Democratic partisan hack. Election cartographer/mapper. Wikipedia contributor. Top-tier takes based on vibes, informed by data.

Joined December 2022
Josh Shapiro will probably win PA-10 comfortably this fall, but let's not forget he won it comfortably in 2022 too, by 11.8 points, and on the same ballot Scott Perry still won by 7.7. That's a 61,329 raw vote, 19.5 point Perry over-performance.
10
21
1
184
10,953
馃毃Democrats have gained an excellent pickup target! This was a district that swung to the left in 2024 at the presidential level, and Trump barely won it in the first place. People like Janelle Stelson, Josh Shapiro, and John Fetterman have already shown Democrats can win here.
Sy Snyder@PoliticsPAJan 13
INBOX: @RepDelozier (R-88) announces she will not seek reelection for her Cumberland County seat.
11
40
4,852
Scott Perry never struggled on this measure before, so it appears Janelle Stelson actually is a particularly strong candidate.
Replying to @DemHackMaps
Might just be because Scott Perry is a weak incumbent more than anything else
1
3
88
4,275
See that block of blue in South Central PA? That's Janelle Stelson.
Today I鈥檓 announcing my Congressional campaign against Scott Perry. He just voted for the biggest Medicaid cuts in history, to pay for billionaire tax breaks. We deserve better than a career politician who keeps selling us out.
8
25
2
363
25,829
In 2024, according to Split Ticket, Stelson was one of the strongest Democratic candidates in the nation. If the environment in 2026 is anything close to what I expect, Perry is cooked. Not to mention it seems like Stelson did best in York, where Perry is from.
Today I鈥檓 announcing my Congressional campaign against Scott Perry. He just voted for the biggest Medicaid cuts in history, to pay for billionaire tax breaks. We deserve better than a career politician who keeps selling us out.
7
44
1
271
20,212
This pattern didn't really hold up as well in 2024.
When you combine Pennsylvania's 1st, 7th, and 8th congressional districts, you get a slice of PA with Philly suburbs, the Lehigh Valley, and NEPA that ends up voting almost identically to the state as a whole for a bunch of recent (and future?) elections.
3
8
73
5,178
Some added context for that flip last night.
With Election Night Results finished Democrat James Malone appears to have Flipped Pennsylvania's 36th Senate District after Trump won it by ~15% in 2024 the district covers around half of Lancaster County.
8
23
2
214
13,889
Presenting 2024 Senate over-performance. Blue is where Bob Casey did better. Red is where Harris did better (or another way to look at it: red is where McCormick did better). Harris actually got more votes and a higher percent than Casey, but lost by a larger % margin.
12
30
7
196
39,932