CLINIMEX cohort, the group with the lowest relative muscle power died at roughly six times the rate of the group with the highest, while sorting the same people by relative strength produced a difference the analysis could not distinguish from chance.
The magnitude of the separation is what makes the finding worth attention. Comparing the lowest to the highest power category, the hazard for death was 5.88 in men and 6.90 in women, both statistically robust. Running the identical comparison on strength returned hazards of 1.62 in men and 1.71 in women, neither reaching significance. Both measures were adjusted for body weight, so this is relative power and relative strength, not absolute output favoring larger bodies. When the investigators tested whether power added predictive information beyond strength, it did, improving the model's ability to discriminate who died from who survived. The direction is consistent across sexes and the gap between the two metrics is large enough that it is unlikely to be a statistical artifact.
Muscle power declines earlier and more steeply with age than strength does, driven disproportionately by the loss of fast-twitch type II fibers and by slowed neuromuscular activation, so power captures a dimension of decline that a slow maximal-force test misses entirely. Peak lower-extremity power has been identified as a more discriminant marker of functional limitation than strength in prior work, and population reference data across the lifespan show the power curve bending downward sooner than the strength curve. Power is, in effect, a more sensitive readout of the integrated health of the muscle-nerve system, which is plausibly why it tracks mortality more tightly.
This is an observational cohort, so low power almost certainly functions partly as a marker of underlying frailty, subclinical disease, or sedentary physiology rather than a clean independent cause of death, and no observational design can separate those. The sample is a single exercise-referral population in Brazil, not a general population, which constrains how far the numbers generalize. There is also a measurement asymmetry worth naming directly: power here was assessed with an upper-row movement test and strength with handgrip, so part of what looks like a power-versus-strength contrast is also a difference in the tests themselves. The women's power estimate in particular carried a very wide confidence range, meaning the point value of roughly seven-fold should be read as directional rather than precise.
What the data support, stated conservatively, is that how quickly you can move a load carries more prognostic information in middle-aged and older adults than how much you can move, and that a training and assessment framework built entirely around slow maximal strength is measuring the less informative variable. What it does not support is a causal claim that adding power training will lower any individual's mortality, because that requires a randomized trial this study did not run. The open question is whether the association survives when power and strength are measured with matched testing protocols in a general population, and whether deliberately training power moves the outcome or merely tracks the people who were healthier to begin with.
Araújo et al., Mayo Clin Proc 2025
Reid & Fielding, Exerc Sport Sci Rev 2012
Suetta et al., J Cachexia Sarcopenia Muscle 2020
Herb Case retweeted
Often hear coaches misrepresent Seiler study on 80/20. It is based on the number of workouts, not time or distance. Then I hear other coaches talk about percentage of high intensity distribution as if it is universal.
Herb Case retweeted
We spend a lot of time building volume, the aerobic capacity, while seemingly ignoring the muscles that create the demand.
If an athlete lacks the speed and power to produce greater work rates, are we limiting their potential to develop VO₂max?
Herb Case retweeted
I find this article interesting. Guy Thibault’s article, “Training volume: the reality of amateur cyclists,” argues that successful amateur racers train considerably less than coaching manuals recommend. It summarizes a study using 2019 Strava data from 543 USA Cycling racers.
Herb Case retweeted
I appeared on That Triathlon Show episode 722 with @SciTriat , which is out now.
The four studies we discussed:
1. Ten years of training in a world-class 800–1500 m swimmer: about 85% of his training was easy, and one heavy gym session a week was enough. Keep easy work easy.
2. Bicarbonate gels during a 3-hour ride: the drop in a 12-minute time trial at the end was about 6% smaller, with no gut problems. Carbohydrate still matters more, so test bicarbonate in training first.
3. Hickson's 1977 VO2 Max study, reanalysed: gains slow down over time, and everyone improved, but at very different rates. 6–8 weeks on one high-intensity stimulus may be enough before changing focus.
4. HIIT vs continuous training, dose–response: HIIT gains levelled off at about 23 minutes of total session time, while continuous training kept improving up to about 63 minutes. Most of the HIIT benefit may come from 15–20 minutes at intensity.
That Triathlon Show 722:
scientifictriathlon.com/tts7…
Herb Case retweeted
Sarcomerogenesis is often assumed not to contribute to strength gains. This misunderstands how the sarcomeres of muscle fibers transmit force to the tendon. Read more in the weekly free Patreon post.
Herb Case retweeted
You train to protect your mitochondria from aging. And it works. Exercise preserves mitochondrial energy production into your 90s. But a 2025 study by @GGouspillou and colleagues reveals there's a second mitochondrial function that declines with age no matter how much you exercise.
