Full Venice AI + VVV breakdown with the bear case and the daily squeeze: youtu.be/DGSQy9kNYQc
$VVV is up ~2.6x since my April Venice video. Bitcoin did ~5%.
On the weekly, Venice broke the 1.618 Fib wall, retested it in July, and still respects the rising trendline from the November 2025 low.
The pullback is holding the 10-week EMA.
Here's why. 🧵👇 1/2
Fed funds: 3.75%-4%. The 10-year Treasury closed at 5.05%.
That's a gap of more than a full point, so the bond market is already tightening on its own. Two Fed members still voted to hike this meeting, and December is priced at ~85%.
Bitcoin trades the long end of that curve, so 5.05% is the number to watch.
bitcoin:native
75% of the Bitcoin liquidations in the last 24h were shorts.
The push back above 80k came from shorts being forced to close. Real spot buying still has to show up, and the average US spot ETF buyer sits near 84k, still underwater.
Fed today. PCE tomorrow. $11B options expiry Friday.
Chop chop chop. bitcoin:native
874k $BTC were bought between 81k and 82.5k.
That's the real wall today, bigger than the Fed. A pause is 95% priced. Most of those buyers just want out at break-even, so every push into that zone meets sellers.
What Warsh says about December decides if we chew through it. 🤝
Standard Chartered sees Sky 5x by 2028 from the price it trades at today, and my old Maker trade sits right on the chart. Full $SKY breakdown:
0:00 A bank says 5x
1:20 DeFi's federal bank
3:00 What holders get
4:44 The bear case
5:36 Weekly + daily
6:39 My plan
Sky Is DeFi's Federal Bank, Says Standard Chartered
$SKY (the old MakerDAO): Standard Chartered's 5x call, Galaxy's $100M, what Stage 2 pays holders, the bear case, the weekly chart and my plan.
Galaxy, Standard Chartered, S&P, Moody's, and where $SKY sits now: youtu.be/aeXKyIzqRfg
Galaxy put $100M of sUSDS on its corporate balance sheet and made it collateral for 1,600+ trading counterparties. Clients keep earning Sky's savings rate while the loan is open.
A Nasdaq-listed firm now uses a DeFi dollar as working collateral. $SKY 🧵
The full Stage 2 split and why the payout has room to grow: youtu.be/aeXKyIzqRfg
Sky sent ~$5M to $SKY holders in September through buybacks and staking rewards, double August's ~$2.5M. First full month of its Stage 2 framework.
Burns went from 2.86M SKY in September to 7.37M in October. Small next to 23.4B supply. Staking is where the money moves. 🧵
What actually reaches $SKY holders, and how my old Maker trade lines up with the chart: youtu.be/aeXKyIzqRfg
Standard Chartered set a $0.32 target on $SKY for end-2028 when Sky traded near $0.065.
Six weeks later price is back there, while Galaxy put $100M into Sky's dollar and S&P and Moody's both rated the protocol.
What changed in between 🧵👇 1/2
2.11 longs for every short.
That's the average long/short ratio across Bitget, Binance, OKX, Gate and Bybit today, the most crowded long since July. It built up while $BTC slid all week.
When the crowd leans this hard into weakness, the flush tends to come before the bounce.








