Cryptoceejay retweeted
Photonics is on fire today!
$ALMU $POET $LITE $COHR $AAOI
Follow my page if you want to learn more about this sector
I post a ton of digestible content and education
🚨There is a ton of momentum building in photonics right now.
$POET $MRVL $LITE $COHR $AAOI $TSEM $CIEN
Every part of the stack is heating up, and management teams have basically spent the last month broadcasting the same story.
Let’s dig into some of the recent bits I’ve been watching...
$LITE
Q1 revenue up 58% YoY to $533.8M with next quarter guided to ~$650M, hitting their mid-2026 target two quarters early.
Management pointed to cloud-optics demand running well above supply with transceivers, optical circuit switches, and early co-packaged optics driving the next leg.
$COHR
“AI data centers and communications remain strong long-term growth drivers.”
They just posted $1.58B in revenue, +17% YoY, and highlighted accelerating hyperscale DCI demand across their ZR / ZR+ lineup and their 400G / 800G ramps.
$MRVL
“AI infrastructure is transforming faster than ever.”
“We’re going to have a silicon-photonics powerhouse at Marvell when this is all done.”
The $3.25B Celestial AI acquisition comes with a modeled $500M run-rate by FY28 and $1B by FY29
Celestial AI
“Marvell is the ideal home for our Photonic Fabric… the scale and customer reach to take this platform into high-volume production.”
$POET
Their optical-engine technology is already designed into Celestial AI’s Photonic Fabric, the same platform Marvell just paid $3.25B to acquire.
As AI systems move toward denser, more integrated optical engines, POET sits directly inside one of the most advanced photonics architectures in the market - now part of Marvell’s silicon-photonics roadmap.
$AAOI
Revenue up 82% YoY.
They’re on track to build what they believe will be the largest domestic production capacity for 800G and 1.6T transceivers by year-end, roughly 35k parts per month, all inside their Texas footprint.
$TSEM
Expecting silicon-photonics revenue to more than double off last year’s base.
They’re investing $300M into photonics and AI-focused expansion and calling for ~75% growth in that segment.
$CIEN
“We delivered record orders. Cloud and AI providers continue to invest in high-capacity optical transport.”
DCI and long-haul momentum continue to show up directly in the numbers.
...
But you can’t just look at the transceiver and laser makers.
Some of the clearest signals are coming from the companies building the architecture and the supply chain behind it.
$AVGO
AI revenue moving from ~$11B to $20B+.
They’re doubling down on silicon photonics
Controlling the switch silicon, the optical DSP, and the optical engines at the heart of modern AI racks.
If you’re bullish on photonics, this is one of the companies defining the socket.
$ANET
Building the “AI spine.”
Their Ethernet-based AI networking platform relies entirely on high-speed optics to stitch together massive GPU clusters
100k-GPU scale and up.
As clusters get larger, copper falls out of the system and optics takes over.
$FN
Record ~$980M in revenue.
They manufacture optical engines for some of the largest players in the space - $NVDA, $LITE, $COHR, and others.
When Fabrinet says demand is exceptional, it means the orders are already in the building.
$GLW
Optical Communications revenue up 33% YoY.
AI racks require roughly 10x the fiber density of legacy cloud racks.
Corning is supplying the physical layer that makes 800G and 1.6T optics viable at scale.
$SMTC
Solid print tied to growing traction in Linear Pluggable Optics (LPO).
They sit in the analog layer, drivers and TIAs that fire the lasers, and are positioned directly under the 800G / 1.6T cycle.
$MTSI
Revenue up 30% YoY.
They build the high-speed analog components that sit behind next-gen optical engines and are essential for 1.6T designs.
....
This is all widespread.
It’s lasers, transceivers, optical switches, silicon photonics, scale-up fabrics, DCI, long-haul transport, Ethernet AI spines, fiber density, and the analog chips behind every laser all moving in the same direction.
If you’re tracking AI infrastructure, photonics continues to gain strength week after week.
