Govt & Politics prof, @UofMaryland. Author: Red, Green and Blue & Party Position Change in American Politics. Co-author: The Party Decides.
Maryland, USA
Joined January 2008
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Happy to announce the publication of “How Does Party Position Change Happen? The case of LGBT Rights in the U.S.” in @PRQjournal !🧵
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.…
Ungated version: gvpt.umd.edu/publicationprof…
David Karol retweeted
Much reporting on the Dems' Oversight race boils it down to a narrative with AOC as protagonist, Nancy Pelosi as antagonist, and Gerry Connolly reduced to age/health if mentioned at all. Basically none of that is right in my personal opinion. We'll soon know how it shakes out...
David Karol retweeted
The last time a Wray was so terrified of a vicious brute who became famous via Manhattan skyscrapers
David Karol retweeted
The politics of SALT can be such that:
- Most Republicans don't want the deduction back and instead want something else
- Most Democrats don't want the deduction back and instead want something else
And yet:
- Under certain circumstances, the pro- SALT minority is empowered.
Or maybe, just maybe, incumbent parties tend to lose in inflationary environments.
It's nice to see someone admitting he was mistaken rather than just deleting the tweet and hoping few would notice or remember.
David Karol retweeted
Post-Gaetz Confimation Poll. Trump's controversial nominees, post-Gaetz withdrawal, could be voted on or receive recess appointments. The ultimate process will be
92%Traditional Senate review
0%Senate agreeing to recess
0%Trump forcing adjournment
8%Show results.
25 votes • Final results David Karol retweeted
Post Gaetz Confirmation Poll Part II: Thinking of Trump's remaining cabinet-level or otherwise high-profile nominees, what is likely to happen?
8%All approved
47%1 more withdraws/blocked
34%2 or more not confirmed
11%Show results
38 votes • Final resultsPost Gaetz Confirmation Poll Part II: Thinking of Trump's remaining cabinet-level or otherwise high-profile nominees, what is likely to happen?
8%All approved
47%1 more withdraws/blocked
34%2 or more not confirmed
11%Show results
38 votes • Final resultsPost-Gaetz Confimation Poll. Trump's controversial nominees, post-Gaetz withdrawal, could be voted on or receive recess appointments. The ultimate process will be
92%Traditional Senate review
0%Senate agreeing to recess
0%Trump forcing adjournment
8%Show results.
25 votes • Final results David Karol retweeted
Will any of Trump's remaining controversial picks withdraw or be blocked? Who is the most likely to fail?
55%Hegseth
14%RFK Jr.
23%Gabbard
8%None
65 votes • Final resultsWill any of Trump's remaining controversial picks withdraw or be blocked? Who is the most likely to fail?
55%Hegseth
14%RFK Jr.
23%Gabbard
8%None
65 votes • Final resultsPublic opinion on MANY issues is like this. Very sensitive to question wording when topic is at all complicated and when a lot of people have given it little thought and have what scholars call "non-attitudes".
You probably already know that question wording matters a lot in polling. But this chart from @aedwardslevy/@CNN underscores the point: Public support for mass deportation varies from 62% to 33%, depending on how the question is asked. cnn.com/2024/11/17/politics/…
ALT CNN chart large differences in public support for mass deportation, depending on how the question is asked in surveys.
It's not like he would been able to stay in his current job long with Trump coming into office anyway.
The former governor of Maryland and mayor of Baltimore City, Martin O'Malley, announced his plans to quit his day job and officially launched his campaign to be the next chairman of the Democratic National Committee, he revealed in an interview with The New York Times. bit.ly/3OeO8c1
David Karol retweeted
Reminder: For those interested in bluesky, I am @davidkarol.bsky.social
David Karol retweeted
You see DOGE, I see a blue ribbon commission created as a sop to some annoying people Susie Wiles doesn’t want anywhere near the West Wing
Issue priority answers are mostly post-hoc rationalization of vote. Most voters are long-term partisans & were never in doubt. What does it mean for someone who has voted for every Republican since Reagan or every Dem since Clinton to identify "the issue that mattered most"?
The AP is not actually part of the Constitution.
A spokesperson for Chuck Schumer claims David McCormick’s Senate race is undecided—even though the AP called it last week. trib.al/2YSeorA