Gouspillou and his colleagues at Université du Québec à Montréal divided 139 men aged 20 to 93 into active and inactive groups. They measured physical performance, muscle composition, and three critical mitochondrial functions: energy production, free radical generation, and calcium handling capacity.
The conventional wisdom says mitochondria wear out with age, becoming a leaky metabolic engine that produces more oxidative stress and becomes less capable of taking nutrients and converting them into ATP.
Direct measurement across 73 years of aging shows that's not necessarily correct.
Mitochondrial energy production stayed completely stable in active participants from their 20s through their 90s.
A 90-year-old who stayed active had mitochondria that produced energy like a 20-year-old. Inactive individuals showed declining energy production, but it tracked with how little they moved, not how many years they'd lived.
When normalized to mitochondrial content, the differences disappeared entirely. The study suggests that aging doesn't break energy production. Physical inactivity reduces how many mitochondria you maintain. Each individual mitochondrion works just as well at 90 as at 20.
Free radical production, blamed for decades as an aging driver, showed no increase with age. Active participants actually produced more free radicals than inactive individuals while displaying superior strength and performance. The free radical theory of muscle aging didn't hold.
The study had some interesting headlines:
• Physical activity protects performance across the lifespan but doesn't completely prevent age-related decline
• Mitochondrial energy production depends on activity level, not chronological age
• Free radical production remains stable with aging and reflects mitochondrial health, not damage
• Mitochondrial calcium handling capacity drops sharply after age 60 in both active and inactive individuals
• Reduced calcium handling correlates with lower muscle mass, strength, and performance
• Deterioration accelerates dramatically after 60 rather than declining gradually
The calcium handling finding represents the first mitochondrial function that deteriorates with aging regardless of exercise. Mitochondria normally act as calcium buffers, absorbing excess calcium to keep cells functioning properly. When this buffering capacity fails, a protective channel called the permeability transition pore opens too easily.
Think of it like a circuit breaker that's supposed to trip only during emergencies but starts tripping at lower and lower thresholds. When the pore opens prematurely, stored calcium floods back into the cell, triggering a cascade of damage.
This calcium release activates pathways that break down muscle protein faster than the body builds it back up. It generates bursts of oxidative stress that damage cellular components. It releases mitochondrial DNA that the immune system mistakes for bacterial invasion, triggering inflammation.
Each pathway drives muscle loss without requiring energy failure. The mitochondria still produce ATP normally. They've just lost the ability to prevent calcium from activating destructive programs that eat away at muscle tissue.
The study measured calcium handling by exposing muscle mitochondria to calcium loads and tracking retention. Both active and inactive participants showed declining capacity, but the pattern matters. Calcium handling remained relatively stable from ages 20 to 60, then dropped sharply after 70.
Calcium retention capacity correlated with thigh muscle mass, knee strength, walking distance, and mobility performance. It also correlated with GDF15, a stress molecule that rises with aging and predicts worse health outcomes. This suggests calcium handling directly influences muscle health and systemic aging markers.
Physical activity protected functional performance. Active participants outperformed inactive individuals on strength and mobility tests across all age groups. But both groups showed age-related declines. Exercise delays deterioration but doesn't eliminate it.
Muscle fiber composition revealed how activity and aging affect muscle differently. Active young adults had more type I endurance fibers that stayed stable across decades. Inactive individuals showed fiber type changes suggesting nerve disconnection from muscle that active individuals avoided.
Intermuscular fat, the marbling that accumulates in muscle tissue, increased with aging in both groups. But physical activity provided protection in later decades. Older active individuals had less fat infiltration than older inactive individuals, though the protective effect only emerged after years of consistent activity.
The implications challenge decades of research direction. Drug development targeting mitochondrial energy production in aging muscle produced zero effective treatments. This study suggests those efforts addressed the wrong problem. Energy production itself doesn't decline with healthy aging.
Calcium handling deterioration appears to be the actual mechanism driving muscle loss.
Restoring calcium buffering capacity or preventing the permeability transition pore from opening prematurely may represent more effective intervention points than trying to boost energy production or mitochondrial numbers.
There are some limitations that stand out when you read the paper:
First, only men participated. So findings may not apply equally to women.
Participants were relatively healthy community-dwelling adults, not people with severe muscle wasting. The design prevents establishing whether calcium handling failure causes muscle loss or just accompanies it.
With that being said, the data fundamentally reframe what aging does to muscle. Energy failure on per mitochondria level isn't the driver in healthy aging. Inactivity reduces mitochondrial numbers while aging leaves energy production intact. The exception, calcium handling deterioration occurring regardless of activity, appears to be where aging actually operates.