Cryptoceejay retweeted
$ABAT just bagged all the chasers -50% in ONE DAY because the "setup" guys who don't know a single thing about the battery industry said it was a nice chart.
This is why context matters. High-conviction stock picking is the way to build your wealth, if you want to KEEP it.
Cryptoceejay retweeted
Here is an interesting fact about the DotCom bubble collapse from 2000 to 2002
When the bubble burst, the tech heavy Nasdaq 100 fell 77% and the S&P 500 fell 49%, dragged down by extremely overvalued Internet Tech stocks.
At the same time, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway gained +80% during the collapse. This is because he had zero tech stock exposure and was invested in non-tech, highly profitable stocks like Coca Cola, American Express, Gillette, Washington Post and Moodys. When money ran out of tech, it flowed into all the non tech.
However, during the DotCom boom, from 1998 to 2000, Buffett's portfolio underperformed the market significantly. While all the money was chasing after sexy DotCom tech, his non-tech stocks dropped like flies.
What's the Lesson from this?
1) When the AI/Crypto/Quantum/Nuclear Bubble bursts eventually (I don't know when), the overvalued and unprofitable stocks in this sectors will drop 50% to 80%
2) The money will flow into the profitable non-AI stocks that have been neglected and forgotten (i.e healthcare, software, industrials, staples etc...) which will then surge 50% to 80%. This rotation is inevitable.
My portfolio currently has
a) 38% exposed to high quality, AI-related stocks (mainly hyperscalers) and
b) 62% exposed to high quality non-AI related stocks (healthcare, industrials, staples, financials and discretionary)
So, while I am riding the AI boom (and outperforming the S&P 500 & Nasdaq 100), I am doing it in a safe, diversified way.
When the bubble bursts (who knows when?), my non AI stock exposure should have huge outperformance, which should buffer the drawdowns in my AI related stocks.
The key to consistently profitable investing is not to time the top of the market (no one can), but to build a resilient, bullet proof portfolio that will continue to grow under all kinds of economic conditions.
Cryptoceejay retweeted
Replying to @Alice_MiaX
You can live off of 40k a year in the USA. I make more than double that at my day job and invest a little over 50% with a family of 4. It's not that hard!
Cryptoceejay retweeted
Your job is to find a way to hit $1-3 million and become unemployed by age 40.
Cryptoceejay retweeted
Wanna honor Charlie Kirk this weekend?
Go to church!
Don't be nervous if you haven't been in a long time or ever, just show up!
-Go shake some hands.
-Go hug some kind people.
-Go worship the living God.
-Go hear His Word preached.
College students,
Wanna be rebels & anti THE SYSTEM?
Skip binge drinking this weekend & GO TO CHURCH!!!
Let's fill churches all over the country & praise Jesus together this weekend!!!
Are you in?!
Cryptoceejay retweeted
RIP Charlie Kirk. It doesn’t matter what your opinion is of Charlie or his politics if you don’t view this as one of the darkest days in American history than you are part of the problem.
Cryptoceejay retweeted
People with $50,000 in the bank wouldn't go out and buy a $50,000 car but people with $1000 in the bank go out and get $50,000 cars on finance.
There's your problem.
Cryptoceejay retweeted
BREAKING: Border Patrol agents shut down massive 3,000-foot drug smuggling tunnel between Tijuana, Mexico and San Diego, equipped with lighting, ventilation systems and tracks to move narcotics
The agents discovered the tunnel in early April while it was ACTIVELY under construction
The tunnel had a projected exit point near or inside a commercial warehouse space in San Diego
Cryptoceejay retweeted
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Cryptoceejay retweeted
Let's settle this... #crypto
Cryptoceejay retweeted
.@Delphi_Digital expects a strong 2025 for peaq
Do you?
“The layer-1 for the Machine Economy seems like one of the few emerging L1s with a differentiated claim to ‘majors’ status.”
🔗 members.delphidigital.io/rep…
Cryptoceejay retweeted
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