ChartMuse

No wonder Larry Williams made so much using seasonality. Today removed all overnight gaps to make seasonal effect more realistic. It decreased results from the one including gaps. But the results are still insane. Check my previous posts for exact logic Ill be updating this over and over until we reach max realism possible on Tradingview, keep u posted.

This is how the trades are looking. Not a ton of frequency. My biggest fear is that most of the edge is in the contract rollovers and the seasonal edge is just these gaps. Will need to code up an indicator that avoids these gaps. That's coming soon, slowly moving from idea implementation. Into high realism, so far the core concept is working great. But there is a bunch of steps still needed to move this further and go live. Keep you guys posted

You exist because your ancestors knew the seasons. So why not just use the seasons to grow your money every year. The numbers might be high but that's what compounding does. This strategy never stops trading for over 50 years all using simple seasonality My previous post explained the exact strategy which I posted in the private discord. Here is a big adjustment for realism. The strategy now no longer rebalances on almost every bar. It uses a simple state switch of go 100% long, flat, 100% short now. Staying in the trade for 10 to 20 days on average Results on hogs gone from 9753672.54% down to 4478384.70% just from much less rebalancing alone. Still incredibly juicy and returns on the other pairs speak for itself. No trading costs used cause it's daily chart I guesse

Keep hearing pros talk about range breakouts So my arrogance kicked in and said what if we just trade the range Sure currency markets range so why not build it there. I like simplicity so took the dumbest concept, a grid and made it my own. Not a static grid, a grid that moves with the market. The equity curve looks extremely stable To the downside :( Or is this again a data issue. I will investigate this basic concept further in my upcoming post.

Nobody cares about your sharpe ratio or P factor to get rich. Here are 5 methods that will actually get you rich in the trading industry, I only use 2 of these. 1: Agressive prop firm exposure. Find the best deals for your trading style. Purchase maximum amount of challenges Chosing the right firm can make the difference between losing consistently draining money And getting 650% ROI on average per challenge bought 2: Gaslighting new traders into buying education There are thousands of actual profitable strategies in free online books and research papers. But who cares about those? What you do is instead of realistic returns you fake having a 80% winrate only risking $100 to make $400 Fake your records, grow a following sell courses + mentorship for $1000 minimum 3: Team up with unregulated broker deals and try and go viral on social media Only take deals with brokers that b book their clients to get incredible ROI per customer you bring to them. Only take deals with the ones giving you a big enough cut. If your audience starts complaining move on to a new deal and lie that you did not know they where bad. 4: Share actual alpha and realistic expectations to novice and expert traders for a small fee This one won't make you rich as fast as the other methods but you don't need to be a sociopath to do it. This is what zenomtrader is doing and that is why I am an affiliate and take a small cut whenever people go there from here. 5: Build a track record on darwinex or other copy trading sites with actual big investors. This one requires actual trading skill and can't be abused by noobs to the game. The downside is also that it will take you atleast a year to start earning something decent and probably 4-5 years to get a full-time salary and trading millions in investor capital if you are good enough The worst path to take out of all 5

Be thankful for your local ICT influencers Be thankful to all the noobs losing all their savings on prop accounts This business just can not possibly exist without them If I gave you a button to spam every day to just risk your daily drawdown limit on an apex challenge You press that button once at whatever time a day and target the same as your risking. Congratulations you just beat more than 95% of all prop firm traders. Do that for a year, buying a new challenge every time you lose. Congratulations you just made $7500 Worst case scenario out of 100, you lose $2.373 Do that on a personal account risking the same? You might aswell lose $45.900 and have no positive financial future. Praise the predatory teachers online for making this opportunity be a thing Praise the professionals who stay out of it thinking it's just gambling Does anybody here see this business keep existing for years or is the prop firm business destined to fail. It just does not make much sense with how good their offering is.

How exactly the strategy rebalancing happens is listed in the zenom private discord but I will provide the basics: It creates a past prediction zone. So what are the biggest forecast and create a range. What is our current forecast saying and how does it compare. Dynamically adjust market allocation based on seasonal patterns in 10% steps. I've also included different methods for position and trade management that rebalance less so have less trading costs. Remember this is tradingview and it is traded on their continuous futures contract data, results might not match real market performance

The script uses a simple approach based on only recent data It has a dataset for each day of the year which it updates every year. How many % did the market move in coming 20 days after that day of the year. Put into the data array Plot the average over time This gives a clean oscillator that predicts the future 20 bars. That is basis for the indicator which is where the magic happens. The strategic rebalancing using the indicator data is what I build yesterday. The seasonality oscillator concept was written before AI agents existed and I kept private for a long time.

Seasonality can be exploited easily in grain and meat markets. Matter of fact might be the only non-lagging indicator 9753672.54% return only -13.45% drawdown Larry Williams also trades a lot of seasonality 50 years of trading 3666 trades You heard that right Most Trading Seasonality research sucks Taking 50 years of price data to decide January is the best month to purchase an asset There is a flaw in that approach Backtesting that assumes we knew 50 years ago Januari is best month to buy. I changed that building the seasonality oscillator. The strategy rolls the data over time, only taking data it knows at the time of decision making for its trading. Changed it from a boring equity for that month curve into an actionable oscillator. Posted full strategy + agent md files inside zenom private discord. Ill explain the logic below

Now you might be thinking it sure can't be that simple, this must be fake. Yes and no Simplicity is what creates the best / most robust strategies. Any strategy I personally trade is as simple as the one described here. But there is a catch here This strategy runs into one huge problem and that is detalisation on tradingview. It only runs through 4 ticks per bar on these test, so positions are only checked every 15 minutes. That is not real execution. Whenever you set the detalisation to 20 ticks per bar. Results change a lot and the edge almost completely dissapears. Using small stops with huge targets on low resolution data creates an insanely good equity curve on any chart. It's just a limit in backtesting And that is why you never trust a backtest before you ran it personally and understand where the limits are and what are safe approaches to take. Pictures below show strategy on 6N on low detalisation vs high detalisation. The 3rd and 4rd picture covers 6J The results can be massive

1 trade a day on average tested over 20 years of deep backtesting data on tradingview. 7000+ trades per currency pair backtest. Now let's get to the actual strategy rules. Use the new ATR formula and create bands 2 deviations from previous bar open. Enter using stop orders at bands using a 0.5 deviation stop and a 5 deviation target. This strategy works for one simple reason. It knows actual normal volatility range and profits when market agressively pushes outside of normal behaviour. Profiting from news, macro events, institutional orders. We trade the strategy on H1 timeframe position sizing at 100% of equity. I shared the full code inside the zenom discord. With alert functionality for full-automation

You've been using intraday ATR wrong. It is a lagging indicator. This simple strategy based on a fundamentally different approach to ATR even performs on the most difficult markets to trade. Exact same formula, different data source. 100% certainty of what is normal price behaviour. No magic, simple maths How this works: ATR and other measures of volatility base their calculations on the previous bars series on the chart. The volatility used in these bands measure expected volatility during that time of the day. So not 14 previous candles. previous 14 days a bar formed at this exact time. Simple yet powerful. Read further to get the exact strategy

Well said, I also see no single reason for the prop firm industry to not grow further in future. It basically sits in the same category as gambling industry, primary audience is people who are desperate for fast money. Just think about it, people are losing their jobs with the AI boom and need money. Where are these desperate people going to go? Some influencer type guy will tell them with ICT you can make 5K/month easy on prop firms and that's where they will spend their money.