Christian Democratic Moderate πŸ‡³πŸ‡± guy | MA International Relations | works in politics | international and US/UK/EU politics | pro-EU

Suburban Netherlands
Joined March 2021
The facts are clear. President Trump is responsible. He should be held accountable and put in jail. Anyone who believes he should or even could be president again should seriously doubt their conscience. This is unacceptable.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Elon Musk has spent more money on American elections in the last two years than George Soros has in his entire life.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
πŸ‘€πŸ‘€πŸ‘€
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
This is what putting South Carolina first looks like. I’m honored to have the support of two former governors β€” Republican David Beasley and Democrat Jim Hodges. We may not agree on everything, but we share a belief that matters most: South Carolina deserves leaders who will always put its people first.
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Color me sceptical here
Redbox Research, an outfit nobody has ever heard of, claiming to have a 3,000 person poll. It's the polling arm of "A Fight Worth Having," a random one-man blog. And the "How We Poll" page flags as 100% AI written in Pangram. And it claims to have conducted 30 polls at once.
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Lmao this is just outrageous. What idiot truly believes this bs
ABBOTT: Gina Hinojosa supports Sharia Law
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I’ve seen this movie before
#BrazilPresident It is likely that Bolsonaro will continue to lead throughout the night until late ballots come in which skew left.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Concord Public Opinion Strategies poll | 10/15-10/18 LV US Senate Nebraska 2026 ⬜️Dan Osborn 48% πŸŸ₯Pete Ricketts 41% (incumbent) Link to poll: concordpublicopinionpartners…
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
#AlaskaSenate Alaska News Now: Mary Peltola and her family were injured after her vehicle was struck by another vehicle on Saturday night Campaign statement: β€œMary and her family sustained minor injuries but are in good spirits” β€œUnfortunately, per the advice of medical professionals, Mary’s upcoming events in Fairbanks and Bethel will be rescheduled for later in the week as she takes time to recover.”
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Small-dollar donations to Republican candidates are just apocalyptic. Selected examples here. Our forecasting research found in-state individual contributions are a strong predictor of results. Way stronger than PAC spending! votehub.com/2026/10/24/2026-…
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
NYT/Siena polls | 10/16-10/22 LV US House 2026 | Pennsylvania congressional races PA-01 🟦Bob Harvie 48% πŸŸ₯Brian Fitzpatrick 46% (incumbent) β€”β€” PA-07 🟦Bob Brooks 49% πŸŸ₯Ryan Mackenzie 44% (incumbent) β€”β€” PA-08 🟦Paige Congnetti 51% πŸŸ₯Rob Bresnahan 46% (incumbent) β€”β€” PA-10 πŸŸ₯Scott Perry 48% (incumbent) 🟦Janelle Stelson 48%
NYT/Siena poll | 10/16-10/22 LV US House 2026 | Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district (Trump +8, Rob Bresnahan +2 | 2024) 🟦Paige Cognetti 51% πŸŸ₯Rob Bresnahan 46% (incumbent)
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Save you some time: it’s where rich people live
People noticed this earlier this week, but resort and big-city counties are among the biggest sources of campaign donations per resident. I wrote about why ski and island towns stand out in my breakdown of VoteHub’s new national donor map.
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Totally the vibe rn
My entire mood right now is this spoof ad that SNL made for the 2018 midterms
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He still pulls out the crowds, my gosh. And I get why, he hasn't lost a single bit of energy during these rallies. Btw, he should very much go to South Carolina and Mississippi in the coming week. Pushing Black turnout there could make all the difference.
Wow this crowd this fired up for Obama.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
OBAMA on SHERROD BROWN: This is not a guy who enriched himself cozying up to corporations. He's still wearing the same suit he was in when I met him 20 years ago.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
This just doesn’t happen often The racial differential turnout in Louisiana is quite stunning 2022: 74-24 +50 White 2026: 64-32 +32 White An 18-pt swing towards Black voters from 2022 ‼️
LOUISIANA THIRD DAY EARLY VOTING 3rd day numbers, compared against recent "midterm-ish" elections: 2022 Senate:183,496, 74-24 white/black and 43-43 Rep/Dem 2023 Governor:151,801, 73-25 white/black and 45-41 R/D 2026 Senate:232,695, 64-32 white/black and 42-41 D/R (1/)
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Black voters make up 32% of Louisiana’s population and are matching that share in early voting so far, just 4 points below their 36% share of the primary electorate. As Black voters respond to Callais, differential turnout poses a growing risk for Republicans in the Deep South.
This just doesn’t happen often The racial differential turnout in Louisiana is quite stunning 2022: 74-24 +50 White 2026: 64-32 +32 White An 18-pt swing towards Black voters from 2022 ‼️
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Nevada political commentator Joe Ralston says Republicans in Nevada would be in trouble if the elections were held today. Link to article: thenevadaindependent.com/art…
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
As turnout in Texas nears 3 million votes, Hispanic turnout is now exceeding presidential levels. More Hispanics have voted than did at this point in the 2024 presidential election. What's driving this huge increase? Young voters.
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DutchModerate πŸ‡³πŸ‡±πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί πŸŸ βœπŸŒ±πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ retweeted
Talarico Derangement Syndrome (TDS)!
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For the record: 2018 yielded a 235-300 House result. Even with all the gerrymandering, they’re still possibly gonna hit above that figure.
Fifty Plus One gives Democrats a 99% of winning the US House. Median outcome: 243 seats 🟦
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