CryptoKing

Bitcoin On Chain Profit Signals Are Improving But The Market Is Not Out Of Danger Yet BTC on chain structure is improving, but the latest data does not yet show the extreme profitability normally associated with a late stage euphoric market. BTC is trading around $80K, while the realized price of coins held for 1 to 3 months is near $63K. This leaves the cohort with roughly 27% unrealized profit, a significant recovery from the negative conditions seen during previous drawdowns. Short term holders are therefore back in profit, but the cushion remains moderate rather than extreme. The Profit/Loss Margin is still below the key historical 40% and 70% reference levels. The 30 day moving average has recovered from negative territory, indicating that profitability among recent market participants is rebuilding. Historically, the 40% zone has represented a much stronger profit environment, while moves toward 70% have coincided with substantially higher unrealized gains. Current positioning therefore suggests recovery rather than widespread short term euphoria. The second chart provides a more cautious signal. Bitcoin 7 day realized profit/loss ratio has repeatedly dropped below 1 during 2026, meaning realized losses temporarily exceeded realized profits. Several concentrated selling periods appeared as BTC moved through roughly the $60K to $90K range. These episodes show that despite the recovery in price, market participants remain willing to realize losses when momentum weakens. Realized profitability has also struggled to maintain a sustained expansion above its longer term baseline. The key level to monitor is therefore the gap between BTC current price and the ~$63K realized price of the 1 to 3 month cohort. As long as BTC remains comfortably above this cost basis, short term holders remain in aggregate profit. A continued rise in the profit margin without a renewed surge in realized losses would strengthen the recovery structure. Conversely, a sustained decline toward the realized price could quickly increase selling pressure.

The clock is ticking. $BTC bull cycle: 1065 days. $BTC bear cycle: 365 days. 52 days left in this bear phase.

Bitcoin closed July $62,818 200-week moving average $63k Realized price $52k (still decreasing) Monthly RSI 43 (still < 50) It looks like bitcoin has started the bottoming process. This normally takes 1-3 months and BTC would drop lower during this phase (below realized). DYOR.

🚨 SPACEX IS ENTERING THE PHASE THAT CREATED NVIDIA MILLIONAIRES $SPCX is already down nearly 50% from its highs. Most people see a failed IPO. I see the same cycle that created one of the biggest opportunities of the decade. Back in 2022: NVIDIA crashed more than 65%. Hype disappeared. Retail gave up. Smart money accumulated during the pain. Then $NVDA entered one of the strongest recovery phases Wall Street had ever seen. Now look at SpaceX: Hype → Reality → Pain → Smart Money Buys → Recovery SpaceX is moving through the exact phase where the crowd loses interest and the real opportunity begins forming. My buy zone: $80–100 My target: $250+ Most people will wait until the recovery is obvious. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126K → $60K I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again, that’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

It's not just Democrats that are opposed to CLARITY. There are also some Republicans against it. They don't like the yield provisions because the bank lobby scared them. Now, they are also looking at changing the yield provisions - AGAIN. And we only have a week 🤷‍♂️

🤖WILD: THIS ROBOT JUST TIED A KNOT WITH ITS OWN HANDS It also unscrewed a lightbulb and sealed a bag of grapes without being programmed for any of them. The robot runs on Google DeepMind's Gemini Robotics 2 with 22 finger joints, all controlled by a single AI model.

🚨BREAKING: $1 Trillion erased from US stocks in 30 minutes after the US 30-year Treasury yield hit a 19-year high of 5.2%, the highest level since 2007.

$BTC has gone down after the last 8 FOMC meetings. ▫️ July 2025: BTC dropped 5.87%. ▫️ September 2025: BTC dropped 7.34%. ▫️ October 2025: BTC dropped 29.08%. ▫️ December 2025: BTC dropped 10.63%. ▫️ January 2026: BTC dropped 33.55%. ▫️ March 2026: BTC dropped 13.01%. ▫️ April 2026: BTC dropped 3.34%. ▫️ June 2026: BTC dropped 12.97%. What'll happen after tomorrow's FOMC meeting?

Bitcoin is still bumping its head hard against the First Low Band of the Bear Bands. I could see one band being left out this cycle, but two? Unlikely. In other words, 46k is still a prime target for August to October. 29k is also not off the table for the true cycle bottom prices November 2025 - January 2026. As always, I think it's important to stay flexible when it comes to price!

$TSLA just recorded its 13th biggest one-day drop in history. Sounds scary… until you zoom out. Historically, the biggest down days have often been followed by some of the strongest long-term returns. Fear creates opportunity.

#BREAKING 🚨 BOOOOM 💥💥 CHINA'S ZHIBAO TECHNOLOGY INC. JUST SIGNED A NON-BINDING TERM SHEET FOR 3,500 BTC IN PIPE FINANCING! THIS IS HUGE FOR BITCOIN'S GROWTH AND ADOPTION! THE BULL RUN IS ON! 🚀 #BITCOIN 🌟

NEW: 🇺🇸 Sen. Cynthia Lummis publically shares The CLARITY ACT's Ethics Requirement, which "bans ALL federal officials from issuing or sponsoring a digital asset for profit" 👀 President Trump has agreed to the terms 👏

Clarity is making progress 🚀

WTH is going on with $SPCX

Sorry, Bitcoin holders... This relief rally won’t last forever. Bitcoin is approaching the Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Price. During bear markets, rallies rarely extend far above this level, as short-term holders often sell once they reach break-even. Selling pressure could intensify soon.

🚨BREAKING: Jack Mallers steps down as CEO of Twenty One Capital Mallers announced his resignation from $XXI, the Tether-backed Bitcoin treasury company launched in April 2025, saying the role helped clarify his long-term priorities. The departure comes amid a brutal decline for the company, with $XXI down -92% since its merger and more than 60% below its post-listing high.

🚨 Warren Buffett vs. Cathie Wood: 2021-2026