Herb Case retweeted
1/10 🚴 My first PhD paper is out in @JSportsSci
How can cyclists track fitness without frequent maximal tests?
Most submaximal tests use power or HR targets, often based on maximal testing. What if RPE guided intensity instead?
Here's what we found 🧵
tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.…
Herb Case retweeted
1/10 🫁 Wearable devices measuring ventilatory parameters have entered the market.
Could minute ventilation (V̇E) become a reliable tool for prescribing exercise intensity?
Let's explore why it might be useful—and what remains unknown. 🧵
Herb Case retweeted
Why do elite endurance athletes spend so much time going slow? Easy running barely challenges a well-trained athlete's heart and lungs. On paper it shouldn't make them fitter. Yet they do tons of it.
A 2025 perspective paper calls this a paradox and proposes 7 possible explanations. None are proven. Here they are.
1. Fitness without the stress. Heart-rate recovery after hard sessions can take over two days, which limits athletes to 2-3 well-rested hard sessions a week. Recovery from easy sessions happens in under 24 hours.
2. Easy and hard work might both switch on mitochondrial signaling (PGC-1α) through different routes. Not everyone agrees.
3. Structure built over years - maybe a bigger heart, more capillaries, more slow-twitch fibers.
4. Something we haven't measured yet (durability and recovery ability are good candidates).
5. Your head needs it. Easy exercise tends to lift mood, hard exercise tends to lower it, and a block of hard training increases distress.
6. It makes hard training work better. Lots of low-intensity activity plus HIIT beat HIIT alone in untrained and moderately trained people (probably because of aerobic base building).
7. Maybe it's replaceable. Intensified training could work, but it raises concerns about overtraining and injury, and studies show no clear performance advantage.
Herb Case retweeted
Want to live a long time?
Be a multi sport athlete! 🏊🚴🏃🚶🏋️
Those with the highest amount of exercise variety had 19% lower all-cause mortality.
And make sure a good chunk of that volume is plain ol' walking! 🚶
bmjmedicine.bmj.com/content/…
You’re on a planet where octopuses have three hearts, trees communicate through fungal networks, birds migrate across continents, coral reefs teem with life, and tiny bees help feed the world. Don’t forget to stop and appreciate how beautiful the Earth is.
Herb Case retweeted
I'm having a bit of fun here, but it is a weird truth of human psychology that you always feel like you're training "a lot" for "what you're getting"...
I've had good level pro's training 20-25 hrs/wk feeling that should "earn them" the top of the podium.
I've had folks who pull off the amazing accomplishment of qualifying for Kona on 15-20hrs/wk, feel that their training earned them the right to go for an age-group win.
I've had folks at absolute best fitness of their life - top 5% fitness for their age feeling their 10-15 hours per week should have them competitive with the KQ folk.
Humans, eh!
Replying to @peyton_thalman1
"a lot" scales directly with what it means "to be fit", mathematically...
"to be fit" = "what you think it will take to be fit" + "more" 😊
Herb Case retweeted
🏃♂️🫁 A remarkable historical photograph (1968) of the legendary exercise physiologist and running coach Dr. Jack Daniels.
🔬 Daniels sits atop a car, holding an oxygen-measuring device (Douglas bag) used to collect expired air from runner Bob Williams, who is wearing a breathing mask.
🏔️ The photograph was taken at the U.S. Olympic team's high-altitude training track, located at 7,377 feet (2,248 m) above sea level.
The test was one of dozens conducted daily to assess athletes' physiological adaptations to high altitude in preparation for the 1968 Olympic Games in Mexico City, held at a similarly high elevation.
📸 August 8, 1968 | Bettmann / Getty Image
Herb Case retweeted
ANNOUNCEMENT: We’re relaunching the site. Explore our archive of work by Carlos Acevedo (@cruelestsport), Don Stradley, Tris Dixon (@TrisDixon), Donald McRae (@donaldgmcrae), and more. New pieces to come.
First from the archive: “Shoot the Moon,” Carlos Acevedo’s eight-part series on the title reign of Larry Holmes.
hannibalboxing.com/shoot-the…
hannibalboxing.com/shoot-the…
Herb Case retweeted
Dumoulin tears up course and improves previous personal best by more than two minutes. velo.outsideonline.com/road/…
Herb Case retweeted
Not cycling but math models better predictors of performance than physiological measures.
Anaerobic Speed Reserve and Critical Speed as Predictors of 200 m Front Crawl Performance: A Practical Alternative to Physiological Testing in Trained Swimmers
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…





























